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McDonald's Corp. (MCD) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

MCD NYSE Retail-Eating Places DE CIK: 0000063908
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
76% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
68% Conf
BUY
85% Conf

📊 MCD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $6.5B
Net Margin: 30.4%
Free Cash Flow: $1.7B
Current Ratio: 1.14x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $2.78
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence
McDonald's Corp. (MCD) receives a BUY rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $6.5B, net profit margin of 30.4%, McDonald's Corp. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Consumer sector. Below is our complete MCD stock analysis for 2026.

Is McDonald's Corp. (MCD) a Good Investment?

Claude

McDonald's demonstrates exceptional operational fundamentals with 45.3% operating margins, strong $1.7B free cash flow, and steady 3.7% revenue growth, typical of its capital-efficient franchise model. However, the negative $1.3B shareholders' equity combined with $40.1B debt burden presents significant structural risk that offsets operational strengths and requires careful monitoring of refinancing capability.

ChatGPT

McDonald's shows exceptional fundamental quality with very high operating and net margins, steady revenue and EPS growth, and strong free cash flow conversion. The business appears resilient and efficiently run, but the balance sheet is aggressive, with very high long-term debt, negative equity, and only modest liquidity, which keeps the rating below the highest tier.

Why Buy McDonald's Corp. Stock? MCD Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margins at 45.3% reflecting highly profitable franchise-landlord business model
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $1.7B (26.5% FCF margin) supports debt service and shareholder returns
  • + Solid interest coverage ratio of 7.4x indicates adequate capacity to service debt obligations
ChatGPT
  • + Very strong profitability, including 46.1% operating margin and 31.9% net margin
  • + Consistent growth profile with revenue up 3.7%, net income up 4.1%, and diluted EPS up 4.9% year over year
  • + Robust cash generation with $10.55B operating cash flow and $7.19B free cash flow, equal to a 26.7% FCF margin

MCD Stock Risks: McDonald's Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical balance sheet concern: negative shareholders' equity of -$1.3B indicates liabilities exceed total assets
  • ! Extreme leverage with $40.1B long-term debt against $60.0B total assets and only $1.2B cash reserves
  • ! Heavy dependence on franchisee financial health and ability to maintain steady rent/royalty payments in economic downturns
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative stockholders equity indicates an aggressively levered capital structure and reduces balance sheet flexibility
  • ! Long-term debt of $39.97B is high relative to cash of $774M, increasing refinancing and interest burden risk
  • ! Current ratio of 0.95x and quick ratio of 0.94x suggest limited short-term liquidity buffer

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability amid franchisee economic pressures
  • * Debt refinancing conditions and interest rate environment impact on coverage ratio
  • * Shareholders' equity trajectory and management's capital allocation strategy
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow and operating cash flow sustainability
  • * Interest coverage and long-term debt trend

McDonald's Corp. (MCD) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$6.5B
Net Income
$2.0B
EPS (Diluted)
$2.78
Free Cash Flow
$1.7B
Total Assets
$60.0B
Cash Position
$1.2B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 26.5% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.

MCD Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 45.3%
Net Margin 30.4%
ROE N/A
ROA 3.3%
FCF Margin 26.5%

MCD vs Consumer Sector: How McDonald's Corp. Compares

How McDonald's Corp. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
MCD 30.4%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
MCD Sector
ROE
MCD 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
MCD Sector
Current Ratio
MCD 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
MCD Sector
Debt/Equity
MCD 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
MCD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is McDonald's Corp. Stock Overvalued? MCD Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, McDonald's Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
30.4%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

McDonald's Corp. Balance Sheet: MCD Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.14x
Quick Ratio
1.12x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
7.38x
Long-term Debt
$40.1B

MCD Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MCD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $23.2B, Net Income $6.0B, EPS $7.88. Year 2022: Revenue $23.2B, Net Income $4.7B, EPS $6.31. Year 2023: Revenue $25.5B, Net Income $7.5B, EPS $10.04. Year 2024: Revenue $25.9B, Net Income $6.2B, EPS $8.33. Year 2025: Revenue $26.9B, Net Income $8.5B, EPS $11.56.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: McDonald's Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 16% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $11.56 reflects profitable operations.

MCD Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
26.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MCD Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for McDonald's Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $6.0B $1.9B $2.60
Q3 2025 $6.9B $2.3B $3.13
Q2 2025 $6.5B $2.0B $2.80
Q1 2025 $6.0B $1.9B $2.60
Q3 2024 $6.7B $2.3B $3.13
Q2 2024 $6.5B $2.0B $2.80
Q1 2024 $5.9B $1.8B $2.45
Q3 2023 $5.9B $2.0B $2.68

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

McDonald's Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.4B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$396.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$682.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.3B
Returned to shareholders

MCD SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for McDonald's Corp. (CIK: 0000063908)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 7, 2026 10-Q mcd-20260331.htm View →
May 7, 2026 8-K mcd-20260507.htm View →
Apr 23, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 7, 2026 DEF 14A mcd-20260407.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MCD

What is the AI rating for MCD?

McDonald's Corp. (MCD) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MCD's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margins at 45.3% reflecting highly profitable franchise-landlord business model. Strong free cash flow generation of $1.7B (26.5% FCF margin) supports debt service and shareholder returns. ChatGPT: Very strong profitability, including 46.1% operating margin and 31.9% net margin. Consistent growth profile with revenue up 3.7%, net income up 4.1%, and diluted EPS up 4.9% year over year.

What are the risks of investing in MCD?

Claude: Critical balance sheet concern: negative shareholders' equity of -$1.3B indicates liabilities exceed total assets. Extreme leverage with $40.1B long-term debt against $60.0B total assets and only $1.2B cash reserves. ChatGPT: Negative stockholders equity indicates an aggressively levered capital structure and reduces balance sheet flexibility. Long-term debt of $39.97B is high relative to cash of $774M, increasing refinancing and interest burden risk.

What is MCD's revenue and growth?

McDonald's Corp. reported revenue of $6.5B.

Does MCD pay dividends?

McDonald's Corp. pays dividends, with $1,323.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MCD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for McDonald's Corp. (CIK: 0000063908) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MCD's EPS?

McDonald's Corp. has a diluted EPS of $2.78.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MCD a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, McDonald's Corp. has a BUY rating with 76% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is MCD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MCD: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 30.4% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MCD stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives McDonald's Corp. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MCD's free cash flow?

McDonald's Corp.'s operating cash flow is $2.4B, with capital expenditures of $682.0M. FCF margin is 26.5%.

How does MCD compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin 30.4% (avg: 8%), ROE N/A (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.14 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI