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LMND Stock Analysis 2026 - Lemonade, Inc. AI Rating

LMND NYSE Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance DE CIK: 0001691421
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 LMND Key Takeaways

Revenue: $737.9M
Net Margin: -22.4%
Free Cash Flow: $-25.9M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-2.24
AI Rating: SELL with 68% confidence

Is LMND a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Lemonade demonstrates strong top-line growth (40.2% YoY) but exhibits a fundamentally unsustainable business model with persistent negative operating cash flow (-$16.5M), negative free cash flow (-$25.9M), and a -22.4% net margin despite $737.9M in revenue. As an insurance company, profitability is non-negotiable for long-term viability, and the lack of clear trajectory toward breakeven despite scaling revenue indicates severe underlying unit economics or operational issues.

Why Buy LMND? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Robust revenue growth at 40.2% YoY demonstrates market traction and customer acquisition
  • + Fortress balance sheet with $385M cash, no long-term debt, and 0.00x debt/equity provides substantial runway
  • + Improving loss trajectory with EPS loss improving 21.4% YoY shows some operational progress

LMND Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative operating cash flow (-$16.5M) and free cash flow (-$25.9M) indicate unsustainable cash burn despite revenue growth
  • ! Deeply unprofitable with -22.4% net margin and negative ROE (-31.0%), ROA (-8.6%) destroying shareholder value
  • ! No clear path to profitability in insurance sector where sustained losses are incompatible with long-term viability; cash runway at current burn rate is finite

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly operating cash flow trend—must turn positive to validate business model sustainability
  • * Net loss progression—pace of loss reduction must accelerate toward breakeven within 12-18 months
  • * Loss ratio and expense ratios by segment—critical to confirm underlying insurance economics are improving

LMND Financial Metrics

Revenue
$737.9M
Net Income
$-165.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$-2.24
Free Cash Flow
$-25.9M
Total Assets
$1.9B
Cash Position
$385.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

LMND Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -21.8%
Net Margin -22.4%
ROE -31.0%
ROA -8.6%
FCF Margin -3.5%

LMND vs Finance Sector

How Lemonade, Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
LMND -22.4%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
LMND Sector
ROE
LMND -31.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
LMND Sector
Current Ratio
LMND 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
LMND Sector
Debt/Equity
LMND 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
LMND Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is LMND Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Lemonade, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-31.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
-22.4%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

LMND Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
72.3%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

LMND 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

LMND 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $128.4M, Net Income -$108.5M, EPS $-9.75. Year 2022: Revenue $256.7M, Net Income -$122.3M, EPS $-3.63. Year 2023: Revenue $429.8M, Net Income -$241.3M, EPS $-3.94. Year 2024: Revenue $526.5M, Net Income -$297.8M, EPS $-4.59. Year 2025: Revenue $737.9M, Net Income -$236.9M, EPS $-3.40.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Lemonade, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 475% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-3.40 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

LMND Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-3.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

LMND Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Lemonade, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $136.6M -$37.5M $-0.51
Q2 2025 $122.0M -$43.9M $-0.60
Q1 2025 $119.1M -$47.3M $-0.67
Q3 2024 $114.5M -$47.3M $-0.88
Q2 2024 $104.6M -$47.3M $-0.81
Q1 2024 $95.2M -$47.3M $-0.67
Q3 2023 $74.0M -$61.5M $-0.88
Q2 2023 $50.0M -$65.8M $-0.97

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

LMND Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$16.5M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$9.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

LMND SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Lemonade, Inc. (CIK: 0001691421)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774037131.xml View →
Mar 20, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774037103.xml View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773351298.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773175979.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773175851.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about LMND

What is the AI rating for LMND?

Lemonade, Inc. (LMND) has an AI rating of SELL with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are LMND's key strengths?

Claude: Robust revenue growth at 40.2% YoY demonstrates market traction and customer acquisition. Fortress balance sheet with $385M cash, no long-term debt, and 0.00x debt/equity provides substantial runway.

What are the risks of investing in LMND?

Claude: Negative operating cash flow (-$16.5M) and free cash flow (-$25.9M) indicate unsustainable cash burn despite revenue growth. Deeply unprofitable with -22.4% net margin and negative ROE (-31.0%), ROA (-8.6%) destroying shareholder value.

What is LMND's revenue and growth?

Lemonade, Inc. reported revenue of $737.9M.

Does LMND pay dividends?

Lemonade, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find LMND SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Lemonade, Inc. (CIK: 0001691421) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is LMND's EPS?

Lemonade, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-2.24.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is LMND a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Lemonade, Inc. has a SELL rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is LMND stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for LMND: ROE of -31.0% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of -22.4% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy LMND stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Lemonade, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is LMND's free cash flow?

Lemonade, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-16.5M, with capital expenditures of $9.4M. FCF margin is -3.5%.

How does LMND compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin -22.4% (avg: 25%), ROE -31.0% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI