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KMT Stock Analysis 2026 - KENNAMETAL INC AI Rating

KMT NYSE Machine Tools, Metal Cutting Types PA CIK: 0000055242
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
73% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 KMT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.0B
Net Margin: 5.6%
Free Cash Flow: $36.9M
Current Ratio: 2.55x
Debt/Equity: 0.45x
EPS: $0.74
AI Rating: SELL with 73% confidence

Is KMT a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Kennametal exhibits deteriorating operational fundamentals with declining revenues (-3.9%) and earnings (-5.7%) in a cyclical industry, coupled with critically weak profitability returns (ROE 4.3%, ROA 2.2%) that indicate poor capital efficiency. While financial stability is maintained through solid liquidity and moderate leverage, the combination of negative growth, thin margins (5.6% net), and structurally low returns makes the investment unattractive without evidence of meaningful operational improvement.

Why Buy KMT? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 2.55x providing financial flexibility
  • + Moderate leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45x and healthy interest coverage of 4.5x
  • + Positive free cash flow generation of $36.9M despite revenue challenges, demonstrating cash conversion ability

KMT Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Declining revenues (-3.9% YoY) and net earnings (-5.7% YoY) with EPS down 12.4% indicating negative momentum in cyclical machine tools sector
  • ! Critically low profitability returns with ROE of 4.3% and ROA of 2.2% suggesting severe capital efficiency problems and shareholder value destruction
  • ! Thin operating margin of 8.8% and net margin of 5.6% indicate structural profitability challenges that may be difficult to reverse in current industry environment
  • ! Cyclical sector exposure with current downturn showing no visible recovery catalysts in financial data

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue stabilization and return to positive growth trajectory
  • * Operating margin expansion toward historical averages
  • * Return on equity improvement from current 4.3% baseline
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions
  • * Industry cycle indicators and machine tool demand recovery

KMT Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.0B
Net Income
$57.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.74
Free Cash Flow
$36.9M
Total Assets
$2.6B
Cash Position
$129.3M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 3.6% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.55x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

KMT Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 32.0%
Operating Margin 8.8%
Net Margin 5.6%
ROE 4.3%
ROA 2.2%
FCF Margin 3.6%

KMT vs Default Sector

How KENNAMETAL INC compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
KMT 5.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
KMT Sector
ROE
KMT 4.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
KMT Sector
Current Ratio
KMT 2.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
KMT Sector
Debt/Equity
KMT 0.5x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
KMT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is KMT Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, KENNAMETAL INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
5.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.45x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

KMT Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.55x
Quick Ratio
1.14x
Debt/Equity
0.45x
Debt/Assets
47.7%
Interest Coverage
4.46x
Long-term Debt
$597.2M

KMT 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

KMT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.4B, Net Income $241.9M, EPS $2.90. Year 2022: Revenue $2.0B, Net Income -$5.7M, EPS $-0.07. Year 2023: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $54.4M, EPS $0.65. Year 2024: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $144.6M, EPS $1.72. Year 2025: Revenue $2.1B, Net Income $118.5M, EPS $1.46.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: KENNAMETAL INC's revenue has declined by 13% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $1.46 reflects profitable operations.

KMT Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
3.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

KMT Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for KENNAMETAL INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $482.1M $17.9M $0.23
Q1 2026 $481.9M $22.1M $0.28
Q3 2025 $486.4M $19.0M $0.24
Q2 2025 $482.1M $17.9M $0.23
Q1 2025 $481.9M $22.1M $0.28
Q3 2024 $515.8M $19.0M $0.24
Q2 2024 $495.3M $21.9M $0.27
Q1 2024 $492.5M $28.2M $0.34

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

KMT Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$72.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$10.1M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$35.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$30.4M
Returned to shareholders

KMT SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for KENNAMETAL INC (CIK: 0000055242)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primary_doc.xml View →
Feb 26, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primary_doc.xml View →
Feb 26, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primary_doc.xml View →
Feb 20, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primary_doc.xml View →
Feb 19, 2026 4 xslF345X05/primary_doc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about KMT

What is the AI rating for KMT?

KENNAMETAL INC (KMT) has an AI rating of SELL with 73% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are KMT's key strengths?

Claude: Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 2.55x providing financial flexibility. Moderate leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45x and healthy interest coverage of 4.5x.

What are the risks of investing in KMT?

Claude: Declining revenues (-3.9% YoY) and net earnings (-5.7% YoY) with EPS down 12.4% indicating negative momentum in cyclical machine tools sector. Critically low profitability returns with ROE of 4.3% and ROA of 2.2% suggesting severe capital efficiency problems and shareholder value destruction.

What is KMT's revenue and growth?

KENNAMETAL INC reported revenue of $1.0B.

Does KMT pay dividends?

KENNAMETAL INC pays dividends, with $30.4M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find KMT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for KENNAMETAL INC (CIK: 0000055242) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is KMT's EPS?

KENNAMETAL INC has a diluted EPS of $0.74.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is KMT a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, KENNAMETAL INC has a SELL rating with 73% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is KMT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for KMT: ROE of 4.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 5.6% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy KMT stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives KENNAMETAL INC a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is KMT's free cash flow?

KENNAMETAL INC's operating cash flow is $72.6M, with capital expenditures of $35.7M. FCF margin is 3.6%.

How does KMT compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 5.6% (avg: 12%), ROE 4.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.55 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI