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John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

JMSB Nasdaq State Commercial Banks VA CIK: 0001710482
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 9, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
72% Confidence
AGREEMENT
SELL
75% Conf
HOLD
70% Conf

📊 JMSB Key Takeaways

Revenue: $29.1M
Net Margin: 21.0%
Free Cash Flow: $8.5M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.30x
EPS: $0.43
AI Rating: SELL with 75% confidence
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) receives a SELL rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $29.1M, net profit margin of 21.0%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.3%, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete JMSB stock analysis for 2026.

Is John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) a Good Investment?

Claude

Despite 87% YoY revenue growth, John Marshall Bancorp exhibits critical fundamental weaknesses that outweigh expansion metrics. With an interest coverage ratio of 0.5x—indicating operating income covers only half of interest expenses—combined with extremely low ROE (2.3%) and ROA (0.3%), the company demonstrates poor capital efficiency and potential debt service stress. The 87% revenue growth coupled with only 0.4% net income growth signals margin compression or structural profitability issues.

ChatGPT

JMSB shows very strong revenue growth but only flat net income, indicating spread pressure and/or higher credit costs despite operating leverage. Capital and liquidity look sound with moderate leverage and healthy cash generation, but sub-10% ROE and low interest coverage suggest returns are not yet compelling. Upside depends on stabilizing net interest margin and maintaining credit quality as funding costs normalize.

Why Buy John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Stock? JMSB Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 87% YoY demonstrates market traction and business expansion
  • + Healthy free cash flow of $8.5M with 29.3% FCF margin provides operational liquidity
  • + Moderate leverage with 0.30x debt-to-equity ratio indicates reasonable balance sheet structure
ChatGPT
  • + Robust revenue growth (+87% YoY) with solid operating margin
  • + Conservative leverage and ample liquidity (cash ~$130M, D/E 0.30x)
  • + Consistent cash generation and low capex supporting flexibility

JMSB Stock Risks: John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 0.5x is critically concerning—unable to service debt obligations from operating income alone
  • ! Extremely low ROE (2.3%) and ROA (0.3%) indicate severe capital inefficiency and poor returns to shareholders and assets
  • ! Severe margin deterioration: 87% revenue growth produces only 0.4% net income growth, suggesting unsustainable operating leverage or negative operating leverage
ChatGPT
  • ! Net interest margin compression from higher deposit/funding costs
  • ! Credit quality deterioration driving higher loss provisions
  • ! Rate sensitivity/asset-liability mismatch evidenced by low interest coverage

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio—must improve above 1.5x minimum for financial stability
  • * Return on equity and return on assets trends—ROE should normalize toward 10%+ for sustainable banking operations
  • * Operating expense ratio and net interest margin trends to identify sources of margin compression
ChatGPT
  • * Net interest margin (NIM)
  • * Nonperforming assets and net charge-offs

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$29.1M
Net Income
$6.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.43
Free Cash Flow
$8.5M
Total Assets
$2.4B
Cash Position
$150.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 29.3% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

JMSB Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 27.0%
Net Margin 21.0%
ROE 2.3%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 29.3%

JMSB vs Finance Sector: How John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Compares

How John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
JMSB 21.0%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
JMSB Sector
ROE
JMSB 2.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
JMSB Sector
Current Ratio
JMSB 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
JMSB Sector
Debt/Equity
JMSB 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
JMSB Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Stock Overvalued? JMSB Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
21.0%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.30x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Balance Sheet: JMSB Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.30x
Debt/Assets
88.6%
Interest Coverage
0.52x
Long-term Debt
$80.9M

JMSB Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

JMSB 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.20 reflects profitable operations.

JMSB Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
29.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$8.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.3M
Returned to shareholders

JMSB SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (CIK: 0001710482)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 8, 2026 10-Q jmsb-20260331x10q.htm View →
Apr 29, 2026 DEF 14A jmsb-20260616xdef14a.htm View →
Apr 29, 2026 8-K jmsb-20260428x8k.htm View →
Apr 29, 2026 8-K jmsb-20260429x8k.htm View →
Apr 15, 2026 8-K jmsb-20260415x8k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about JMSB

What is the AI rating for JMSB?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are JMSB's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 87% YoY demonstrates market traction and business expansion. Healthy free cash flow of $8.5M with 29.3% FCF margin provides operational liquidity. ChatGPT: Robust revenue growth (+87% YoY) with solid operating margin. Conservative leverage and ample liquidity (cash ~$130M, D/E 0.30x).

What are the risks of investing in JMSB?

Claude: Interest coverage ratio of 0.5x is critically concerning—unable to service debt obligations from operating income alone. Extremely low ROE (2.3%) and ROA (0.3%) indicate severe capital inefficiency and poor returns to shareholders and assets. ChatGPT: Net interest margin compression from higher deposit/funding costs. Credit quality deterioration driving higher loss provisions.

What is JMSB's revenue and growth?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. reported revenue of $29.1M.

Does JMSB pay dividends?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. pays dividends, with $1.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find JMSB SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (CIK: 0001710482) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is JMSB's EPS?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.43.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is JMSB a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. has a SELL rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is JMSB stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for JMSB: ROE of 2.3% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 21.0% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy JMSB stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is JMSB's free cash flow?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $8.5M, with capital expenditures of $1.0K. FCF margin is 29.3%.

How does JMSB compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 21.0% (avg: 25%), ROE 2.3% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 9, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI