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JMSB Stock Analysis 2026 - John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. AI Rating

JMSB Nasdaq State Commercial Banks VA CIK: 0001710482
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 11, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 JMSB Key Takeaways

Revenue: $113.3M
Net Margin: 18.7%
Free Cash Flow: $22.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.30x
EPS: $1.49
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence

Is JMSB a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Strong revenue growth of 87% YoY and solid profitability margins (18.7% net margin) with conservative leverage demonstrate fundamental operational capability. However, the stark disconnect between revenue growth and minimal net income growth (87% vs. 0.4%) raises material quality-of-earnings concerns, compounded by weak interest coverage (1.8x) and substandard ROA of 0.9% for a financial institution.

Why Buy JMSB? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue expansion of 87% YoY indicating strong market demand and business acquisition
  • + Robust free cash flow generation ($22.0M) with excellent 19.5% FCF margin demonstrating cash conversion
  • + Conservative balance sheet with 0.30x debt/equity leverage ratio and substantial $130M cash position

JMSB Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Critical disconnect between 87% revenue growth and 0.4% net income growth signals deteriorating operational leverage, cost inflation, or integration challenges
  • ! Dangerously low interest coverage ratio of 1.8x provides minimal cushion for debt service obligations and indicates leverage stress
  • ! Substandard return on assets of 0.9% and moderate ROE of 8.0% suggest inefficient capital deployment typical of struggling financial institutions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income growth sustainability and operating margin trends
  • * Interest coverage ratio trajectory and loan loss provision levels
  • * Return on assets and return on equity improvement path

JMSB Financial Metrics

Revenue
$113.3M
Net Income
$21.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.49
Free Cash Flow
$22.0M
Total Assets
$2.3B
Cash Position
$130.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

JMSB Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 24.2%
Net Margin 18.7%
ROE 8.0%
ROA 0.9%
FCF Margin 19.5%

JMSB vs Finance Sector

How John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
JMSB 18.7%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
JMSB Sector
ROE
JMSB 8.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
JMSB Sector
Current Ratio
JMSB 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
JMSB Sector
Debt/Equity
JMSB 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
JMSB Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is JMSB Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
8.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
18.7%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.30x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

JMSB Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.30x
Debt/Assets
88.6%
Interest Coverage
1.80x
Long-term Debt
$80.9M

JMSB 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

JMSB 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.20 reflects profitable operations.

JMSB Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
19.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

JMSB Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$22.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$554.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$4.3M
Returned to shareholders

JMSB SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (CIK: 0001710482)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 13, 2026 10-K jmsb-20251231x10k.htm View →
Jan 28, 2026 8-K jmsb-20260127x8k.htm View →
Jan 28, 2026 8-K jmsb-20260128x8k.htm View →
Dec 22, 2025 4 xslF345X05/form4-12222025_091255.xml View →
Dec 18, 2025 4 xslF345X05/form4-12182025_101257.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about JMSB

What is the AI rating for JMSB?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) has an AI rating of HOLD with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are JMSB's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue expansion of 87% YoY indicating strong market demand and business acquisition. Robust free cash flow generation ($22.0M) with excellent 19.5% FCF margin demonstrating cash conversion.

What are the risks of investing in JMSB?

Claude: Critical disconnect between 87% revenue growth and 0.4% net income growth signals deteriorating operational leverage, cost inflation, or integration challenges. Dangerously low interest coverage ratio of 1.8x provides minimal cushion for debt service obligations and indicates leverage stress.

What is JMSB's revenue and growth?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. reported revenue of $113.3M.

Does JMSB pay dividends?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. pays dividends, with $4.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find JMSB SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (CIK: 0001710482) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is JMSB's EPS?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.49.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is JMSB a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is JMSB stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for JMSB: ROE of 8.0% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 18.7% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy JMSB stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is JMSB's free cash flow?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $22.6M, with capital expenditures of $554.0K. FCF margin is 19.5%.

How does JMSB compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 18.7% (avg: 25%), ROE 8.0% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 11, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI