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International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

IBM NYSE Computer & office Equipment NY CIK: 0000051143
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
76% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
75% Conf
BUY
78% Conf

📊 IBM Key Takeaways

Revenue: $15.9B
Net Margin: 7.6%
Free Cash Flow: $4.9B
Current Ratio: 0.80x
Debt/Equity: 1.75x
EPS: $1.28
AI Rating: HOLD with 75% confidence
International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) receives a BUY rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $15.9B, net profit margin of 7.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.7%, International Business Machines Corp. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Technology sector. Below is our complete IBM stock analysis for 2026.

Is International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) a Good Investment?

Claude

IBM demonstrates solid revenue growth (+7.6%) and exceptional free cash flow generation ($4.9B with 31% FCF margin), indicating operational strength. However, net income flatlined YoY despite top-line growth, and poor capital returns (ROE 3.7%, ROA 0.8%) combined with high leverage (1.75x Debt/Equity) and sub-1.0 liquidity ratios raise concerns about financial stability and capital efficiency.

ChatGPT

IBM shows solid fundamental quality with mid-single-digit revenue growth, strong 58.2% gross margin, and robust free cash flow generation at a 17.9% FCF margin. Profitability remains healthy across operating and net margins, but flat net income, below-1x current liquidity, and elevated leverage temper the strength of the story. Overall, the business looks fundamentally resilient with improving earnings efficiency, supported by strong cash generation rather than aggressive balance sheet flexibility.

Why Buy International Business Machines Corp. Stock? IBM Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 7.6% YoY with robust gross margin of 56.2% demonstrating market demand and pricing power
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $4.9B (31% FCF margin) provides financial flexibility and sustainability
  • + Operating cash flow of $5.2B is substantial and supports debt servicing and capital allocation
ChatGPT
  • + Strong profitability profile with 58.2% gross margin, 15.3% operating margin, and 15.7% net margin
  • + High cash generation with $13.19B operating cash flow and $12.10B free cash flow
  • + Revenue growth of 7.6% YoY indicates improving demand quality relative to a mature business

IBM Stock Risks: International Business Machines Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income growth stalled at 0% YoY despite revenue growth, indicating margin compression and profitability deterioration
  • ! Heavy leverage of 1.75x Debt/Equity with current ratio and quick ratio both below 1.0 creates liquidity and solvency risks
  • ! Weak capital efficiency with ROE of 3.7% and ROA of 0.8% shows poor returns on deployed capital relative to asset base
ChatGPT
  • ! Leverage is elevated with $54.84B long-term debt and 1.68x debt-to-equity
  • ! Liquidity is somewhat tight with a 0.96x current ratio and 0.92x quick ratio
  • ! Net income was flat YoY, suggesting earnings growth may be relying partly on margin mix or non-operating factors

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating and net profit margin trends to assess if profitability headwinds reverse with revenue growth
  • * Debt reduction progress and improvement in current/quick ratios to strengthen balance sheet resilience
  • * Return on equity and asset turnover metrics to determine if capital deployment efficiency improves
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow conversion and sustainability of the 17.9% FCF margin
  • * Debt reduction progress and interest coverage trend

International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$15.9B
Net Income
$1.2B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.28
Free Cash Flow
$4.9B
Total Assets
$156.2B
Cash Position
$10.8B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 31.0% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

IBM Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 56.2%
Operating Margin 8.7%
Net Margin 7.6%
ROE 3.7%
ROA 0.8%
FCF Margin 31.0%

IBM vs Technology Sector: How International Business Machines Corp. Compares

How International Business Machines Corp. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
IBM 7.6%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
IBM Sector
ROE
IBM 3.7%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
IBM Sector
Current Ratio
IBM 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
IBM Sector
Debt/Equity
IBM 1.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
IBM Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is International Business Machines Corp. Stock Overvalued? IBM Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, International Business Machines Corp. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.7%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
7.6%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.75x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

International Business Machines Corp. Balance Sheet: IBM Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.80x
Quick Ratio
0.76x
Debt/Equity
1.75x
Debt/Assets
78.8%
Interest Coverage
2.93x
Long-term Debt
$57.7B

IBM Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

IBM 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $57.7B, Net Income $9.4B, EPS $10.56. Year 2022: Revenue $60.5B, Net Income $5.6B, EPS $6.23. Year 2023: Revenue $61.9B, Net Income $5.7B, EPS $6.35. Year 2024: Revenue $62.8B, Net Income $1.6B, EPS $1.80. Year 2025: Revenue $67.5B, Net Income $7.5B, EPS $8.14.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: International Business Machines Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 17% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $8.14 reflects profitable operations.

IBM Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
31.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

IBM Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for International Business Machines Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $14.5B $1.1B $1.12
Q3 2025 $15.0B -$330.0M $-0.36
Q2 2025 $15.8B $1.8B $1.96
Q1 2025 $14.5B $1.1B $1.12
Q3 2024 $14.8B -$330.0M $-0.36
Q2 2024 $15.5B $1.6B $1.72
Q1 2024 $14.3B $927.0M $1.01
Q3 2023 $14.1B -$1.1B $-1.19

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

International Business Machines Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$5.2B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.4B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$232.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.6B
Returned to shareholders

IBM SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for International Business Machines Corp. (CIK: 0000051143)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 1, 2026 8-K ibm-20260428.htm View →
Apr 23, 2026 10-Q ibm-20260331.htm View →
Apr 22, 2026 8-K ibm-20260422.htm View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/primarydocument.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about IBM

What is the AI rating for IBM?

International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are IBM's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 7.6% YoY with robust gross margin of 56.2% demonstrating market demand and pricing power. Exceptional free cash flow generation of $4.9B (31% FCF margin) provides financial flexibility and sustainability. ChatGPT: Strong profitability profile with 58.2% gross margin, 15.3% operating margin, and 15.7% net margin. High cash generation with $13.19B operating cash flow and $12.10B free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in IBM?

Claude: Net income growth stalled at 0% YoY despite revenue growth, indicating margin compression and profitability deterioration. Heavy leverage of 1.75x Debt/Equity with current ratio and quick ratio both below 1.0 creates liquidity and solvency risks. ChatGPT: Leverage is elevated with $54.84B long-term debt and 1.68x debt-to-equity. Liquidity is somewhat tight with a 0.96x current ratio and 0.92x quick ratio.

What is IBM's revenue and growth?

International Business Machines Corp. reported revenue of $15.9B.

Does IBM pay dividends?

International Business Machines Corp. pays dividends, with $1,576.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find IBM SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for International Business Machines Corp. (CIK: 0000051143) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is IBM's EPS?

International Business Machines Corp. has a diluted EPS of $1.28.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is IBM a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, International Business Machines Corp. has a BUY rating with 76% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is IBM stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for IBM: ROE of 3.7% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of 7.6% (sector avg: 18%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy IBM stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives International Business Machines Corp. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is IBM's free cash flow?

International Business Machines Corp.'s operating cash flow is $5.2B, with capital expenditures of $232.0M. FCF margin is 31.0%.

How does IBM compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin 7.6% (avg: 18%), ROE 3.7% (avg: 22%), current ratio 0.80 (avg: 2.5).

Is International Business Machines Corp. carrying too much debt?

IBM has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.75x, which is above the Technology sector average of 0.5x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI