← Back to All US Stocks

MXL Stock Analysis 2026 - MAXLINEAR, INC AI Rating

MXL Nasdaq Semiconductors & Related Devices CIK: 0001288469
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MXL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $467.6M
Net Margin: -29.2%
Free Cash Flow: $7.0M
Current Ratio: 1.34x
Debt/Equity: 0.27x
EPS: $-1.58
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence

Is MXL a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

MaxLinear exhibits strong revenue growth (29.7% YoY) with healthy 56.8% gross margins, but is weighed down by severe operating unprofitability (-27.1% operating margin) and a substantial net loss ($136.7M, -29.2% margin) with limited cash runway. While the loss is improving 44.3% YoY and operating cash flow remains positive, the company cannot sustain current operations at this burn rate without achieving rapid profitability inflection.

Why Buy MXL? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth at 29.7% YoY demonstrates market traction in semiconductors segment
  • + Healthy gross margin of 56.8% indicates core business model and pricing power are sound
  • + Operating cash flow positive at $19.6M despite net losses suggests non-cash charges are material
  • + Net losses improving 44.3% YoY and moving toward breakeven
  • + Manageable debt levels with Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27x provides balance sheet flexibility

MXL Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Critical: Operating loss of $126.9M and net loss of $136.7M is unsustainable; cash runway of approximately 0.5 years at current burn rate
  • ! Negative return metrics (ROE -30.2%, ROA -17.2%) indicate capital destruction and poor asset utilization
  • ! Negative interest coverage ratio of -46.8x means operating losses cannot service debt; refinancing risk emerges if trends don't reverse
  • ! Quick ratio of 0.92x indicates potential liquidity stress when inventory is excluded; working capital deterioration under stress
  • ! Operating expense control appears poor - despite 56.8% gross profit, operating margin is -27.1%, suggesting bloated R&D or SG&A requiring aggressive restructuring

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly operating income trend and path to operating profitability within 2-3 quarters
  • * Operating expense ratio (OpEx as % of revenue) - must decline significantly from current ~83% implied level
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and quarterly cash burn rate - must remain positive or improve
  • * Gross margin maintenance during growth phase - must stay above 55% to support eventual profitability

MXL Financial Metrics

Revenue
$467.6M
Net Income
$-136.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$-1.58
Free Cash Flow
$7.0M
Total Assets
$796.4M
Cash Position
$72.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.5% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

MXL Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 56.8%
Operating Margin -27.1%
Net Margin -29.2%
ROE -30.2%
ROA -17.2%
FCF Margin 1.5%

MXL vs Technology Sector

How MAXLINEAR, INC compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
MXL -29.2%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
MXL Sector
ROE
MXL -30.2%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
MXL Sector
Current Ratio
MXL 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
MXL Sector
Debt/Equity
MXL 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
MXL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MXL Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MAXLINEAR, INC has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-30.2%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
-29.2%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.27x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MXL Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.34x
Quick Ratio
0.92x
Debt/Equity
0.27x
Debt/Assets
43.3%
Interest Coverage
-46.81x
Long-term Debt
$123.6M

MXL 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MXL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $892.4M, Net Income -$19.9M, EPS $-0.28. Year 2022: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income -$98.6M, EPS $-1.35. Year 2023: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $42.0M, EPS $0.53. Year 2024: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $125.0M, EPS $1.55. Year 2025: Revenue $693.3M, Net Income -$73.1M, EPS $-0.91.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MAXLINEAR, INC's revenue has declined by 22% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-0.91 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

MXL Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MXL Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MAXLINEAR, INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $81.1M -$26.6M $-0.52
Q2 2025 $92.0M -$26.6M $-0.31
Q1 2025 $95.3M -$49.7M $-0.58
Q3 2024 $81.1M -$4.4M $-0.43
Q2 2024 $92.0M -$4.4M $-0.05
Q1 2024 $95.3M $9.5M $0.12
Q3 2023 $135.5M -$4.4M $0.35
Q2 2023 $183.9M -$4.4M $-0.05

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MXL Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$19.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$20.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$12.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MXL SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MAXLINEAR, INC (CIK: 0001288469)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A mxl-20260402.htm View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772839164.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772658048.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772658042.xml View →
Feb 23, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771890821.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MXL

What is the AI rating for MXL?

MAXLINEAR, INC (MXL) has an AI rating of SELL with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MXL's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth at 29.7% YoY demonstrates market traction in semiconductors segment. Healthy gross margin of 56.8% indicates core business model and pricing power are sound.

What are the risks of investing in MXL?

Claude: Critical: Operating loss of $126.9M and net loss of $136.7M is unsustainable; cash runway of approximately 0.5 years at current burn rate. Negative return metrics (ROE -30.2%, ROA -17.2%) indicate capital destruction and poor asset utilization.

What is MXL's revenue and growth?

MAXLINEAR, INC reported revenue of $467.6M.

Does MXL pay dividends?

MAXLINEAR, INC does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MXL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MAXLINEAR, INC (CIK: 0001288469) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MXL's EPS?

MAXLINEAR, INC has a diluted EPS of $-1.58.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MXL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MAXLINEAR, INC has a SELL rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MXL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MXL: ROE of -30.2% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of -29.2% (sector avg: 18%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MXL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MAXLINEAR, INC a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MXL's free cash flow?

MAXLINEAR, INC's operating cash flow is $19.6M, with capital expenditures of $12.6M. FCF margin is 1.5%.

How does MXL compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin -29.2% (avg: 18%), ROE -30.2% (avg: 22%), current ratio 1.34 (avg: 2.5).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI