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GWW Stock Analysis 2026 - W.W. GRAINGER, INC. AI Rating

GWW NYSE Wholesale-Durable Goods IL CIK: 0000277135
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 10, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
75% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 GWW Key Takeaways

Revenue: $17.9B
Net Margin: 9.5%
Free Cash Flow: $1.3B
Current Ratio: 2.83x
Debt/Equity: 0.67x
EPS: $35.40
AI Rating: HOLD with 75% confidence

Is GWW a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

W.W. Grainger exhibits strong fundamental metrics with 39.1% gross margins, 45.7% ROE, and exceptional 39x interest coverage, supported by solid free cash flow generation of $1.3B. However, the concerning divergence between 4.5% revenue growth and 5.6% net income decline, coupled with 8.6% EPS erosion, indicates margin compression and operational headwinds requiring reversal before recommending accumulation.

Why Buy GWW? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 39.1% gross margin and 13.9% operating margin; net margin of 9.5% remains respectable
  • + Outstanding capital efficiency evidenced by 45.7% ROE and 19.0% ROA
  • + Fortress balance sheet with 2.83x current ratio, 0.67x debt-to-equity, and 39x interest coverage ratio
  • + Robust free cash flow generation of $1.3B ($7.4M FCF margin) provides operational flexibility and capital allocation capacity

GWW Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Net income declined 5.6% YoY while revenue grew only 4.5%; EPS fell 8.6% YoY indicating severe margin compression
  • ! Earnings deterioration despite revenue growth suggests operational inefficiencies, cost inflation outpacing pricing power, or market share pressure
  • ! Wholesale durable goods sector exposure creates vulnerability to economic cyclicality and inventory normalization cycles

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net income and EPS growth trajectory - must re-accelerate to validate operational durability
  • * Gross margin sustainability - critical to monitor for further compression and competitive positioning
  • * Operating cash flow stability - verify profitability decline is temporary and not obscuring structural cash generation deterioration

GWW Financial Metrics

Revenue
$17.9B
Net Income
$1.7B
EPS (Diluted)
$35.40
Free Cash Flow
$1.3B
Total Assets
$9.0B
Cash Position
$585.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.83x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

GWW Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 39.1%
Operating Margin 13.9%
Net Margin 9.5%
ROE 45.7%
ROA 19.0%
FCF Margin 7.4%

GWW vs Default Sector

How W.W. GRAINGER, INC. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
GWW 9.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GWW Sector
ROE
GWW 45.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GWW Sector
Current Ratio
GWW 2.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
GWW Sector
Debt/Equity
GWW 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GWW Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GWW Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, W.W. GRAINGER, INC. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
45.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
9.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.67x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GWW Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.83x
Quick Ratio
1.59x
Debt/Equity
0.67x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
38.98x
Long-term Debt
$2.5B

GWW 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

GWW 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $13.0B, Net Income $849.0M, EPS $15.32. Year 2022: Revenue $15.2B, Net Income $695.0M, EPS $12.82. Year 2023: Revenue $16.5B, Net Income $1.0B, EPS $19.84. Year 2024: Revenue $17.2B, Net Income $1.5B, EPS $30.06. Year 2025: Revenue $17.9B, Net Income $1.8B, EPS $36.23.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: W.W. GRAINGER, INC.'s revenue has grown significantly by 38% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $36.23 reflects profitable operations.

GWW Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
7.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GWW Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for W.W. GRAINGER, INC. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $4.4B $294.0M $6.12
Q2 2025 $4.3B $470.0M $9.51
Q1 2025 $4.2B $478.0M $9.62
Q3 2024 $4.2B $476.0M $9.43
Q2 2024 $4.2B $470.0M $9.28
Q1 2024 $4.1B $478.0M $9.61
Q3 2023 $3.9B $426.0M $8.27
Q2 2023 $3.8B $371.0M $7.19

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GWW Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.0B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.0B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$684.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$467.0M
Returned to shareholders

GWW SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for W.W. GRAINGER, INC. (CIK: 0000277135)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775169823.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775169788.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775169755.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775169724.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775169691.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GWW

What is the AI rating for GWW?

W.W. GRAINGER, INC. (GWW) has an AI rating of HOLD with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GWW's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 39.1% gross margin and 13.9% operating margin; net margin of 9.5% remains respectable. Outstanding capital efficiency evidenced by 45.7% ROE and 19.0% ROA.

What are the risks of investing in GWW?

Claude: Net income declined 5.6% YoY while revenue grew only 4.5%; EPS fell 8.6% YoY indicating severe margin compression. Earnings deterioration despite revenue growth suggests operational inefficiencies, cost inflation outpacing pricing power, or market share pressure.

What is GWW's revenue and growth?

W.W. GRAINGER, INC. reported revenue of $17.9B.

Does GWW pay dividends?

W.W. GRAINGER, INC. pays dividends, with $467.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find GWW SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for W.W. GRAINGER, INC. (CIK: 0000277135) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GWW's EPS?

W.W. GRAINGER, INC. has a diluted EPS of $35.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GWW a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, W.W. GRAINGER, INC. has a HOLD rating with 75% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GWW stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GWW: ROE of 45.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 9.5% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy GWW stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives W.W. GRAINGER, INC. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GWW's free cash flow?

W.W. GRAINGER, INC.'s operating cash flow is $2.0B, with capital expenditures of $684.0M. FCF margin is 7.4%.

How does GWW compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 9.5% (avg: 12%), ROE 45.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.83 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 10, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI