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GRWG Stock Analysis 2026 - GrowGeneration Corp. AI Rating

GRWG Nasdaq Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply CO CIK: 0001604868
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 10, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
80% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
90% Conf
SELL
70% Conf

📊 GRWG Key Takeaways

Revenue: $161.7M
Net Margin: -14.9%
Free Cash Flow: $-9.5M
Current Ratio: 3.99x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.40
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 90% confidence

Is GRWG a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

GrowGeneration is experiencing severe operational distress with declining revenues (-14.4% YoY), significant operating losses (-$25.6M), and negative operating cash flow (-$9.4M), indicating the core business is not generating cash. While the balance sheet provides near-term cushion through zero long-term debt and $30.4M cash, the deteriorating fundamentals suggest structural business challenges requiring immediate strategic intervention.

ChatGPT

Revenue is contracting double-digits and operating margins remain deeply negative, indicating the core retail model is not currently profitable. While the company is debt-free with strong liquidity, ongoing operating cash burn and declining sales make near-term fundamental improvement uncertain. Until revenue stabilizes and operating leverage improves, risk of further deterioration outweighs upside.

Why Buy GRWG? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Zero long-term debt provides financial flexibility and reduces solvency risk
  • + Strong liquidity position with 3.99x current ratio and $30.4M cash reserves enabling near-term operations
  • + Gross margin of 26.8% demonstrates reasonable cost structure in retail segment
ChatGPT
  • + Debt-free balance sheet with $30.4M cash and 3.99x current ratio
  • + Decent gross margin (26.8%) provides room for operating improvements
  • + Low capex requirements and improving EPS YoY provide flexibility to restructure

GRWG Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining 14.4% YoY with no signs of stabilization indicates loss of competitive positioning
  • ! Operating cash flow negative at -$9.4M means core business is destroying rather than generating value
  • ! Operating losses of -$25.6M and operating margin of -15.8% reveal fundamental unprofitability across the business
ChatGPT
  • ! Sustained revenue decline (-14.4% YoY) signals weak demand
  • ! Negative operating and net margins driving cash burn (FCF -$9.5M)
  • ! Runway erosion or potential dilution if losses persist despite no debt

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - critical indicator of business sustainability
  • * Revenue stabilization or turnaround - necessary for path to profitability
  • * Cash burn rate against reserves - determines runway before liquidity crisis
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth (YoY and same-store)
  • * Operating cash flow and operating margin

GRWG Financial Metrics

Revenue
$161.7M
Net Income
$-24.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.40
Free Cash Flow
$-9.5M
Total Assets
$147.0M
Cash Position
$30.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 3.99x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

GRWG Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 26.8%
Operating Margin -15.8%
Net Margin -14.9%
ROE -24.7%
ROA -16.4%
FCF Margin -5.9%

GRWG vs Consumer Sector

How GrowGeneration Corp. compares to Consumer sector averages

Net Margin
GRWG -14.9%
vs
Sector Avg 8.0%
GRWG Sector
ROE
GRWG -24.7%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
GRWG Sector
Current Ratio
GRWG 4.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
GRWG Sector
Debt/Equity
GRWG 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
GRWG Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GRWG Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, GrowGeneration Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Consumer sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-24.7%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
-14.9%
Sector avg: 8%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.8x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GRWG Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.99x
Quick Ratio
2.50x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
33.7%
Interest Coverage
-12,792.50x
Long-term Debt
$0.0

GRWG 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

GRWG 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $422.5M, Net Income $1.3M, EPS $0.04. Year 2022: Revenue $422.5M, Net Income $5.3M, EPS $0.11. Year 2023: Revenue $422.5M, Net Income $12.8M, EPS $0.21. Year 2024: Revenue $278.2M, Net Income -$163.7M, EPS $-2.69. Year 2025: Revenue $225.9M, Net Income -$46.5M, EPS $-0.76.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: GrowGeneration Corp.'s revenue has declined by 47% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-0.76 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GRWG Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-5.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GRWG Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for GrowGeneration Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $47.3M -$2.4M $-0.04
Q2 2025 $41.0M -$4.8M $-0.08
Q1 2025 $35.7M -$8.8M $-0.14
Q3 2024 $50.0M -$5.7M $-0.12
Q2 2024 $53.5M -$5.7M $-0.09
Q1 2024 $47.9M -$6.1M $-0.10
Q3 2023 $55.7M -$7.2M $-0.12
Q2 2023 $63.9M -$5.7M $-0.09

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GRWG Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$9.4M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$61.5K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GRWG SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for GrowGeneration Corp. (CIK: 0001604868)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 10-K grwg-20251231.htm View →
Mar 19, 2026 8-K grwg-20260319.htm View →
Dec 30, 2025 8-K grwg-20251229.htm View →
Dec 17, 2025 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1765991590.xml View →
Dec 17, 2025 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1765991577.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GRWG

What is the AI rating for GRWG?

GrowGeneration Corp. (GRWG) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 80% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GRWG's key strengths?

Claude: Zero long-term debt provides financial flexibility and reduces solvency risk. Strong liquidity position with 3.99x current ratio and $30.4M cash reserves enabling near-term operations. ChatGPT: Debt-free balance sheet with $30.4M cash and 3.99x current ratio. Decent gross margin (26.8%) provides room for operating improvements.

What are the risks of investing in GRWG?

Claude: Revenue declining 14.4% YoY with no signs of stabilization indicates loss of competitive positioning. Operating cash flow negative at -$9.4M means core business is destroying rather than generating value. ChatGPT: Sustained revenue decline (-14.4% YoY) signals weak demand. Negative operating and net margins driving cash burn (FCF -$9.5M).

What is GRWG's revenue and growth?

GrowGeneration Corp. reported revenue of $161.7M.

Does GRWG pay dividends?

GrowGeneration Corp. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GRWG SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for GrowGeneration Corp. (CIK: 0001604868) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GRWG's EPS?

GrowGeneration Corp. has a diluted EPS of $-0.40.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GRWG a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, GrowGeneration Corp. has a SELL rating with 80% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GRWG stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GRWG: ROE of -24.7% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of -14.9% (sector avg: 8%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GRWG stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives GrowGeneration Corp. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GRWG's free cash flow?

GrowGeneration Corp.'s operating cash flow is $-9.4M, with capital expenditures of $61.5K. FCF margin is -5.9%.

How does GRWG compare to other Consumer stocks?

Vs Consumer sector averages: Net margin -14.9% (avg: 8%), ROE -24.7% (avg: 18%), current ratio 3.99 (avg: 1.5).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 10, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI