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Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

GRPN Nasdaq Services-Advertising Agencies DE CIK: 0001490281
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
76% Confidence
NEUTRAL
STRONG SELL
87% Conf
HOLD
64% Conf

📊 GRPN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $117.2M
Net Margin: -11.0%
Free Cash Flow: $-13.5M
Current Ratio: 0.81x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $-0.32
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 87% confidence
Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) receives a SELL rating with 76% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $117.2M, net profit margin of -11.0%, Groupon, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Services sector. Below is our complete GRPN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Groupon exhibits severe financial distress with negative stockholders equity (-62.6M), negative free cash flow (-13.5M), and unprofitability despite minimal revenue growth of 1.2% YoY. The company is burning cash while unable to control operating expenses despite maintaining a strong 90.5% gross margin, creating an unsustainable trajectory with 308.2M in long-term debt and liquidity concerns.

ChatGPT

Core marketplace economics remain attractive with very high gross margin, positive operating income, and solid free cash flow despite modest top-line growth. However, persistent GAAP losses, negative equity, and sub-1.0 liquidity constrain flexibility and elevate risk. Further evidence of consistent net profitability and balance sheet repair is needed before a more constructive stance.

Why Buy Groupon, Inc. Stock? GRPN Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong gross margin of 90.5% demonstrates pricing power and favorable unit economics
  • + Significant cash reserves of 225.5M provide short-term liquidity cushion
  • + Revenue base remains stable with positive albeit minimal growth
ChatGPT
  • + Exceptionally high gross margin indicating asset-light economics
  • + Positive operating income with 10% FCF margin
  • + Adequate interest coverage and sizable cash balance

GRPN Stock Risks: Groupon, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders equity of -62.6M indicates balance sheet insolvency and technical bankruptcy
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -13.5M with negative operating cash flow shows unsustainable cash burn
  • ! Current ratio of 0.81x and quick ratio of 0.76x reveal acute liquidity stress despite cash on hand
  • ! Operating expenses uncontrollably high relative to revenue, producing -2.8% operating margin
  • ! Net income deteriorating 44.6% YoY with deepening operating losses
  • ! High debt burden (308.2M) relative to financial position with negative interest coverage of -1.7x
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative stockholders’ equity and sub-1.0 liquidity ratios
  • ! Continuing GAAP net losses and worsening EPS trend
  • ! Low revenue growth suggesting potential structural demand headwinds

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow and free cash flow trajectory - path to cash flow breakeven
  • * Monthly cash burn rate and runway given 225.5M cash balance
  • * Operating expense ratio and progress toward operating profitability
  • * Revenue growth acceleration required to justify current cost structure
  • * Debt maturity schedule and refinancing capability with negative equity
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow (TTM)
  • * Net margin (GAAP)

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$117.2M
Net Income
$-12.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.32
Free Cash Flow
$-13.5M
Total Assets
$595.9M
Cash Position
$225.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GRPN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 90.5%
Operating Margin -2.8%
Net Margin -11.0%
ROE N/A
ROA -2.2%
FCF Margin -11.5%

GRPN vs Services Sector: How Groupon, Inc. Compares

How Groupon, Inc. compares to Services sector averages

Net Margin
GRPN -11.0%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
GRPN Sector
ROE
GRPN 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 16.0%
GRPN Sector
Current Ratio
GRPN 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.5x
GRPN Sector
Debt/Equity
GRPN 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GRPN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Groupon, Inc. Stock Overvalued? GRPN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Groupon, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Services sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 16%
Net Profit Margin
-11.0%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Groupon, Inc. Balance Sheet: GRPN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.81x
Quick Ratio
0.76x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
110.5%
Interest Coverage
-1.65x
Long-term Debt
$308.2M

GRPN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

GRPN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income -$22.4M, EPS $-0.79. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income -$287.9M, EPS $-10.07. Year 2023: Revenue $967.1M, Net Income $118.7M, EPS $3.68. Year 2024: Revenue $599.1M, Net Income -$237.6M, EPS $-7.88. Year 2025: Revenue $514.9M, Net Income -$55.4M, EPS $-1.77.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Groupon, Inc.'s revenue has declined by 77% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-1.77 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GRPN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-11.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GRPN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Groupon, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $117.2M $7.2M $0.17
Q3 2025 $114.5M -$8.4M $-0.22
Q2 2025 $124.6M -$10.0M $-0.25
Q1 2025 $117.2M $7.2M $0.17
Q3 2024 $114.5M -$8.4M $-0.22
Q2 2024 $124.6M -$10.0M $-0.25
Q1 2024 $121.6M -$12.3M $-0.33
Q3 2023 $126.5M -$41.4M $-1.31

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Groupon, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$10.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$21.3M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GRPN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Groupon, Inc. (CIK: 0001490281)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 22, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779480425.xml View →
May 7, 2026 8-K grpn-20260507.htm View →
May 7, 2026 10-Q grpn-20260331.htm View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778026596.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778026426.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GRPN

What is the AI rating for GRPN?

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (HOLD) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GRPN's key strengths?

Claude: Strong gross margin of 90.5% demonstrates pricing power and favorable unit economics. Significant cash reserves of 225.5M provide short-term liquidity cushion. ChatGPT: Exceptionally high gross margin indicating asset-light economics. Positive operating income with 10% FCF margin.

What are the risks of investing in GRPN?

Claude: Negative stockholders equity of -62.6M indicates balance sheet insolvency and technical bankruptcy. Negative free cash flow of -13.5M with negative operating cash flow shows unsustainable cash burn. ChatGPT: Negative stockholders’ equity and sub-1.0 liquidity ratios. Continuing GAAP net losses and worsening EPS trend.

What is GRPN's revenue and growth?

Groupon, Inc. reported revenue of $117.2M.

Does GRPN pay dividends?

Groupon, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GRPN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Groupon, Inc. (CIK: 0001490281) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GRPN's EPS?

Groupon, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.32.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GRPN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Groupon, Inc. has a SELL rating with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GRPN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GRPN: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 16%), net margin of -11.0% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GRPN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Groupon, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GRPN's free cash flow?

Groupon, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-10.0M, with capital expenditures of $3.6M. FCF margin is -11.5%.

How does GRPN compare to other Services stocks?

Vs Services sector averages: Net margin -11.0% (avg: 10%), ROE N/A (avg: 16%), current ratio 0.81 (avg: 1.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI