← Back to All US Stocks

GRPN Stock Analysis 2026 - Groupon, Inc. AI Rating

GRPN Nasdaq Services-Advertising Agencies DE CIK: 0001490281
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 10, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
87% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 GRPN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $498.4M
Net Margin: -16.8%
Free Cash Flow: $49.9M
Current Ratio: 0.98x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $-2.08
AI Rating: SELL with 87% confidence

Is GRPN a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Groupon faces severe fundamental deterioration with negative stockholders' equity of -$42.6M, worsening net losses of -$83.5M (down 2.2% YoY), and EPS collapsing -37.7% despite modest 1.2% revenue growth. While positive free cash flow and strong gross margins provide short-term viability, the company's inverted balance sheet and tightening liquidity (current ratio 0.98x) indicate structural financial distress.

Why Buy GRPN? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + High gross margin of 90.8% demonstrates strong unit economics and pricing power
  • + Positive free cash flow of $49.9M (10% FCF margin) despite net losses provides operational cushion
  • + Adequate interest coverage ratio of 11.8x ensures near-term debt service capability

GRPN Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders equity of -$42.6M represents technical balance sheet insolvency and equity value destruction
  • ! Net losses accelerating (-$83.5M) with EPS declining 37.7% YoY indicates widening operational distress despite flat revenue growth
  • ! Liquidity crisis emerging with current ratio of 0.98x and quick ratio of 0.93x below 1.0x threshold
  • ! Stagnant revenue growth of 1.2% YoY eliminates opportunity for operational leverage and margin recovery
  • ! High long-term debt burden of $342.8M against negative equity creates structural vulnerability to refinancing risk

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly net income trajectory and timeline to profitability
  • * Stockholders equity recovery from negative territory
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and burn rate
  • * Current ratio stabilization above 1.0x
  • * Revenue growth acceleration beyond 1-2% range

GRPN Financial Metrics

Revenue
$498.4M
Net Income
$-83.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$-2.08
Free Cash Flow
$49.9M
Total Assets
$670.4M
Cash Position
$296.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

GRPN Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 90.8%
Operating Margin 4.7%
Net Margin -16.8%
ROE N/A
ROA -12.5%
FCF Margin 10.0%

GRPN vs Default Sector

How Groupon, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
GRPN -16.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GRPN Sector
ROE
GRPN 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
GRPN Sector
Current Ratio
GRPN 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
GRPN Sector
Debt/Equity
GRPN 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
GRPN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GRPN Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Groupon, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-16.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GRPN Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.98x
Quick Ratio
0.93x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
106.3%
Interest Coverage
11.77x
Long-term Debt
$342.8M

GRPN 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

GRPN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.2B, Net Income -$22.4M, EPS $-0.79. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income -$287.9M, EPS $-10.07. Year 2023: Revenue $967.1M, Net Income $118.7M, EPS $3.68. Year 2024: Revenue $599.1M, Net Income -$237.6M, EPS $-7.88. Year 2025: Revenue $514.9M, Net Income -$55.4M, EPS $-1.77.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Groupon, Inc.'s revenue has declined by 77% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-1.77 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

GRPN Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
10.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GRPN Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Groupon, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $114.5M -$8.4M $-0.22
Q2 2025 $124.6M -$10.0M $-0.25
Q1 2025 $117.2M $7.2M $0.17
Q3 2024 $114.5M -$8.4M $-0.22
Q2 2024 $124.6M -$10.0M $-0.25
Q1 2024 $121.6M -$12.3M $-0.33
Q3 2023 $126.5M -$41.4M $-1.31
Q2 2023 $129.1M -$12.6M $-0.41

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GRPN Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$64.5M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$14.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

GRPN SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Groupon, Inc. (CIK: 0001490281)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773693211.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773692886.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 8-K grpn-20260310.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 10-K grpn-20251231.htm View →
Dec 31, 2025 8-K grpn-20251223.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GRPN

What is the AI rating for GRPN?

Groupon, Inc. (GRPN) has an AI rating of SELL with 87% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GRPN's key strengths?

Claude: High gross margin of 90.8% demonstrates strong unit economics and pricing power. Positive free cash flow of $49.9M (10% FCF margin) despite net losses provides operational cushion.

What are the risks of investing in GRPN?

Claude: Negative stockholders equity of -$42.6M represents technical balance sheet insolvency and equity value destruction. Net losses accelerating (-$83.5M) with EPS declining 37.7% YoY indicates widening operational distress despite flat revenue growth.

What is GRPN's revenue and growth?

Groupon, Inc. reported revenue of $498.4M.

Does GRPN pay dividends?

Groupon, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find GRPN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Groupon, Inc. (CIK: 0001490281) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GRPN's EPS?

Groupon, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-2.08.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GRPN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Groupon, Inc. has a SELL rating with 87% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is GRPN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GRPN: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -16.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GRPN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Groupon, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GRPN's free cash flow?

Groupon, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $64.5M, with capital expenditures of $14.6M. FCF margin is 10.0%.

How does GRPN compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -16.8% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.98 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 10, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI