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Fedex Corp. (FDX) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

FDX NYSE Air Courier Services DE CIK: 0001048911
Recently Updated • Analysis: Jul 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-05-31
Combined AI Grade
B
79% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
B
72% Conf
B
86% Conf

📊 FDX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $94.7B
Net Margin: 4.7%
Free Cash Flow: $5.1B
Current Ratio: 1.48x
Debt/Equity: 0.74x
EPS: $18.55
AI Grade: B with 72% confidence
Fedex Corp. (FDX) receives a B fundamental grade with 79% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $94.7B, net profit margin of 4.7%, and return on equity (ROE) of 14.0%, Fedex Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete FDX stock analysis for 2026.

Is Fedex Corp. (FDX) a Good Investment?

Claude

FedEx demonstrates solid financial health with 7.7% revenue growth and strong free cash flow generation of $5.1B, supported by manageable leverage (Debt/Equity 0.74x) and adequate liquidity. However, net income growth of only 0.2% despite robust revenue expansion signals margin compression, warranting a cautious stance until profitability trends stabilize.

ChatGPT

FedEx demonstrates solid revenue growth, strong cash generation, and manageable leverage, supported by $5.12 billion in free cash flow and 7.3x interest coverage. However, nearly flat net income despite 7.7% revenue growth, modest margins, and EPS growth materially exceeding earnings growth indicate limited operating leverage and potentially buyback-driven per-share improvement.

Fedex Corp. Key Strengths (FDX)

Claude
  • + Revenue growth of 7.7% YoY shows solid top-line momentum in the competitive courier services sector
  • + Robust free cash flow of $5.1B (5.4% FCF margin) provides significant flexibility for reinvestment and debt service
  • + Balanced capital structure with Debt/Equity of 0.74x and strong interest coverage of 7.3x indicating financial stability
  • + Operating cash flow of $8.9B demonstrates consistent, reliable cash generation from core operations
ChatGPT
  • + Revenue grew 7.7% year over year to $94.72 billion
  • + Generated $8.93 billion of operating cash flow and $5.12 billion of free cash flow
  • + Adequate liquidity and manageable leverage with a 1.48x current ratio and 0.74x debt-to-equity ratio

FDX Stock Risks: Fedex Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Significant earnings growth deceleration: net income up only 0.2% despite 7.7% revenue growth indicates troubling margin compression
  • ! Low net profit margin of 4.7% provides minimal buffer against cost inflation and competitive pricing pressures
  • ! Capital-intensive model requiring $3.8B annual capex ($3.8B) reduces free cash flow conversion efficiency
  • ! Absolute debt level of $23.5B creates ongoing refinancing risk and interest rate sensitivity exposure
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income increased only 0.2% despite strong revenue growth, signaling cost pressure
  • ! Operating margin of 5.8% and net margin of 4.7% provide limited protection against downturns
  • ! Long-term debt of $23.45 billion remains substantial and could constrain flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin and net margin trends in next quarters to confirm if compression stabilizes or reverses
  • * Free cash flow sustainability relative to capital expenditure requirements and debt obligations
  • * Cost structure analysis to identify whether margin compression stems from operational inefficiency or competitive pricing
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and net income growth
  • * Free cash flow after capital expenditures

Fedex Corp. (FDX) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$94.7B
Net Income
$4.4B
EPS (Diluted)
$18.55
Free Cash Flow
$5.1B
Total Assets
$98.9B
Cash Position
$13.3B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Fedex Corp. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

FDX Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 5.8%
Net Margin 4.7%
ROE 14.0%
ROA 4.5%
FCF Margin 5.4%

FDX vs Transportation Sector: How Fedex Corp. Compares

How Fedex Corp. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
FDX 4.7%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
FDX Sector
ROE
FDX 14.0%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
FDX Sector
Current Ratio
FDX 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
FDX Sector
Debt/Equity
FDX 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
FDX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Fedex Corp. Stock Overvalued? FDX Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Fedex Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
14.0%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
4.7%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Fedex Corp. Balance Sheet: FDX Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.48x
Quick Ratio
1.48x
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
7.33x
Long-term Debt
$23.5B

FDX Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

FDX 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $93.5B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $4.90. Year 2023: Revenue $93.5B, Net Income $5.2B, EPS $19.45. Year 2024: Revenue $93.5B, Net Income $3.8B, EPS $14.33. Year 2025: Revenue $90.2B, Net Income $4.0B, EPS $15.48. Year 2026: Revenue $94.7B, Net Income $4.3B, EPS $17.21.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Fedex Corp.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 1% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $17.21 reflects profitable operations.

FDX Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
5.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FDX Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Fedex Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2026 $22.2B $909.0M $3.76
Q2 2026 $22.0B $741.0M $3.03
Q1 2026 $21.6B $794.0M $3.21
Q3 2025 $21.7B $879.0M $3.51
Q2 2025 $22.0B $741.0M $3.03
Q1 2025 $21.6B $794.0M $3.21
Q3 2024 $21.7B $771.0M $3.05
Q2 2024 $22.2B $788.0M $3.07

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Fedex Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$8.9B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$796.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.8B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.4B
Returned to shareholders

FDX SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Fedex Corp. (CIK: 0001048911)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jul 24, 2026 8-K tm2621019d1_8k.htm View →
Jul 21, 2026 8-K fdx-20260721.htm View →
Jul 20, 2026 10-K fdx-20260531.htm View →
Jul 10, 2026 8-K tm2620197d1_8k.htm View →
Jul 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FDX

What is the AI rating for FDX?

Fedex Corp. (FDX) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (B) with 79% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FDX's key strengths?

Claude: Revenue growth of 7.7% YoY shows solid top-line momentum in the competitive courier services sector. Robust free cash flow of $5.1B (5.4% FCF margin) provides significant flexibility for reinvestment and debt service. ChatGPT: Revenue grew 7.7% year over year to $94.72 billion. Generated $8.93 billion of operating cash flow and $5.12 billion of free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in FDX?

Claude: Significant earnings growth deceleration: net income up only 0.2% despite 7.7% revenue growth indicates troubling margin compression. Low net profit margin of 4.7% provides minimal buffer against cost inflation and competitive pricing pressures. ChatGPT: Net income increased only 0.2% despite strong revenue growth, signaling cost pressure. Operating margin of 5.8% and net margin of 4.7% provide limited protection against downturns.

What is FDX's revenue and growth?

Fedex Corp. reported revenue of $94.7B.

Does FDX pay dividends?

Fedex Corp. pays dividends, with $1,374.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find FDX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Fedex Corp. (CIK: 0001048911) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FDX's EPS?

Fedex Corp. has a diluted EPS of $18.55.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is FDX's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in August 2026, Fedex Corp. has a B grade with 79% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is FDX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FDX: ROE of 14.0% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 4.7% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is FDX's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Fedex Corp. a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FDX's free cash flow?

Fedex Corp.'s operating cash flow is $8.9B, with capital expenditures of $3.8B. FCF margin is 5.4%.

How does FDX compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 4.7% (avg: 10%), ROE 14.0% (avg: 18%), current ratio 1.48 (avg: 1).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Jul 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-05-31 | Powered by Claude AI