← Back to All US Stocks

Carvana Co. (CVNA) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CVNA NYSE Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations DE CIK: 0001690820
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
78% Confidence
NEUTRAL
SELL
72% Conf
BUY
85% Conf

📊 CVNA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $6.4B
Net Margin: 3.9%
Free Cash Flow: $56.0M
Current Ratio: 4.09x
Debt/Equity: 1.30x
EPS: $8.45
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
Carvana Co. (CVNA) receives a HOLD rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $6.4B, net profit margin of 3.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 6.7%, Carvana Co. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Automotive sector. Below is our complete CVNA stock analysis for 2026.

Is Carvana Co. (CVNA) a Good Investment?

Claude

Carvana demonstrates impressive 48.6% YoY revenue growth, but profitability is deteriorating—net income flatlined despite explosive sales expansion, indicating margin compression and operational inefficiency. High leverage (1.30x D/E ratio) combined with anemic free cash flow (0.9% FCF margin and $56M on $6.4B revenue) creates financial stress, while weak returns on capital (ROE 6.7%, ROA 1.8%) signal poor capital allocation.

ChatGPT

Carvana's fundamentals show a strong turnaround: revenue grew 48.6% year over year while margins expanded to solid levels for an auto retailer, producing $1.88B of operating income and $889M of free cash flow. Liquidity is strong and interest coverage is healthy, but leverage remains meaningful and the business still needs to prove that recent profitability and cash generation are durable through a full cycle.

Why Buy Carvana Co. Stock? CVNA Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 48.6% YoY demonstrates market traction and scale expansion
  • + Solid liquidity position with 4.09x current ratio and $2.4B cash provides operational flexibility
  • + Positive operating income of $581M shows core business can generate earnings at scale
ChatGPT
  • + Rapid top-line growth with solid conversion into operating profit and free cash flow
  • + Strong liquidity position, with $2.33B in cash and current ratio of 4.31x
  • + Improved profitability profile, including 20.6% gross margin, 9.3% operating margin, and 10.9x interest coverage

CVNA Stock Risks: Carvana Co. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income flat YoY despite 48.6% revenue growth signals deteriorating unit economics and margin compression—cost structure not scaling efficiently
  • ! Critically weak free cash flow generation (0.9% FCF margin) insufficient to service 1.30x D/E leverage; 3.4x interest coverage is below-average for debt burden
  • ! Returns on invested capital extremely weak (ROE 6.7%, ROA 1.8%) indicate poor capital efficiency and inability to generate returns justifying the debt load
ChatGPT
  • ! Leverage is still elevated, with $4.92B of long-term debt and 1.43x debt-to-equity
  • ! Net income was flat year over year despite major revenue growth, which could signal normalization risk in earnings quality
  • ! Auto retail fundamentals are cyclical and sensitive to credit conditions, consumer demand, and used-vehicle pricing

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Gross margin trend—watch for continued compression or stabilization
  • * Free cash flow conversion as percentage of revenue—critical indicator of sustainability
  • * Debt/Equity ratio and interest coverage—monitor if leverage becomes unsustainable
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin and free cash flow margin sustainability
  • * Debt reduction progress and interest coverage

Carvana Co. (CVNA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$6.4B
Net Income
$250.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$8.45
Free Cash Flow
$56.0M
Total Assets
$13.8B
Cash Position
$2.4B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 0.9% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 4.09x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

CVNA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 19.8%
Operating Margin 9.0%
Net Margin 3.9%
ROE 6.7%
ROA 1.8%
FCF Margin 0.9%

CVNA vs Automotive Sector: How Carvana Co. Compares

How Carvana Co. compares to Automotive sector averages

Net Margin
CVNA 3.9%
vs
Sector Avg 6.0%
CVNA Sector
ROE
CVNA 6.7%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CVNA Sector
Current Ratio
CVNA 4.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
CVNA Sector
Debt/Equity
CVNA 1.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
CVNA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Carvana Co. Stock Overvalued? CVNA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Carvana Co. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Automotive sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.7%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
3.9%
Sector avg: 6%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.30x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Carvana Co. Balance Sheet: CVNA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
4.09x
Quick Ratio
2.57x
Debt/Equity
1.30x
Debt/Assets
66.4%
Interest Coverage
3.36x
Long-term Debt
$4.8B

CVNA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CVNA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $12.8B, Net Income -$115.0M, EPS $-2.45. Year 2022: Revenue $13.6B, Net Income -$171.0M, EPS $-2.63. Year 2023: Revenue $13.6B, Net Income -$135.0M, EPS $-1.63. Year 2024: Revenue $13.7B, Net Income -$1.6B, EPS $-15.74. Year 2025: Revenue $20.3B, Net Income $450.0M, EPS $0.75.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Carvana Co.'s revenue has grown significantly by 59% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.75 reflects profitable operations.

CVNA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
0.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CVNA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Carvana Co. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $4.2B $216.0M N/A
Q3 2025 $3.7B $85.0M N/A
Q2 2025 $3.4B $18.0M N/A
Q1 2025 $3.1B $28.0M N/A
Q3 2024 $2.8B $85.0M N/A
Q2 2024 $3.0B $18.0M N/A
Q1 2024 $2.6B $28.0M $0.24
Q3 2023 $2.8B -$283.0M $-2.67

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Carvana Co. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$107.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$51.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CVNA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Carvana Co. (CIK: 0001690820)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 6, 2026 8-K cvna-20260505.htm View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011883.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011877.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011870.xml View →
May 5, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1778011861.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CVNA

What is the AI rating for CVNA?

Carvana Co. (CVNA) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CVNA's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 48.6% YoY demonstrates market traction and scale expansion. Solid liquidity position with 4.09x current ratio and $2.4B cash provides operational flexibility. ChatGPT: Rapid top-line growth with solid conversion into operating profit and free cash flow. Strong liquidity position, with $2.33B in cash and current ratio of 4.31x.

What are the risks of investing in CVNA?

Claude: Net income flat YoY despite 48.6% revenue growth signals deteriorating unit economics and margin compression—cost structure not scaling efficiently. Critically weak free cash flow generation (0.9% FCF margin) insufficient to service 1.30x D/E leverage; 3.4x interest coverage is below-average for debt burden. ChatGPT: Leverage is still elevated, with $4.92B of long-term debt and 1.43x debt-to-equity. Net income was flat year over year despite major revenue growth, which could signal normalization risk in earnings quality.

What is CVNA's revenue and growth?

Carvana Co. reported revenue of $6.4B.

Does CVNA pay dividends?

Carvana Co. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CVNA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Carvana Co. (CIK: 0001690820) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CVNA's EPS?

Carvana Co. has a diluted EPS of $8.45.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CVNA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Carvana Co. has a HOLD rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CVNA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CVNA: ROE of 6.7% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 3.9% (sector avg: 6%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy CVNA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Carvana Co. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CVNA's free cash flow?

Carvana Co.'s operating cash flow is $107.0M, with capital expenditures of $51.0M. FCF margin is 0.9%.

How does CVNA compare to other Automotive stocks?

Vs Automotive sector averages: Net margin 3.9% (avg: 6%), ROE 6.7% (avg: 12%), current ratio 4.09 (avg: 1.2).

Top Rated Stocks
AAPL 92% MSFT 92% MELI 92% INVA 92% GCT 92% FTNT 92% FAST 92% DT 92% DECK 92% DAVEW 92%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI