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ARVN Stock Analysis - ARVINAS, INC. AI Rating

ARVN Nasdaq Pharmaceutical Preparations DE CIK: 0001655759
Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
SELL
85% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Arvinas is a pre-commercial pharmaceutical company burning substantial cash with negative operating margins of -45.1% and free cash flow of -275.7M annually. While the company maintains adequate liquidity with $142.9M in cash and a strong current ratio of 4.92x, the accelerating cash burn rate and lack of meaningful revenue growth (-0.3% YoY) indicate an unsustainable operational model that will require additional financing or significant revenue inflection to survive beyond 2-3 years.

ARVN Strengths

  • + Strong liquidity position with $142.9M cash and 4.92x current ratio provides runway for operations
  • + Improving net income trend with 59.4% YoY improvement in net loss suggests operational efficiency gains
  • + Minimal debt burden with only $600K in long-term debt and 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio reduces financial risk

ARVN Risks

  • ! Massive negative free cash flow of -275.7M annually at 105% of revenue indicates unsustainable burn rate
  • ! Stagnant revenue growth of -0.3% YoY with -45.1% operating margin demonstrates business model is not yet viable
  • ! Operating cash burn of -273.8M exceeds cash reserves and will require significant external financing within 1-2 years
  • ! Clinical stage company with no evidence of path to profitability or material revenue acceleration in near term

Key Metrics to Watch

ARVN Financial Metrics

Revenue
$262.6M
Net Income
$-80.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$-1.14
Free Cash Flow
$-275.7M
Total Assets
$717.9M
Cash Position
$142.9M

ARVN Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -45.1%
Net Margin -30.8%
ROE -18.6%
ROA -11.3%
FCF Margin -105.0%

ARVN Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
4.92x
Quick Ratio
4.92x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
39.6%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$600.0K

ARVN 5-Year Financial Trend

ARVN 5-year financial data: Year 2018: Revenue $14.3M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2019: Revenue $18.3M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $21.8M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $46.7M, Net Income -$70.3M, EPS $-2.13.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: ARVINAS, INC.'s revenue has grown significantly by 227% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-6.62 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

ARVN Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-105.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ARVN Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for ARVINAS, INC. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $41.9M -$13.4M $-0.18
Q2 2025 $22.4M $21.7M $0.30
Q1 2025 $25.3M -$69.4M $-0.97
Q3 2024 $34.6M -$49.2M $-0.68
Q2 2024 $54.5M -$35.2M $-0.49
Q1 2024 $25.3M -$69.4M $-0.97
Q3 2023 $33.2M -$64.0M $-1.18
Q2 2023 $33.8M -$66.6M $-1.25

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

ARVN Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$273.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$91.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

ARVN SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for ARVINAS, INC. (CIK: 0001655759)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 20, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI