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Tennessee Valley Authority (TVC) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

TVC NYSE Electric Services CIK: 0001376986
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 17, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 TVC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $5.9B
Net Margin: 4.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-814.0M
Current Ratio: 0.82x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $0.00
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence
Tennessee Valley Authority (TVC) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $5.9B, net profit margin of 4.5%, Tennessee Valley Authority demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Utilities sector. Below is our complete TVC stock analysis for 2026.

Is Tennessee Valley Authority (TVC) a Good Investment?

Claude

TVA exhibits material financial stress with a critical interest coverage ratio of 0.4x, indicating operating income insufficient to service debt obligations, compounded by negative free cash flow of -$814M requiring ongoing external financing. While net income improved 19.8% YoY, declining revenue and deteriorating liquidity metrics (current ratio 0.82x) signal structural solvency concerns.

Why Buy Tennessee Valley Authority Stock? TVC Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Net income growth of 19.8% YoY demonstrates operational leverage and potential efficiency improvements
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $330M shows ability to generate cash from core utility operations
  • + Substantial $59.5B asset base provides secured foundation as regulated utility with essential infrastructure

TVC Stock Risks: Tennessee Valley Authority Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical interest coverage of 0.4x means operating income cannot cover interest expenses, raising acute debt service solvency risk
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$814M indicates unsustainable cash burn exceeding capital investments, requiring external financing
  • ! Liquidity stress with current ratio of 0.82x and quick ratio of 0.57x below safe thresholds for operational resilience
  • ! Revenue declined 3.9% YoY amid $22.1B long-term debt burden with minimal ROA of 0.4%

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Interest coverage ratio trajectory - must exceed 1.5x to indicate debt service capability
  • * Free cash flow generation - critical inflection point toward sustainability
  • * Liquidity ratios and cash position - monitor ability to meet near-term obligations
  • * Long-term debt levels and refinancing needs given negative FCF environment

Tennessee Valley Authority (TVC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$5.9B
Net Income
$266.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.00
Free Cash Flow
$-814.0M
Total Assets
$59.5B
Cash Position
$501.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

TVC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 9.3%
Net Margin 4.5%
ROE N/A
ROA 0.4%
FCF Margin -13.8%

TVC vs Utilities Sector: How Tennessee Valley Authority Compares

How Tennessee Valley Authority compares to Utilities sector averages

Net Margin
TVC 4.5%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
TVC Sector
ROE
TVC 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
TVC Sector
Current Ratio
TVC 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
TVC Sector
Debt/Equity
TVC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.4x
TVC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Tennessee Valley Authority Stock Overvalued? TVC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Tennessee Valley Authority has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Utilities sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 10%
Net Profit Margin
4.5%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 1.4x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Tennessee Valley Authority Balance Sheet: TVC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.82x
Quick Ratio
0.57x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
67.0%
Interest Coverage
0.44x
Long-term Debt
$22.1B

TVC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

TVC 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $11.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2020: Revenue $11.3B, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2021: Revenue $11.3B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $12.5B, Net Income $1.4B, EPS N/A. Year 2023: Revenue $12.5B, Net Income $1.5B, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Tennessee Valley Authority's revenue has grown significantly by 11% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion.

TVC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-13.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

TVC Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Tennessee Valley Authority including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2024 $5.9B $48.0M N/A
Q3 2023 $2.7B -$58.0M N/A
Q2 2023 $2.9B $48.0M N/A
Q1 2023 $2.6B $11.0M N/A
Q3 2022 $2.5B $256.0M N/A
Q2 2022 $2.6B $209.0M N/A
Q1 2022 $2.3B $11.0M N/A
Q3 2021 $2.3B $205.0M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Tennessee Valley Authority Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$330.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$1.1B
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

TVC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Tennessee Valley Authority (CIK: 0001376986)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 13, 2026 8-K tve-20260407.htm View →
Apr 6, 2026 8-K tve-20260403.htm View →
Mar 5, 2026 8-K tve-20260227.htm View →
Mar 2, 2026 8-K tve-20260224.htm View →
Feb 12, 2026 8-K tve-20260211.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about TVC

What is the AI rating for TVC?

Tennessee Valley Authority (TVC) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are TVC's key strengths?

Claude: Net income growth of 19.8% YoY demonstrates operational leverage and potential efficiency improvements. Positive operating cash flow of $330M shows ability to generate cash from core utility operations.

What are the risks of investing in TVC?

Claude: Critical interest coverage of 0.4x means operating income cannot cover interest expenses, raising acute debt service solvency risk. Negative free cash flow of -$814M indicates unsustainable cash burn exceeding capital investments, requiring external financing.

What is TVC's revenue and growth?

Tennessee Valley Authority reported revenue of $5.9B.

Does TVC pay dividends?

Tennessee Valley Authority does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find TVC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Tennessee Valley Authority (CIK: 0001376986) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is TVC's EPS?

Tennessee Valley Authority has a diluted EPS of $0.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is TVC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Tennessee Valley Authority has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is TVC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for TVC: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 10%), net margin of 4.5% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy TVC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Tennessee Valley Authority a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is TVC's free cash flow?

Tennessee Valley Authority's operating cash flow is $330.0M, with capital expenditures of $1.1B. FCF margin is -13.8%.

How does TVC compare to other Utilities stocks?

Vs Utilities sector averages: Net margin 4.5% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 10%), current ratio 0.82 (avg: 0.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 17, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI