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Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

TPL NYSE Oil Royalty Traders DE CIK: 0001811074
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 17, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 TPL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $798.2M
Net Margin: 60.3%
Free Cash Flow: $535.5M
Current Ratio: 4.40x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $6.97
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence
Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) receives a BUY rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $798.2M, net profit margin of 60.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 33.0%, Texas Pacific Land Corp demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete TPL stock analysis for 2026.

Is Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) a Good Investment?

Claude

TPL exhibits exceptional fundamental strength with 74.2% operating margins, 60.3% net margins, zero debt, and $535.5M free cash flow generation (67.1% FCF margin). The capital-efficient royalty model delivers 33% ROE and converts revenue into cash exceptionally well. However, as a commodity-exposed oil royalty business, earnings remain cyclical and vulnerable to energy price fluctuations, preventing a higher rating despite outstanding balance sheet metrics.

Why Buy Texas Pacific Land Corp Stock? TPL Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 74.2% operating margin and 60.3% net margin—among the highest for any business model
  • + Outstanding returns on capital: 33% ROE and 29.7% ROA demonstrate efficient use of shareholder capital
  • + Capital-efficient model with minimal CapEx ($10.4M or 1.3% of revenue) while generating $535.5M free cash flow
  • + Zero long-term debt with 4.40x current ratio and $144.8M cash—fortress balance sheet with substantial financial flexibility
  • + Strong revenue growth of 13.1% YoY demonstrates demand for underlying oil and gas assets

TPL Stock Risks: Texas Pacific Land Corp Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Commodity price cyclicality: earnings highly dependent on oil and gas prices; price declines directly impact royalty revenues
  • ! Revenue-to-net-income growth deceleration (13.1% vs. 6.0% YoY) suggests potential margin compression or cost pressures
  • ! Significant insider trading activity (70 Form 4 filings in 90 days) may indicate uncertainty or opportunistic selling
  • ! Long-term energy transition risk: regulatory, ESG, and climate policies could pressure oil and gas demand and royalty values
  • ! Limited operational upside potential given already exceptional margins; growth dependent on external commodity prices rather than operational leverage

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Oil and gas price trends—primary driver of royalty revenue and net income
  • * Operating margin trend—monitor for continued compression relative to revenue growth
  • * Free cash flow conversion and capital allocation decisions with the $535.5M annual FCF
  • * Insider transaction patterns and motivations behind the 70 Form 4 filings
  • * Debt/Equity ratio and leverage changes—confirm zero-debt strategy maintains

Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$798.2M
Net Income
$481.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$6.97
Free Cash Flow
$535.5M
Total Assets
$1.6B
Cash Position
$144.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 67.1% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. Strong liquidity with a 4.40x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

TPL Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 74.2%
Net Margin 60.3%
ROE 33.0%
ROA 29.7%
FCF Margin 67.1%

TPL vs Energy Sector: How Texas Pacific Land Corp Compares

How Texas Pacific Land Corp compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
TPL 60.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
TPL Sector
ROE
TPL 33.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
TPL Sector
Current Ratio
TPL 4.4x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
TPL Sector
Debt/Equity
TPL 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
TPL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Texas Pacific Land Corp Stock Overvalued? TPL Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Texas Pacific Land Corp appears fundamentally strong relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
33.0%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
60.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Texas Pacific Land Corp Balance Sheet: TPL Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
4.40x
Quick Ratio
4.40x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
10.1%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
N/A

TPL Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

TPL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $490.5M, Net Income $318.7M, EPS $41.09. Year 2022: Revenue $667.4M, Net Income $176.0M, EPS $22.70. Year 2023: Revenue $667.4M, Net Income $270.0M, EPS $34.83. Year 2024: Revenue $705.8M, Net Income $446.4M, EPS $19.26. Year 2025: Revenue $798.2M, Net Income $405.6M, EPS $5.86.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Texas Pacific Land Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 63% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.86 reflects profitable operations.

TPL Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
67.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

TPL Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Texas Pacific Land Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $173.6M $106.6M $4.63
Q2 2025 $172.3M $114.4M $4.98
Q1 2025 $174.1M $114.4M $4.97
Q3 2024 $158.0M $86.6M $4.58
Q2 2024 $160.6M $86.6M $4.35
Q1 2024 $146.4M $86.6M $3.75
Q3 2023 $158.0M $86.6M $13.74
Q2 2023 $160.6M $86.6M $13.05

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Texas Pacific Land Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$545.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$8.4M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$10.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$147.8M
Returned to shareholders

TPL SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Texas Pacific Land Corp (CIK: 0001811074)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 16, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
Apr 15, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
Apr 14, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
Apr 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →
Apr 10, 2026 4 xslF345X06/rdgdoc.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about TPL

What is the AI rating for TPL?

Texas Pacific Land Corp (TPL) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are TPL's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 74.2% operating margin and 60.3% net margin—among the highest for any business model. Outstanding returns on capital: 33% ROE and 29.7% ROA demonstrate efficient use of shareholder capital.

What are the risks of investing in TPL?

Claude: Commodity price cyclicality: earnings highly dependent on oil and gas prices; price declines directly impact royalty revenues. Revenue-to-net-income growth deceleration (13.1% vs. 6.0% YoY) suggests potential margin compression or cost pressures.

What is TPL's revenue and growth?

Texas Pacific Land Corp reported revenue of $798.2M.

Does TPL pay dividends?

Texas Pacific Land Corp pays dividends, with $147.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find TPL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Texas Pacific Land Corp (CIK: 0001811074) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is TPL's EPS?

Texas Pacific Land Corp has a diluted EPS of $6.97.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is TPL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Texas Pacific Land Corp has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is TPL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for TPL: ROE of 33.0% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 60.3% (sector avg: 12%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy TPL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Texas Pacific Land Corp a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is TPL's free cash flow?

Texas Pacific Land Corp's operating cash flow is $545.9M, with capital expenditures of $10.4M. FCF margin is 67.1%.

How does TPL compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 60.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 33.0% (avg: 14%), current ratio 4.40 (avg: 1.3).

Why is TPL's return on equity (ROE) so high?

Texas Pacific Land Corp has a return on equity of 33.0%, significantly above the Energy sector average of 14%. A high ROE indicates the company is efficient at generating profits from shareholder equity. This is supported by a 60.3% net margin.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 17, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI