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TGT Stock Analysis - TARGET CORP AI Rating

TGT NYSE Retail-Variety Stores MN CIK: 0000027419
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-31
AI Rating
HOLD
72% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Target demonstrates solid operational efficiency with strong profitability metrics (22.9% ROE, 6.2% ROA) and excellent interest coverage (48.3x), but faces headwinds from declining revenue (-1.7% YoY) and weakening net income (-9.4% YoY). The company's liquidity position is strained with a current ratio of 0.94x and minimal cash reserves, requiring close monitoring alongside modest free cash flow generation.

TGT Strengths

  • + Exceptional return on equity (22.9%) and solid return on assets (6.2%) indicate efficient capital deployment
  • + Strong interest coverage ratio (48.3x) demonstrates robust ability to service debt obligations
  • + Healthy operating cash flow of $6.6B with positive free cash flow of $2.8B provides financial flexibility
  • + Moderate leverage (0.89x debt/equity) maintains balance sheet stability

TGT Risks

  • ! Revenue contraction (-1.7% YoY) signals top-line weakness in competitive retail environment
  • ! Net income decline (-9.4% YoY) outpacing revenue decline suggests margin compression or cost control challenges
  • ! Weak liquidity position with current ratio below 1.0x (0.94x) and minimal cash reserves ($250M) limits short-term flexibility
  • ! High long-term debt of $14.4B relative to stockholders' equity ($16.2B) constrains financial flexibility
  • ! Low quick ratio (0.36x) indicates potential working capital stress if operational challenges persist

Key Metrics to Watch

TGT Financial Metrics

Revenue
$104.8B
Net Income
$3.7B
EPS (Diluted)
$8.13
Free Cash Flow
$2.8B
Total Assets
$59.5B
Cash Position
$250.0M

TGT Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 19.8%
Operating Margin 4.9%
Net Margin 3.5%
ROE 22.9%
ROA 6.2%
FCF Margin 2.7%

TGT Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.94x
Quick Ratio
0.36x
Debt/Equity
0.89x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
48.27x
Long-term Debt
$14.4B

TGT 5-Year Financial Trend

TGT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $106.0B, Net Income N/A, EPS $6.36. Year 2022: Revenue $109.1B, Net Income $4.4B, EPS $8.64. Year 2023: Revenue $109.1B, Net Income $6.9B, EPS $14.10. Year 2024: Revenue $109.1B, Net Income $2.8B, EPS $5.98. Year 2025: Revenue $107.4B, Net Income $4.1B, EPS $8.94.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: TARGET CORP's revenue has shown modest growth of 1% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $8.94 reflects profitable operations.

TGT Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

TGT Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for TARGET CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $25.3B $689.0M $1.51
Q2 2025 $25.2B $854.0M $2.05
Q1 2025 $23.8B $854.0M $2.03
Q3 2024 $25.4B $835.0M $1.85
Q2 2024 $24.8B $835.0M $1.80
Q1 2024 $24.5B $835.0M $2.03
Q3 2023 $25.4B $183.0M $1.54
Q2 2023 $24.8B $183.0M $0.39

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

TGT Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$6.6B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$408.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.7B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$2.1B
Returned to shareholders

TGT SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for TARGET CORP (CIK: 0000027419)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-31 | Powered by Claude AI