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Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

SMCI Nasdaq Electronic Computers CA CIK: 0001375365
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 16, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
65% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 SMCI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $17.7B
Net Margin: 3.2%
Free Cash Flow: $-994.9M
Current Ratio: 1.70x
Debt/Equity: 0.01x
EPS: $0.86
AI Rating: SELL with 65% confidence
Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) receives a SELL rating with 65% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $17.7B, net profit margin of 3.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 8.1%, Super Micro Computer, Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Technology sector. Below is our complete SMCI stock analysis for 2026.

Is Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) a Good Investment?

Claude

Super Micro Computer demonstrates impressive 46.6% revenue growth but exhibits critical fundamental deterioration with negative $941M operating cash flow despite $569M reported net income, indicating severe earnings quality concerns and working capital distress. Despite strong balance sheet leverage, the company's inability to convert growth into cash generation, combined with flat net income growth and declining EPS despite massive revenue expansion, signals unsustainable unit economics and potential operational strain.

Why Buy Super Micro Computer, Inc. Stock? SMCI Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong top-line growth at 46.6% YoY ($17.7B revenue)
  • + Fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.01x Debt/Equity) and $4.1B cash
  • + Exceptional interest coverage ratio of 40.4x indicates financial stability

SMCI Stock Risks: Super Micro Computer, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical divergence: negative $941M operating cash flow vs. positive $569M net income suggests severe earnings quality issues or working capital crisis
  • ! Zero net income growth and -12.5% EPS decline despite 46.6% revenue growth indicates margin compression and shareholder dilution
  • ! Razor-thin 7.2% gross margin and 3.2% net margin in commoditized hardware market with no pricing power leaves zero margin for error
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$994.9M is unsustainable; at current burn rate, $4.1B cash buffer depletes within 4+ years

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trajectory and working capital management (inventory/receivables)
  • * Gross margin recovery and operating leverage realization
  • * Capital efficiency and return on equity improvement toward double-digit ROE

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$17.7B
Net Income
$568.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.86
Free Cash Flow
$-994.9M
Total Assets
$28.0B
Cash Position
$4.1B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Super Micro Computer, Inc. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

SMCI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 7.2%
Operating Margin 3.7%
Net Margin 3.2%
ROE 8.1%
ROA 2.0%
FCF Margin -5.6%

SMCI vs Technology Sector: How Super Micro Computer, Inc. Compares

How Super Micro Computer, Inc. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
SMCI 3.2%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
SMCI Sector
ROE
SMCI 8.1%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
SMCI Sector
Current Ratio
SMCI 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
SMCI Sector
Debt/Equity
SMCI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
SMCI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Super Micro Computer, Inc. Stock Overvalued? SMCI Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Super Micro Computer, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Technology sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
8.1%
Sector avg: 22%
Net Profit Margin
3.2%
Sector avg: 18%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.01x
Sector avg: 0.5x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Super Micro Computer, Inc. Balance Sheet: SMCI Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.70x
Quick Ratio
1.01x
Debt/Equity
0.01x
Debt/Assets
75.0%
Interest Coverage
40.43x
Long-term Debt
$85.6M

SMCI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

SMCI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $3.6B, Net Income $71.9M, EPS $1.39. Year 2022: Revenue $5.2B, Net Income $84.3M, EPS $1.60. Year 2023: Revenue $7.1B, Net Income $111.9M, EPS $2.09. Year 2024: Revenue $15.0B, Net Income $285.2M, EPS $0.53. Year 2025: Revenue $22.0B, Net Income $640.0M, EPS $1.14.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 518% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.14 reflects profitable operations.

SMCI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-5.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

SMCI Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Super Micro Computer, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $5.7B $320.6M $0.51
Q1 2026 $5.0B $168.3M $0.26
Q3 2025 $3.9B $108.8M $0.17
Q2 2025 $3.7B $296.0M $0.51
Q1 2025 $2.1B $157.0M $0.27
Q3 2024 $1.3B $85.8M $1.53
Q2 2024 $1.8B $176.2M $3.14
Q1 2024 $1.9B $157.0M $2.75

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Super Micro Computer, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$941.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$200.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$53.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

SMCI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (CIK: 0001375365)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 8-K smci-20260320.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772577718.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772577585.xml View →
Mar 3, 2026 DEF 14A smci-20260303.htm View →
Feb 19, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771536448.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about SMCI

What is the AI rating for SMCI?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has an AI rating of SELL with 65% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are SMCI's key strengths?

Claude: Strong top-line growth at 46.6% YoY ($17.7B revenue). Fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.01x Debt/Equity) and $4.1B cash.

What are the risks of investing in SMCI?

Claude: Critical divergence: negative $941M operating cash flow vs. positive $569M net income suggests severe earnings quality issues or working capital crisis. Zero net income growth and -12.5% EPS decline despite 46.6% revenue growth indicates margin compression and shareholder dilution.

What is SMCI's revenue and growth?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. reported revenue of $17.7B.

Does SMCI pay dividends?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find SMCI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Super Micro Computer, Inc. (CIK: 0001375365) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is SMCI's EPS?

Super Micro Computer, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.86.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is SMCI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Super Micro Computer, Inc. has a SELL rating with 65% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is SMCI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for SMCI: ROE of 8.1% (sector avg: 22%), net margin of 3.2% (sector avg: 18%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy SMCI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Super Micro Computer, Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is SMCI's free cash flow?

Super Micro Computer, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-941.4M, with capital expenditures of $53.5M. FCF margin is -5.6%.

How does SMCI compare to other Technology stocks?

Vs Technology sector averages: Net margin 3.2% (avg: 18%), ROE 8.1% (avg: 22%), current ratio 1.70 (avg: 2.5).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 16, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI