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Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

SERA Nasdaq Services-Medical Laboratories DE CIK: 0001534969
Update Pending • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
D
95% Confidence
N/A
D
95% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 SERA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $14.0K
Net Margin: -59,992.9%
Free Cash Flow: $-8.8M
Current Ratio: 2.12x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $-0.17
AI Grade: D with 95% confidence
Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) receives a D fundamental grade with 95% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $14.0K, net profit margin of -59,992.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of -12.4%, Sera Prognostics, Inc.. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Healthcare sector. Below is our complete SERA stock analysis for 2026.

Is Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) a Good Investment?

Claude

SERA is a pre-revenue/near-zero revenue company burning approximately $8.8M in cash quarterly with only $4.2M in cash reserves, implying less than 2 months of operational runway. Despite a healthy balance sheet with $67.6M equity and minimal debt, the company's fundamental inability to generate meaningful revenue combined with massive operating losses creates an imminent solvency crisis requiring immediate capital infusion or business transformation.

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Key Strengths (SERA)

Claude
  • + Zero financial leverage (no long-term debt; Debt/Equity 0.00x)
  • + Positive stockholders' equity of $67.6M provides theoretical liquidation cushion
  • + Loss metrics trending positively YoY (net loss improved 2.9% despite lack of scale)

SERA Stock Risks: Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Catastrophic cash runway: $4.2M cash versus $8.8M quarterly cash burn implies insolvency within 6 weeks
  • ! Negligible revenue generation ($14K quarterly) fails to offset any operating costs; unsustainable business model
  • ! 21 Form 4 filings in 90 days suggests elevated insider activity, potentially indicating management awareness of distress and opportunistic selling
  • ! Operating losses of $9.4M on $14K revenue demonstrates complete absence of path to profitability
  • ! Imminent capital raise requirement will create severe shareholder dilution

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly cash balance and monthly burn rate
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and customer acquisition metrics
  • * Capital raise announcements and dilution impact
  • * Insider transaction volumes and direction (buying vs selling)
  • * Time to next cash requirement/runway remaining

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$14.0K
Net Income
$-8.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.17
Free Cash Flow
$-8.8M
Total Assets
$93.5M
Cash Position
$4.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.12x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

SERA Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin -66,857.1%
Net Margin -59,992.9%
ROE -12.4%
ROA -9.0%
FCF Margin -62,728.6%

SERA vs Healthcare Sector: How Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Compares

How Sera Prognostics, Inc.. compares to Healthcare sector averages

Net Margin
SERA -59,992.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
SERA Sector
ROE
SERA -12.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
SERA Sector
Current Ratio
SERA 2.1x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
SERA Sector
Debt/Equity
SERA 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
SERA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Stock Overvalued? SERA Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Sera Prognostics, Inc.. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Healthcare sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-12.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-59,992.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Balance Sheet: SERA Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.12x
Quick Ratio
2.12x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
27.7%
Interest Coverage
-4,680.00x
Long-term Debt
N/A

SERA Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

SERA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $82.0K, Net Income -$19.8M, EPS $-12.76. Year 2022: Revenue $268.0K, Net Income -$35.0M, EPS $-2.33. Year 2023: Revenue $306.0K, Net Income -$44.2M, EPS $-1.43. Year 2024: Revenue $306.0K, Net Income -$36.2M, EPS $-1.16. Year 2025: Revenue $81.0K, Net Income -$32.9M, EPS $-0.99.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Sera Prognostics, Inc..'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 1% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.99 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

SERA Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-62,728.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

SERA Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Sera Prognostics, Inc.. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $14.0K -$8.2M $-0.17
Q3 2025 $16.0K -$7.8M $-0.16
Q2 2025 $17.0K -$8.0M $-0.16
Q1 2025 N/A -$8.1M $-0.20
Q3 2024 $29.0K -$7.2M $-0.23
Q2 2024 $24.0K -$8.1M $-0.25
Q1 2024 N/A -$8.1M $-0.25
Q3 2023 $42.0K -$7.2M $-0.23

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$8.8M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$8.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

SERA SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (CIK: 0001534969)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jun 9, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 4, 2026 8-K sera-20260604.htm View →
Jun 4, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Jun 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about SERA

What is the AI rating for SERA?

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (SERA) has an AI grade of D with 95% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are SERA's key strengths?

Claude: Zero financial leverage (no long-term debt; Debt/Equity 0.00x). Positive stockholders' equity of $67.6M provides theoretical liquidation cushion.

What are the risks of investing in SERA?

Claude: Catastrophic cash runway: $4.2M cash versus $8.8M quarterly cash burn implies insolvency within 6 weeks. Negligible revenue generation ($14K quarterly) fails to offset any operating costs; unsustainable business model.

What is SERA's revenue and growth?

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. reported revenue of $14.0K.

Does SERA pay dividends?

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find SERA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Sera Prognostics, Inc.. (CIK: 0001534969) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is SERA's EPS?

Sera Prognostics, Inc.. has a diluted EPS of $-0.17.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is SERA's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in June 2026, Sera Prognostics, Inc.. has a D grade with 95% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is SERA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for SERA: ROE of -12.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -59,992.9% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is SERA's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Sera Prognostics, Inc.. a combined D grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is SERA's free cash flow?

Sera Prognostics, Inc..'s operating cash flow is $-8.8M, with capital expenditures of $8.0K. FCF margin is -62,728.6%.

How does SERA compare to other Healthcare stocks?

Vs Healthcare sector averages: Net margin -59,992.9% (avg: 12%), ROE -12.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.12 (avg: 2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI