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Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (PROV) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

PROV Nasdaq Savings Institution, Federally Chartered DE CIK: 0001010470
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 14, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 PROV Key Takeaways

Revenue: $28.1M
Net Margin: 11.1%
Free Cash Flow: $3.5M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.47
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (PROV) receives a SELL rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $28.1M, net profit margin of 11.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 2.4%, Provident Financial Holdings Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete PROV stock analysis for 2026.

Is Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (PROV) a Good Investment?

Claude

Provident Financial exhibits strong revenue growth (+59.6% YoY) but deteriorating shareholder returns, with net income flat YoY and ROE collapsed to 2.4%, indicating that top-line expansion is not translating to profitable growth. The disconnect between revenue growth and earnings, combined with concerning interest coverage of 0.3x and declining EPS (-12.3%), suggests operational challenges or unfavorable business mix that erodes value creation.

Why Buy Provident Financial Holdings Inc. Stock? PROV Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 59.6% YoY demonstrates market demand and expanding operations
  • + Zero debt with 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio provides financial flexibility and downside protection
  • + Positive free cash flow of 3.5M with 12.4% FCF margin shows operational cash generation

PROV Stock Risks: Provident Financial Holdings Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Abysmal ROE of 2.4% and ROA of 0.3% indicate severe inefficiency in deploying shareholder capital and assets
  • ! Net income growth flat (0.0% YoY) despite 59.6% revenue growth signals margin compression and deteriorating profitability quality
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 0.3x is critically low for a financial institution, suggesting inability to adequately cover interest obligations from operating income
  • ! EPS declined 12.3% YoY despite efforts to grow, indicating shareholder dilution outpacing earnings growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net profit margin trend and revenue quality (monitoring for further margin compression)
  • * Interest coverage ratio (must improve above 1.0x for financial stability)
  • * Return on Equity trajectory (must exceed 8-10% to justify equity investment)

Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (PROV) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$28.1M
Net Income
$3.1M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.47
Free Cash Flow
$3.5M
Total Assets
$1.2B
Cash Position
$54.4M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

PROV Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 17.0%
Net Margin 11.1%
ROE 2.4%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 12.4%

PROV vs Finance Sector: How Provident Financial Holdings Inc. Compares

How Provident Financial Holdings Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
PROV 11.1%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
PROV Sector
ROE
PROV 2.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
PROV Sector
Current Ratio
PROV 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
PROV Sector
Debt/Equity
PROV 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
PROV Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Provident Financial Holdings Inc. Stock Overvalued? PROV Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Provident Financial Holdings Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
2.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
11.1%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Provident Financial Holdings Inc. Balance Sheet: PROV Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
89.6%
Interest Coverage
0.33x
Long-term Debt
N/A

PROV Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

PROV 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Provident Financial Holdings Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $1.06 reflects profitable operations.

PROV Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
12.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

Provident Financial Holdings Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$3.7M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$231.0K
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$1.8M
Returned to shareholders

PROV SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (CIK: 0001010470)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Feb 6, 2026 10-Q prov-20251231x10q.htm View →
Jan 27, 2026 8-K prov8k12726.htm View →
Jan 23, 2026 8-K prov8k12226cd.htm View →
Jan 23, 2026 8-K prov8k12226sr.htm View →
Nov 21, 2025 8-K 8k112025.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about PROV

What is the AI rating for PROV?

Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (PROV) has an AI rating of SELL with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are PROV's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 59.6% YoY demonstrates market demand and expanding operations. Zero debt with 0.00x debt-to-equity ratio provides financial flexibility and downside protection.

What are the risks of investing in PROV?

Claude: Abysmal ROE of 2.4% and ROA of 0.3% indicate severe inefficiency in deploying shareholder capital and assets. Net income growth flat (0.0% YoY) despite 59.6% revenue growth signals margin compression and deteriorating profitability quality.

What is PROV's revenue and growth?

Provident Financial Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $28.1M.

Does PROV pay dividends?

Provident Financial Holdings Inc. pays dividends, with $1.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find PROV SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Provident Financial Holdings Inc. (CIK: 0001010470) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is PROV's EPS?

Provident Financial Holdings Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.47.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is PROV a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Provident Financial Holdings Inc. has a SELL rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is PROV stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for PROV: ROE of 2.4% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 11.1% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy PROV stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Provident Financial Holdings Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is PROV's free cash flow?

Provident Financial Holdings Inc.'s operating cash flow is $3.7M, with capital expenditures of $231.0K. FCF margin is 12.4%.

How does PROV compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 11.1% (avg: 25%), ROE 2.4% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 14, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI