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Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

PM NYSE Cigarettes VA CIK: 0001413329
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
81% Confidence
NEUTRAL
SELL
85% Conf
BUY
77% Conf

📊 PM Key Takeaways

Revenue: $10.1B
Net Margin: 24.0%
Free Cash Flow: $-752.0M
Current Ratio: 0.98x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $1.56
AI Rating: SELL with 85% confidence
Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) receives a HOLD rating with 81% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $10.1B, net profit margin of 24.0%, Philip Morris International Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete PM stock analysis for 2026.

Is Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) a Good Investment?

Claude

Despite exceptional operating margins (38.4%), Philip Morris faces critical financial distress with negative stockholders' equity (-$9.3B), negative operating cash flow (-$399M), and weak liquidity (0.98x current ratio). The divergence between accounting profitability and cash flow deterioration raises fundamental solvency concerns that outweigh operational strengths.

ChatGPT

Philip Morris International shows strong core fundamentals, with high margins, solid revenue growth, and robust free cash flow generation that supports resilience and capital returns. The main offsets are a highly leveraged balance sheet, negative equity, and only modest net income growth, which make the business fundamentally strong but not without financial structure risk.

Why Buy Philip Morris International Inc. Stock? PM Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional gross margin of 68.1% and operating margin of 38.4% demonstrate significant pricing power in nicotine products
  • + Revenue growth of 7.3% YoY shows continued market demand despite regulatory headwinds
  • + Positive net income of $2.4B reflects operational profitability on accounting basis
ChatGPT
  • + Very high profitability, including 67.1% gross margin, 36.6% operating margin, and 27.9% net margin
  • + Strong cash generation with $12.23B operating cash flow and $10.66B free cash flow
  • + Revenue grew 7.3% year over year, indicating underlying business momentum

PM Stock Risks: Philip Morris International Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders' equity of -$9.3B indicates technical insolvency and structurally unsustainable capital structure
  • ! Negative operating cash flow (-$399M) and free cash flow (-$752M) signal fundamental business deterioration below accounting results
  • ! Severely constrained liquidity with current ratio of 0.98x and quick ratio of 0.54x combined with $43.8B debt burden creates acute refinancing risk
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative stockholders equity and $49.01B of long-term debt create balance sheet risk
  • ! Liquidity is somewhat tight, with a 0.96x current ratio and 0.51x quick ratio
  • ! Net income growth was only 0.3% year over year, suggesting earnings quality should be monitored despite EPS growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend - critical divergence from net income suggests deteriorating business fundamentals
  • * Debt refinancing ability and interest coverage deterioration - 2.6x coverage provides limited cushion
  • * Working capital management and changes in receivables/payables - source of negative operating cash flow
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow conversion and operating cash flow trend
  • * Net income growth relative to revenue growth and debt burden

Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$10.1B
Net Income
$2.4B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.56
Free Cash Flow
$-752.0M
Total Assets
$68.9B
Cash Position
$5.5B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

PM Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 68.1%
Operating Margin 38.4%
Net Margin 24.0%
ROE N/A
ROA 3.5%
FCF Margin -7.4%

PM vs Market Sector: How Philip Morris International Inc. Compares

How Philip Morris International Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
PM 24.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
PM Sector
ROE
PM 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
PM Sector
Current Ratio
PM 1.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
PM Sector
Debt/Equity
PM 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
PM Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Philip Morris International Inc. Stock Overvalued? PM Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Philip Morris International Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
24.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Philip Morris International Inc. Balance Sheet: PM Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.98x
Quick Ratio
0.54x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
110.6%
Interest Coverage
2.55x
Long-term Debt
$43.8B

PM Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

PM 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $31.4B, Net Income $7.2B, EPS $4.61. Year 2022: Revenue $31.8B, Net Income $8.1B, EPS $5.16. Year 2023: Revenue $35.2B, Net Income $9.1B, EPS $5.83. Year 2024: Revenue $37.9B, Net Income $9.0B, EPS $5.81. Year 2025: Revenue $40.6B, Net Income $7.8B, EPS $5.02.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Philip Morris International Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 29% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.02 reflects profitable operations.

PM Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-7.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

PM Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Philip Morris International Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $9.3B $2.4B $1.56
Q3 2025 $9.9B $3.1B $1.97
Q2 2025 $9.5B $2.4B $1.54
Q1 2025 $8.8B $2.1B $1.38
Q3 2024 $9.1B $2.1B $1.32
Q2 2024 $9.0B $1.6B $1.01
Q1 2024 $8.0B $2.0B $1.28
Q3 2023 $8.0B $2.1B $1.32

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Philip Morris International Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$399.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$353.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$2.3B
Returned to shareholders

PM SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Philip Morris International Inc. (CIK: 0001413329)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 29, 2026 8-K tm2612413d4_8k.htm View →
Apr 24, 2026 10-Q pm-20260331.htm View →
Apr 22, 2026 8-K pm-20260422.htm View →
Mar 26, 2026 DEF 14A pmi-20260325.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 8-K pm-20260313.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about PM

What is the AI rating for PM?

Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 81% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are PM's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional gross margin of 68.1% and operating margin of 38.4% demonstrate significant pricing power in nicotine products. Revenue growth of 7.3% YoY shows continued market demand despite regulatory headwinds. ChatGPT: Very high profitability, including 67.1% gross margin, 36.6% operating margin, and 27.9% net margin. Strong cash generation with $12.23B operating cash flow and $10.66B free cash flow.

What are the risks of investing in PM?

Claude: Negative stockholders' equity of -$9.3B indicates technical insolvency and structurally unsustainable capital structure. Negative operating cash flow (-$399M) and free cash flow (-$752M) signal fundamental business deterioration below accounting results. ChatGPT: Negative stockholders equity and $49.01B of long-term debt create balance sheet risk. Liquidity is somewhat tight, with a 0.96x current ratio and 0.51x quick ratio.

What is PM's revenue and growth?

Philip Morris International Inc. reported revenue of $10.1B.

Does PM pay dividends?

Philip Morris International Inc. pays dividends, with $2,307.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find PM SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Philip Morris International Inc. (CIK: 0001413329) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is PM's EPS?

Philip Morris International Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.56.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is PM a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Philip Morris International Inc. has a HOLD rating with 81% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is PM stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for PM: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 24.0% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy PM stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Philip Morris International Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is PM's free cash flow?

Philip Morris International Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-399.0M, with capital expenditures of $353.0M. FCF margin is -7.4%.

How does PM compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 24.0% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.98 (avg: 1.8).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI