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Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

PACK NYSE Converted Paper & Paperboard Prods (No Contaners/Boxes) E9 CIK: 0001712463
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
SELL
78% Confidence
AGREEMENT
STRONG SELL
87% Conf
SELL
70% Conf

📊 PACK Key Takeaways

Revenue: $101.2M
Net Margin: -10.1%
Free Cash Flow: $-50.9M
Current Ratio: 1.73x
Debt/Equity: 0.77x
EPS: $-0.12
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 87% confidence
Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK) receives a SELL rating with 78% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $101.2M, net profit margin of -10.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of -1.9%, Ranpak Holdings Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete PACK stock analysis for 2026.

Is Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK) a Good Investment?

Claude

Ranpak is experiencing severe operational deterioration masked by headline revenue growth; despite 18.7% YoY sales expansion, the company is unprofitable at the operating level with -3.8% margins and cannot service debt from operations (interest coverage -0.6x). The business model is structurally challenged: capital intensity (55.3M capex) far exceeds operating cash generation (4.4M), resulting in -50.9M negative free cash flow, which is unsustainable and signals the company is burning shareholder capital to fund growth.

ChatGPT

Strong double-digit revenue growth and adequate liquidity are outweighed by persistent operating losses, negative net income, and negative free cash flow. Interest coverage is materially negative, indicating earnings are insufficient to service debt, and capex intensity is pressuring cash generation. Fundamentals need clear margin and cash flow inflection before the risk profile improves.

Why Buy Ranpak Holdings Corp. Stock? PACK Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Revenue growing 18.7% year-over-year indicates market demand
  • + Gross margin of 34.5% is reasonable for converted paper products sector
  • + Liquidity position adequate with 1.73x current ratio and 48.5M cash on hand
ChatGPT
  • + Robust revenue growth (+18.7% YoY)
  • + Solid liquidity (current 1.83x, quick 1.47x)
  • + Moderate leverage for asset base (D/E 0.75x)

PACK Stock Risks: Ranpak Holdings Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Operating losses with -3.8% operating margin despite revenue growth signals margin compression and execution issues
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -50.9M with -50.3% FCF margin is unsustainable; company burns cash despite positive operating cash flow
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of -0.6x means company cannot service 403.1M long-term debt from operations, creating financial stress
  • ! EPS deteriorating sharply at -73.1% YoY decline indicates fundamental business weakening
  • ! Capital expenditure requirements (55.3M) substantially exceed operating cash generation (4.4M) in a low-margin business, revealing structural profitability challenges
ChatGPT
  • ! Sustained operating and net losses (operating margin -6.2%, net -9.7%)
  • ! Negative free cash flow driven by high capex (-8.2% FCF margin)
  • ! Negative interest coverage (-3.9x) raises refinancing and solvency risk

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend - critical inflection point if reaches positive territory
  • * Free cash flow and cash burn rate - sustainability of liquidity at current capex levels
  • * Debt service coverage ratio and interest coverage - ability to service 403.1M debt without equity dilution
ChatGPT
  • * Operating margin trajectory
  • * Free cash flow margin

Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$101.2M
Net Income
$-10.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.12
Free Cash Flow
$-50.9M
Total Assets
$1.1B
Cash Position
$48.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Ranpak Holdings Corp. presents a mixed fundamental picture. Review the detailed metrics above to form your own investment thesis.

PACK Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 34.5%
Operating Margin -3.8%
Net Margin -10.1%
ROE -1.9%
ROA -0.9%
FCF Margin -50.3%

PACK vs Materials Sector: How Ranpak Holdings Corp. Compares

How Ranpak Holdings Corp. compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
PACK -10.1%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
PACK Sector
ROE
PACK -1.9%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
PACK Sector
Current Ratio
PACK 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
PACK Sector
Debt/Equity
PACK 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
PACK Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Ranpak Holdings Corp. Stock Overvalued? PACK Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Ranpak Holdings Corp. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-1.9%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
-10.1%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.77x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Balance Sheet: PACK Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.73x
Quick Ratio
1.32x
Debt/Equity
0.77x
Debt/Assets
52.6%
Interest Coverage
-0.61x
Long-term Debt
$403.1M

PACK Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

PACK 5-year financial data: Year 2019: Revenue $229.2M, Net Income N/A, EPS N/A. Year 2024: Revenue $315.5M, Net Income -$41.4M, EPS $-0.51. Year 2025: Revenue $332.7M, Net Income -$27.1M, EPS $-0.33.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Ranpak Holdings Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 45% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-0.33 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

PACK Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-50.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

PACK Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Ranpak Holdings Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $77.6M -$10.2M $-0.12
Q3 2025 $78.6M $5.5M $-0.10
Q2 2025 $72.8M -$2.6M $-0.03
Q1 2025 $72.5M -$8.1M $-0.10
Q3 2024 $69.6M -$2.1M $-0.04
Q2 2024 $69.2M -$2.1M $-0.03

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Ranpak Holdings Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$4.4M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$55.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

PACK SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Ranpak Holdings Corp. (CIK: 0001712463)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 30, 2026 10-Q pack-20260331.htm View →
Apr 30, 2026 8-K pack-20260430.htm View →
Apr 9, 2026 DEF 14A ny20063317x2_def14a.htm View →
Apr 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Apr 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about PACK

What is the AI rating for PACK?

Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK) has a Combined AI Rating of SELL from Claude (STRONG SELL) and ChatGPT (SELL) with 78% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are PACK's key strengths?

Claude: Revenue growing 18.7% year-over-year indicates market demand. Gross margin of 34.5% is reasonable for converted paper products sector. ChatGPT: Robust revenue growth (+18.7% YoY). Solid liquidity (current 1.83x, quick 1.47x).

What are the risks of investing in PACK?

Claude: Operating losses with -3.8% operating margin despite revenue growth signals margin compression and execution issues. Negative free cash flow of -50.9M with -50.3% FCF margin is unsustainable; company burns cash despite positive operating cash flow. ChatGPT: Sustained operating and net losses (operating margin -6.2%, net -9.7%). Negative free cash flow driven by high capex (-8.2% FCF margin).

What is PACK's revenue and growth?

Ranpak Holdings Corp. reported revenue of $101.2M.

Does PACK pay dividends?

Ranpak Holdings Corp. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find PACK SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Ranpak Holdings Corp. (CIK: 0001712463) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is PACK's EPS?

Ranpak Holdings Corp. has a diluted EPS of $-0.12.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is PACK a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Ranpak Holdings Corp. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is PACK stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for PACK: ROE of -1.9% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of -10.1% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy PACK stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Ranpak Holdings Corp. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is PACK's free cash flow?

Ranpak Holdings Corp.'s operating cash flow is $4.4M, with capital expenditures of $55.3M. FCF margin is -50.3%.

How does PACK compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin -10.1% (avg: 10%), ROE -1.9% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.73 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI