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Northwest Natural Holding Co (NWN) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

NWN NYSE Natural Gas Distribution OR CIK: 0001733998
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
B
70% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
B
75% Conf
B
65% Conf

📊 NWN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $490.4M
Net Margin: 19.9%
Free Cash Flow: $2.5M
Current Ratio: 0.80x
Debt/Equity: 1.54x
EPS: $2.33
AI Grade: B with 75% confidence
Northwest Natural Holding Co (NWN) receives a B fundamental grade with 70% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $490.4M, net profit margin of 19.9%, and return on equity (ROE) of 6.2%, Northwest Natural Holding Co demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Utilities sector. Below is our complete NWN stock analysis for 2026.

Is Northwest Natural Holding Co (NWN) a Good Investment?

Claude

Northwest Natural exhibits strong profitability fundamentals with 33.2% operating margins and 36.5% EPS growth, supported by 6.6% revenue expansion in a stable regulated sector. However, severe cash flow constraints and liquidity concerns—with minimal 2.5M free cash flow, current ratio of 0.80x, and debt-to-equity of 1.54x—significantly limit financial flexibility and debt service capacity.

ChatGPT

Northwest Natural shows steady revenue growth and sharply improved earnings, supported by a solid operating margin and consistent operating cash flow. However, leverage is elevated, liquidity is tight, and heavy capital spending results in negative free cash flow, making outcomes dependent on timely regulatory recovery and access to financing. Fundamentals appear stable but not yet compelling enough to offset cash flow and balance sheet risks.

Northwest Natural Holding Co Key Strengths (NWN)

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability metrics: 33.2% operating margin and 19.9% net margin demonstrate strong cost control in regulated utility operations
  • + Robust earnings growth with 36.5% YoY EPS expansion and 6.6% revenue growth indicating solid business momentum
  • + Regulated natural gas distribution business model provides stable cash flows and customer base with inelastic demand
ChatGPT
  • + Regulated utility with predictable demand and 6.6% YoY revenue growth
  • + Improving profitability: 21.8% operating margin; EPS and net income up strongly
  • + Solid operating cash flow generation of $269M

NWN Stock Risks: Northwest Natural Holding Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical liquidity position with current ratio and quick ratio both at 0.80x—unable to cover short-term liabilities with current assets
  • ! Severely constrained free cash flow of only 2.5M (0.5% margin) after capex, with operating cash flow nearly entirely consumed by capital expenditures, limiting debt service and financial flexibility
  • ! High leverage with debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54x, long-term debt of 2.4B exceeding stockholders equity of 1.6B, creating vulnerability to economic stress or rising interest rates
ChatGPT
  • ! Negative free cash flow from heavy capex (-15.3% FCF margin)
  • ! Elevated leverage (1.65x D/E) and low liquidity (0.72x current ratio)
  • ! Regulatory lag and higher-rate sensitivity; interest coverage not disclosed

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital expenditure trajectory relative to operating cash flow generation
  • * Working capital management and current ratio improvement toward healthier 1.0x-1.5x levels
  • * Debt reduction progress and leverage ratio trends, particularly debt-to-equity movement below 1.5x
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow (absolute and margin)
  • * Interest coverage

Northwest Natural Holding Co (NWN) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$490.4M
Net Income
$97.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.33
Free Cash Flow
$2.5M
Total Assets
$6.4B
Cash Position
$34.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 0.5% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NWN Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 33.2%
Net Margin 19.9%
ROE 6.2%
ROA 1.5%
FCF Margin 0.5%

NWN vs Utilities Sector: How Northwest Natural Holding Co Compares

How Northwest Natural Holding Co compares to Utilities sector averages

Net Margin
NWN 19.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NWN Sector
ROE
NWN 6.2%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
NWN Sector
Current Ratio
NWN 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.8x
NWN Sector
Debt/Equity
NWN 1.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.4x
NWN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Northwest Natural Holding Co Stock Overvalued? NWN Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Northwest Natural Holding Co has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Utilities sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
6.2%
Sector avg: 10%
Net Profit Margin
19.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
1.54x
Sector avg: 1.4x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Northwest Natural Holding Co Balance Sheet: NWN Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.80x
Quick Ratio
0.80x
Debt/Equity
1.54x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$2.4B

NWN Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NWN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $828.2M, Net Income $61.7M, EPS $2.07. Year 2022: Revenue $1.0B, Net Income $76.8M, EPS $2.51. Year 2023: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $78.7M, EPS $2.56. Year 2024: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $86.3M, EPS $2.54. Year 2025: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $93.9M, EPS $2.59.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Northwest Natural Holding Co's revenue has grown significantly by 46% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.59 reflects profitable operations.

NWN Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
0.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NWN Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Northwest Natural Holding Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $460.6M $87.9M $2.18
Q3 2025 $130.4M -$27.2M $-0.71
Q2 2025 $201.5M -$2.5M $-0.06
Q1 2025 $427.2M $63.8M $1.69
Q3 2024 $130.4M -$23.7M $-0.65
Q2 2024 $201.5M $1.2M $0.03
Q1 2024 $427.2M $63.8M $1.69
Q3 2023 $110.0M -$19.6M $-0.56

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Northwest Natural Holding Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$116.1M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$113.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$19.8M
Returned to shareholders

NWN SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Northwest Natural Holding Co (CIK: 0001733998)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 13, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 11, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 11, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 11, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
May 11, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NWN

What is the AI rating for NWN?

Northwest Natural Holding Co (NWN) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (B) with 70% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NWN's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability metrics: 33.2% operating margin and 19.9% net margin demonstrate strong cost control in regulated utility operations. Robust earnings growth with 36.5% YoY EPS expansion and 6.6% revenue growth indicating solid business momentum. ChatGPT: Regulated utility with predictable demand and 6.6% YoY revenue growth. Improving profitability: 21.8% operating margin; EPS and net income up strongly.

What are the risks of investing in NWN?

Claude: Critical liquidity position with current ratio and quick ratio both at 0.80x—unable to cover short-term liabilities with current assets. Severely constrained free cash flow of only 2.5M (0.5% margin) after capex, with operating cash flow nearly entirely consumed by capital expenditures, limiting debt service and financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Negative free cash flow from heavy capex (-15.3% FCF margin). Elevated leverage (1.65x D/E) and low liquidity (0.72x current ratio).

What is NWN's revenue and growth?

Northwest Natural Holding Co reported revenue of $490.4M.

Does NWN pay dividends?

Northwest Natural Holding Co pays dividends, with $19.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NWN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Northwest Natural Holding Co (CIK: 0001733998) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NWN's EPS?

Northwest Natural Holding Co has a diluted EPS of $2.33.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is NWN's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Northwest Natural Holding Co has a B grade with 70% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is NWN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NWN: ROE of 6.2% (sector avg: 10%), net margin of 19.9% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is NWN's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Northwest Natural Holding Co a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NWN's free cash flow?

Northwest Natural Holding Co's operating cash flow is $116.1M, with capital expenditures of $113.7M. FCF margin is 0.5%.

How does NWN compare to other Utilities stocks?

Vs Utilities sector averages: Net margin 19.9% (avg: 12%), ROE 6.2% (avg: 10%), current ratio 0.80 (avg: 0.8).

Is Northwest Natural Holding Co carrying too much debt?

NWN has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54x, which is above the Utilities sector average of 1.4x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI