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NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

NMIH Nasdaq Surety Insurance CA CIK: 0001547903
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
72% Confidence
AGREEMENT
HOLD
65% Conf
BUY
78% Conf

📊 NMIH Key Takeaways

Revenue: $183.5M
Net Margin: 54.1%
Free Cash Flow: $115.0M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.15x
EPS: $1.28
AI Rating: HOLD with 65% confidence
NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) receives a BUY rating with 72% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $183.5M, net profit margin of 54.1%, and return on equity (ROE) of 3.8%, NMI Holdings, Inc. demonstrates strong fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete NMIH stock analysis for 2026.

Is NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) a Good Investment?

Claude

NMI Holdings exhibits exceptional profitability (54% net margin) and outstanding free cash flow generation ($115M; 62.7% FCF margin) with a fortress balance sheet (0.15x debt/equity), but the concerning disconnect between high margins and very low returns on capital (3.8% ROE) combined with flat net income growth despite 8.5% revenue growth suggests underlying operational headwinds or capital deployment inefficiency that require clarification.

ChatGPT

NMIH delivers strong core profitability and cash generation, with a 70.7% operating margin, 55.1% net margin, 15% ROE, low leverage (0.15x D/E), and a 58.4% FCF margin that supports reinvestment and capital returns. Revenue grew 8.5% YoY and EPS increased 11.1% despite flat net income, indicating operating efficiency and share count reduction, while 62.2x interest coverage underscores resiliency. Cyclical housing and credit risks persist, but current fundamentals indicate durable earnings power.

Why Buy NMI Holdings, Inc. Stock? NMIH Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 54.1% net margin and 68.1% operating margin, demonstrating strong underwriting performance and pricing power
  • + Outstanding free cash flow conversion of $115M (62.7% FCF margin) with minimal capex ($1.1M), indicating a highly scalable and capital-efficient business model
  • + Conservative balance sheet with 0.15x debt/equity and 15.5x interest coverage, providing significant financial flexibility and low financial distress risk
ChatGPT
  • + Exceptional margins and profitability (70.7% operating, 55.1% net) with 15% ROE
  • + Strong balance sheet with low leverage (0.15x D/E) and very high interest coverage (62.2x)
  • + Robust free cash flow and conversion (58.4% FCF margin; minimal capex)

NMIH Stock Risks: NMI Holdings, Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Net income growth stalled at 0% YoY despite 8.5% revenue growth, suggesting rising loss ratios, claims inflation, or margin compression in core business
  • ! Severely depressed returns on capital (3.8% ROE, 2.5% ROA) despite exceptional margins indicate either excess regulatory capital requirements or inefficient asset deployment for a surety insurer
  • ! Diluted EPS growth (+11.1%) driven entirely by share buybacks rather than underlying earnings expansion, masking weak fundamental business momentum
ChatGPT
  • ! Housing and credit cycle sensitivity; rising delinquencies or unemployment could elevate losses
  • ! Dependence on mortgage origination volume and persistency; higher rates/low affordability can slow NIW
  • ! Regulatory and capital framework changes (PMIERs/GSE) and potential reinsurance market tightening

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Combined ratio and underwriting loss ratios - critical to understand earnings growth stagnation and future profitability trajectory
  • * Return on equity and capital deployment strategy - assess whether low ROE reflects regulatory requirements or operational inefficiency
  • * Premium volume and pricing trends - determine if revenue growth can translate into net income expansion
ChatGPT
  • * Loss ratio and delinquency trends
  • * New Insurance Written (NIW) growth and persistency

NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$183.5M
Net Income
$99.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.28
Free Cash Flow
$115.0M
Total Assets
$3.9B
Cash Position
$70.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 62.7% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NMIH Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 68.1%
Net Margin 54.1%
ROE 3.8%
ROA 2.5%
FCF Margin 62.7%

NMIH vs Finance Sector: How NMI Holdings, Inc. Compares

How NMI Holdings, Inc. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
NMIH 54.1%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
NMIH Sector
ROE
NMIH 3.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NMIH Sector
Current Ratio
NMIH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
NMIH Sector
Debt/Equity
NMIH 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
NMIH Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NMI Holdings, Inc. Stock Overvalued? NMIH Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, NMI Holdings, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
3.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
54.1%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.15x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NMI Holdings, Inc. Balance Sheet: NMIH Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.15x
Debt/Assets
32.7%
Interest Coverage
15.54x
Long-term Debt
$396.1M

NMIH Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NMIH 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $485.1M, Net Income $172.0M, EPS $2.47. Year 2022: Revenue $523.3M, Net Income $171.6M, EPS $2.13. Year 2023: Revenue $579.0M, Net Income $231.1M, EPS $2.65. Year 2024: Revenue $651.0M, Net Income $292.9M, EPS $3.39. Year 2025: Revenue $706.4M, Net Income $322.1M, EPS $3.84.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NMI Holdings, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 46% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $3.84 reflects profitable operations.

NMIH Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
62.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NMIH Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for NMI Holdings, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $173.2M $99.3M $1.28
Q3 2025 $166.1M $89.1M $1.15
Q2 2025 $162.1M $89.1M $1.13
Q1 2025 $156.3M $89.1M $1.08
Q3 2024 $148.2M $74.5M $1.00
Q2 2024 $142.7M $74.5M $0.95
Q1 2024 $136.8M $74.5M $0.88
Q3 2023 $130.6M $67.7M $0.90

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NMI Holdings, Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$116.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$27.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

NMIH SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NMI Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001547903)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779147777.xml View →
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779147718.xml View →
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779147645.xml View →
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779147619.xml View →
May 18, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1779147496.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NMIH

What is the AI rating for NMIH?

NMI Holdings, Inc. (NMIH) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (HOLD) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 72% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NMIH's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 54.1% net margin and 68.1% operating margin, demonstrating strong underwriting performance and pricing power. Outstanding free cash flow conversion of $115M (62.7% FCF margin) with minimal capex ($1.1M), indicating a highly scalable and capital-efficient business model. ChatGPT: Exceptional margins and profitability (70.7% operating, 55.1% net) with 15% ROE. Strong balance sheet with low leverage (0.15x D/E) and very high interest coverage (62.2x).

What are the risks of investing in NMIH?

Claude: Net income growth stalled at 0% YoY despite 8.5% revenue growth, suggesting rising loss ratios, claims inflation, or margin compression in core business. Severely depressed returns on capital (3.8% ROE, 2.5% ROA) despite exceptional margins indicate either excess regulatory capital requirements or inefficient asset deployment for a surety insurer. ChatGPT: Housing and credit cycle sensitivity; rising delinquencies or unemployment could elevate losses. Dependence on mortgage origination volume and persistency; higher rates/low affordability can slow NIW.

What is NMIH's revenue and growth?

NMI Holdings, Inc. reported revenue of $183.5M.

Does NMIH pay dividends?

NMI Holdings, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find NMIH SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NMI Holdings, Inc. (CIK: 0001547903) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NMIH's EPS?

NMI Holdings, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.28.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NMIH a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, NMI Holdings, Inc. has a BUY rating with 72% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is NMIH stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NMIH: ROE of 3.8% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 54.1% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NMIH stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NMI Holdings, Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NMIH's free cash flow?

NMI Holdings, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $116.1M, with capital expenditures of $1.1M. FCF margin is 62.7%.

How does NMIH compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 54.1% (avg: 25%), ROE 3.8% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI