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ESNT Stock Analysis 2026 - Essent Group Ltd. AI Rating

ESNT NYSE Surety Insurance D0 CIK: 0001448893
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 24, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG BUY
88% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 ESNT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.3B
Net Margin: 54.7%
Free Cash Flow: $848.7M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.07x
EPS: $6.90
AI Rating: STRONG BUY with 88% confidence

Is ESNT a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Essent Group demonstrates exceptional financial health with a fortress balance sheet (0.07x D/E), industry-leading profitability (54.7% net margin, 65.2% operating margin), and robust cash generation (67.3% FCF margin with $848.7M free cash flow). The company's 33.5x interest coverage and strong ROE of 12% indicate sustainable earnings quality despite modest revenue growth of 1.5% YoY.

Why Buy ESNT? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional profitability with 54.7% net margin and 65.2% operating margin, significantly above industry norms for surety insurance
  • + Fortress balance sheet with only 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio and $123M cash position, providing substantial financial flexibility
  • + Outstanding cash generation with $848.7M operating cash flow and 67.3% FCF margin, supporting capital allocation and resilience
  • + Strong interest coverage of 33.5x indicates minimal financial distress risk with ample debt servicing capacity

ESNT Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue growth of only 1.5% YoY suggests limited organic expansion and potential market saturation in mortgage insurance segment
  • ! Net income declined 5.4% YoY despite stable revenue, indicating potential margin compression from underwriting challenges or increased claims
  • ! Mortgage insurance industry is cyclical and sensitive to housing market downturns, interest rates, and credit conditions
  • ! 11 Form 4 insider filings warrant monitoring for potential signaling of management confidence or concerns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating margin trend and underwriting profitability (monitoring for deterioration in insurance claims experience)
  • * Revenue growth acceleration or deceleration (tracking market share gains and mortgage origination volume)
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation (dividends, buybacks, debt reduction)
  • * Debt-to-equity ratio and leverage policy (ensuring balance sheet discipline maintained)

ESNT Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.3B
Net Income
$690.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$6.90
Free Cash Flow
$848.7M
Total Assets
$7.4B
Cash Position
$123.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 67.3% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

ESNT Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 65.2%
Net Margin 54.7%
ROE 12.0%
ROA 9.3%
FCF Margin 67.3%

ESNT vs Finance Sector

How Essent Group Ltd. compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
ESNT 54.7%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
ESNT Sector
ROE
ESNT 12.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
ESNT Sector
Current Ratio
ESNT 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
ESNT Sector
Debt/Equity
ESNT 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
ESNT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is ESNT Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Essent Group Ltd. appears fundamentally strong relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
54.7%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.07x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

ESNT Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.07x
Debt/Assets
22.6%
Interest Coverage
33.48x
Long-term Debt
$425.0M

ESNT 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

ESNT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.0B, Net Income $555.7M, EPS $5.66. Year 2022: Revenue $1.0B, Net Income $413.0M, EPS $3.88. Year 2023: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $681.8M, EPS $6.11. Year 2024: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $831.4M, EPS $7.72. Year 2025: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $696.4M, EPS $6.50.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Essent Group Ltd.'s revenue has grown significantly by 23% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $6.50 reflects profitable operations.

ESNT Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
67.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

ESNT Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Essent Group Ltd. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $311.8M $164.2M $1.65
Q2 2025 $312.9M $195.3M $1.91
Q1 2025 $298.4M $175.4M $1.69
Q3 2024 $296.1M $176.2M $1.65
Q2 2024 $260.1M $172.2M $1.61
Q1 2024 $256.2M $170.8M $1.59
Q3 2023 $261.8M $178.0M $1.66
Q2 2023 $244.4M $172.2M $1.61

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

ESNT Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$856.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$587.7M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$7.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$122.1M
Returned to shareholders

ESNT SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Essent Group Ltd. (CIK: 0001448893)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772506728.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772506722.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772506716.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772506710.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772506704.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about ESNT

What is the AI rating for ESNT?

Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) has an AI rating of STRONG BUY with 88% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are ESNT's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional profitability with 54.7% net margin and 65.2% operating margin, significantly above industry norms for surety insurance. Fortress balance sheet with only 0.07x debt-to-equity ratio and $123M cash position, providing substantial financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in ESNT?

Claude: Revenue growth of only 1.5% YoY suggests limited organic expansion and potential market saturation in mortgage insurance segment. Net income declined 5.4% YoY despite stable revenue, indicating potential margin compression from underwriting challenges or increased claims.

What is ESNT's revenue and growth?

Essent Group Ltd. reported revenue of $1.3B.

Does ESNT pay dividends?

Essent Group Ltd. pays dividends, with $122.1M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find ESNT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Essent Group Ltd. (CIK: 0001448893) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is ESNT's EPS?

Essent Group Ltd. has a diluted EPS of $6.90.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is ESNT a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Essent Group Ltd. has a STRONG BUY rating with 88% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is ESNT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for ESNT: ROE of 12.0% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 54.7% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy ESNT stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Essent Group Ltd. a combined STRONG BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is ESNT's free cash flow?

Essent Group Ltd.'s operating cash flow is $856.1M, with capital expenditures of $7.4M. FCF margin is 67.3%.

How does ESNT compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 54.7% (avg: 25%), ROE 12.0% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 24, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI