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RDN Stock Analysis 2026 - RADIAN GROUP INC AI Rating

RDN NYSE Surety Insurance DE CIK: 0000890926
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
75% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 RDN Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: 48.7%
Free Cash Flow: $115.7M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.21x
EPS: $4.14
AI Rating: BUY with 75% confidence

Is RDN a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Radian Group demonstrates fortress-like financial health with exceptional operating margins (66.1%), minimal leverage (0.21x debt/equity), and strong free cash flow generation, positioning it as a stable, profitable business. However, declining revenue (-0.8% YoY) and stagnant net income growth present headwinds that require monitoring, though EPS growth (+5.6%) reflects effective capital allocation through likely share buybacks.

Why Buy RDN? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margin of 66.1% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in surety insurance
  • + Fortress balance sheet with low leverage (0.21x debt/equity) and strong interest coverage (11.6x) provides financial flexibility
  • + Consistent free cash flow generation ($115.7M) with 9.7% FCF margin despite top-line headwinds

RDN Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue declining trend (-0.8% YoY) suggests market share loss or structural headwinds in surety insurance sector
  • ! Stagnant net income growth (0.0% YoY) indicates lack of organic growth momentum and operational leverage
  • ! Cyclical surety insurance business is sensitive to economic downturns and credit conditions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Revenue growth trajectory and stabilization timing
  • * Underwriting profitability and combined ratios
  • * Free cash flow sustainability and capital allocation decisions

RDN Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$582.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.14
Free Cash Flow
$115.7M
Total Assets
$8.1B
Cash Position
$24.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

RDN Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 66.1%
Net Margin 48.7%
ROE 12.2%
ROA 7.2%
FCF Margin 9.7%

RDN vs Finance Sector

How RADIAN GROUP INC compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
RDN 48.7%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
RDN Sector
ROE
RDN 12.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
RDN Sector
Current Ratio
RDN 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
RDN Sector
Debt/Equity
RDN 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
RDN Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is RDN Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, RADIAN GROUP INC appears fundamentally strong relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
48.7%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.21x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

RDN Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.21x
Debt/Assets
41.1%
Interest Coverage
11.59x
Long-term Debt
$1.0B

RDN 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

RDN 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.5B, Net Income $672.3M, EPS $3.20. Year 2022: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $393.6M, EPS $2.00. Year 2023: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $600.7M, EPS $3.16. Year 2024: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $742.9M, EPS $4.35. Year 2025: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $603.1M, EPS $3.77.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: RADIAN GROUP INC's revenue has declined by 21% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $3.77 reflects profitable operations.

RDN Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
9.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

RDN Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for RADIAN GROUP INC including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $303.2M $141.4M $0.99
Q2 2025 $318.0M $141.8M $0.98
Q1 2025 $318.1M $144.6M $0.98
Q3 2024 $312.5M $151.9M $0.98
Q2 2024 $289.6M $146.1M $0.91
Q1 2024 $309.9M $152.4M $0.98
Q3 2023 $296.2M $156.6M $0.98
Q2 2023 $286.8M $146.1M $0.91

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

RDN Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$119.9M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$431.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$4.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$145.6M
Returned to shareholders

RDN SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for RADIAN GROUP INC (CIK: 0000890926)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A rdn-20260401.htm View →
Mar 26, 2026 8-K d113548d8k.htm View →
Mar 23, 2026 8-K d122055d8k.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Feb 20, 2026 10-K rdn-20251231.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about RDN

What is the AI rating for RDN?

RADIAN GROUP INC (RDN) has an AI rating of BUY with 75% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are RDN's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margin of 66.1% demonstrates pricing power and operational efficiency in surety insurance. Fortress balance sheet with low leverage (0.21x debt/equity) and strong interest coverage (11.6x) provides financial flexibility.

What are the risks of investing in RDN?

Claude: Revenue declining trend (-0.8% YoY) suggests market share loss or structural headwinds in surety insurance sector. Stagnant net income growth (0.0% YoY) indicates lack of organic growth momentum and operational leverage.

What is RDN's revenue and growth?

RADIAN GROUP INC reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does RDN pay dividends?

RADIAN GROUP INC pays dividends, with $145.6M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find RDN SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for RADIAN GROUP INC (CIK: 0000890926) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is RDN's EPS?

RADIAN GROUP INC has a diluted EPS of $4.14.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is RDN a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, RADIAN GROUP INC has a BUY rating with 75% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is RDN stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for RDN: ROE of 12.2% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 48.7% (sector avg: 25%). Higher ROE suggests strong returns relative to peers.

Should I buy RDN stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives RADIAN GROUP INC a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is RDN's free cash flow?

RADIAN GROUP INC's operating cash flow is $119.9M, with capital expenditures of $4.2M. FCF margin is 9.7%.

How does RDN compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 48.7% (avg: 25%), ROE 12.2% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI