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NKE Stock Analysis - NIKE, Inc. AI Rating

NKE NYSE Rubber & Plastics Footwear OR CIK: 0000320187
Analysis Date: Mar 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30
AI Rating
SELL
72% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Nike faces significant operational headwinds with revenue declining 9.8% YoY and net income collapsing 43.5% YoY, indicating severe margin compression and demand weakness. While the company maintains adequate liquidity (2.06x current ratio) and a reasonable debt/equity position (0.50x), the deteriorating cash generation (FCF margin of only 1.7%) and weak profitability trends suggest structural challenges in the business.

NKE Strengths

  • + Solid balance sheet with $7.0B cash and manageable 0.50x debt/equity ratio
  • + Adequate liquidity with 2.06x current ratio supporting operational needs
  • + Gross margin of 41.4% remains respectable despite revenue pressure

NKE Risks

  • ! Revenue declining 9.8% YoY with net income down 43.5% signals severe demand weakness and margin compression
  • ! Free cash flow margin of only 1.7% indicates poor cash generation relative to sales despite $401M FCF
  • ! Operating margin compression to 8.0% and net margin of 6.3% suggest pricing power loss or cost control issues
  • ! Return metrics deteriorating (ROE 10.8%, ROA 4.0%) indicate declining asset productivity

Key Metrics to Watch

NKE Financial Metrics

Revenue
$24.1B
Net Income
$1.5B
EPS (Diluted)
$1.03
Free Cash Flow
$401.0M
Total Assets
$37.8B
Cash Position
$7.0B

NKE Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 41.4%
Operating Margin 8.0%
Net Margin 6.3%
ROE 10.8%
ROA 4.0%
FCF Margin 1.7%

NKE Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.06x
Quick Ratio
1.83x
Debt/Equity
0.50x
Debt/Assets
0.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$7.0B
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 18, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30 | Powered by Claude AI