← Back to All US Stocks

NIC Stock Analysis 2026 - NICOLET BANKSHARES INC AI Rating

NIC NYSE National Commercial Banks WI CIK: 0001174850
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 13, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 NIC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $471.0M
Net Margin: 32.0%
Free Cash Flow: $149.4M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.11x
EPS: $9.78
AI Rating: BUY with 78% confidence

Is NIC a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Nicolet Bankshares demonstrates excellent fundamental strength with outstanding free cash flow generation ($149.4M, 31.7% margin) and conservative leverage (0.11x debt/equity). However, revenue growth of 53.7% YoY substantially exceeds net income growth of 21.5%, suggesting potential acquisition-related non-recurring items or operating integration headwinds that require monitoring.

Why Buy NIC? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation with 31.7% FCF margin indicates strong underlying business quality
  • + Outstanding profitability with 32% net margin and 39.7% operating margin among peer competitors
  • + Fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage (0.11x debt/equity) and substantial cash reserves ($660.2M) providing strategic flexibility
  • + Strong ROE of 12% demonstrates reasonable return on shareholder capital for banking sector
  • + Significant insider activity (27 Form 4 filings) suggests management confidence in business trajectory

NIC Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe disconnect between revenue growth (53.7% YoY) and net income growth (21.5% YoY) suggests potential acquisition dilution or one-time revenue recognition items that may not be sustainable
  • ! Operating cash flow ($153.5M) trailing net income ($150.7M) is unusual and concerning as OCF should materially exceed net income; indicates potential working capital or quality-of-earnings concerns
  • ! ROA of 1.6% is below-average for a highly profitable bank, suggesting asset efficiency challenges or integration inefficiencies from potential acquisition activity

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Organic vs. acquisition-driven revenue growth breakdown to assess sustainability of 53.7% YoY expansion
  • * Operating cash flow to net income ratio - target should be >1.2x to confirm earnings quality
  • * Net income growth acceleration or stabilization in subsequent quarters to validate 21.5% trajectory

NIC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$471.0M
Net Income
$150.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$9.78
Free Cash Flow
$149.4M
Total Assets
$9.2B
Cash Position
$660.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 31.7% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NIC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 39.7%
Net Margin 32.0%
ROE 12.0%
ROA 1.6%
FCF Margin 31.7%

NIC vs Finance Sector

How NICOLET BANKSHARES INC compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
NIC 32.0%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
NIC Sector
ROE
NIC 12.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NIC Sector
Current Ratio
NIC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
NIC Sector
Debt/Equity
NIC 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
NIC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NIC Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, NICOLET BANKSHARES INC appears fundamentally strong relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
32.0%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.11x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NIC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.11x
Debt/Assets
86.3%
Interest Coverage
4.54x
Long-term Debt
$134.9M

NIC 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

NIC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NICOLET BANKSHARES INC's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $4.08 reflects profitable operations.

NIC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
31.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NIC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$153.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$76.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$4.1M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$18.7M
Returned to shareholders

NIC SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NICOLET BANKSHARES INC (CIK: 0001174850)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 24, 2026 DEF 14A nic-20260324.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →
Feb 27, 2026 10-K nic-20251231.htm View →
Feb 20, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NIC

What is the AI rating for NIC?

NICOLET BANKSHARES INC (NIC) has an AI rating of BUY with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NIC's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation with 31.7% FCF margin indicates strong underlying business quality. Outstanding profitability with 32% net margin and 39.7% operating margin among peer competitors.

What are the risks of investing in NIC?

Claude: Severe disconnect between revenue growth (53.7% YoY) and net income growth (21.5% YoY) suggests potential acquisition dilution or one-time revenue recognition items that may not be sustainable. Operating cash flow ($153.5M) trailing net income ($150.7M) is unusual and concerning as OCF should materially exceed net income; indicates potential working capital or quality-of-earnings concerns.

What is NIC's revenue and growth?

NICOLET BANKSHARES INC reported revenue of $471.0M.

Does NIC pay dividends?

NICOLET BANKSHARES INC pays dividends, with $18.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NIC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NICOLET BANKSHARES INC (CIK: 0001174850) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NIC's EPS?

NICOLET BANKSHARES INC has a diluted EPS of $9.78.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NIC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, NICOLET BANKSHARES INC has a BUY rating with 78% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is NIC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NIC: ROE of 12.0% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 32.0% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NIC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NICOLET BANKSHARES INC a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NIC's free cash flow?

NICOLET BANKSHARES INC's operating cash flow is $153.5M, with capital expenditures of $4.1M. FCF margin is 31.7%.

How does NIC compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 32.0% (avg: 25%), ROE 12.0% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 13, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI