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NECB Stock Analysis 2026 - NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ AI Rating

NECB Nasdaq Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered MD CIK: 0001847398
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 13, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
BUY
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 NECB Key Takeaways

Revenue: $154.1M
Net Margin: 28.8%
Free Cash Flow: $50.8M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.20x
EPS: $3.25
AI Rating: BUY with 68% confidence

Is NECB a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

NorthEast Community Bancorp demonstrates solid fundamentals with exceptional revenue growth (53% YoY) and outstanding free cash flow generation (33.0% FCF margin) supported by conservative leverage (0.20x Debt/Equity). However, flat net income growth despite strong revenue expansion signals operational headwinds or margin compression that requires monitoring, preventing a higher conviction rating.

Why Buy NECB? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 53% YoY with strong operating leverage (40.4% operating margin)
  • + Outstanding cash generation with 33% FCF margin and minimal capex requirements ($1.7M)
  • + Conservative balance sheet with 0.20x Debt/Equity ratio and $81.2M cash position providing financial flexibility
  • + Solid profitability metrics: 28.8% net margin and 12.6% ROE typical for community banks

NECB Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Earnings stagnation (0.0% net income growth) despite 53% revenue growth indicates margin compression or cost pressures deteriorating operational efficiency
  • ! Declining EPS (-7.7% YoY) coupled with flat net income suggests shareholder dilution and earnings quality concerns
  • ! Moderate interest coverage ratio of 4.7x leaves limited cushion for asset quality deterioration or rising funding costs in banking operations

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Reconciliation of 53% revenue growth vs. flat net income growth to identify source of margin compression
  • * Provision for credit losses and asset quality trends (NPL ratios, charge-offs) affecting earnings
  • * Net interest margin sustainability and sensitivity to interest rate changes affecting bank profitability

NECB Financial Metrics

Revenue
$154.1M
Net Income
$44.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.25
Free Cash Flow
$50.8M
Total Assets
$2.1B
Cash Position
$81.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 33.0% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NECB Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 40.4%
Net Margin 28.8%
ROE 12.6%
ROA 2.2%
FCF Margin 33.0%

NECB vs Default Sector

How NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
NECB 28.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NECB Sector
ROE
NECB 12.6%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
NECB Sector
Current Ratio
NECB 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
NECB Sector
Debt/Equity
NECB 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
NECB Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NECB Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ appears fundamentally strong relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.6%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
28.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.20x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NECB Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.20x
Debt/Assets
83.0%
Interest Coverage
4.74x
Long-term Debt
$70.0M

NECB 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

NECB 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $3.52 reflects profitable operations.

NECB Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
33.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NECB Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$52.6M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$1.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$13.3M
Returned to shareholders

NECB SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ (CIK: 0001847398)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 10, 2026 DEF 14A tm261561d1_def14a.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Mar 13, 2026 10-K necb-20251231x10k.htm View →
Mar 6, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NECB

What is the AI rating for NECB?

NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ (NECB) has an AI rating of BUY with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NECB's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 53% YoY with strong operating leverage (40.4% operating margin). Outstanding cash generation with 33% FCF margin and minimal capex requirements ($1.7M).

What are the risks of investing in NECB?

Claude: Earnings stagnation (0.0% net income growth) despite 53% revenue growth indicates margin compression or cost pressures deteriorating operational efficiency. Declining EPS (-7.7% YoY) coupled with flat net income suggests shareholder dilution and earnings quality concerns.

What is NECB's revenue and growth?

NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ reported revenue of $154.1M.

Does NECB pay dividends?

NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ pays dividends, with $13.3M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NECB SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ (CIK: 0001847398) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NECB's EPS?

NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ has a diluted EPS of $3.25.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NECB a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ has a BUY rating with 68% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is NECB stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NECB: ROE of 12.6% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 28.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NECB stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/ a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NECB's free cash flow?

NorthEast Community Bancorp, Inc./MD/'s operating cash flow is $52.6M, with capital expenditures of $1.7M. FCF margin is 33.0%.

How does NECB compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 28.8% (avg: 12%), ROE 12.6% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 13, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI