← Back to All US Stocks

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

NCLH NYSE Water Transportation D0 CIK: 0001513761
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 6, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
76% Confidence
AGREEMENT
D
85% Conf
C
67% Conf

📊 NCLH Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.3B
Net Margin: 4.5%
Free Cash Flow: $-625.2M
Current Ratio: 0.21x
Debt/Equity: 5.75x
EPS: $0.23
AI Grade: D with 85% confidence
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) receives a C fundamental grade with 76% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $2.3B, net profit margin of 4.5%, and return on equity (ROE) of 4.3%, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Transportation sector. Below is our complete NCLH stock analysis for 2026.

Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) a Good Investment?

Claude

Norwegian Cruise Line is in severe financial distress despite positive operating cash flows and modest revenue growth. The combination of critically low liquidity (0.21x current ratio), extreme leverage (5.75x debt-to-equity), and negative free cash flow of $625M creates substantial going-concern risk. The company's capital-intensive operations ($1.4B capex) are unsustainable at current cash generation levels, leaving minimal margin for operational disruption.

ChatGPT

Core operations are profitable with a solid operating margin and strong interest coverage, but net income declined sharply and free cash flow is negative due to heavy capex. Extremely weak liquidity and high leverage leave little margin for error and elevate refinancing and execution risk. Fundamentals need clearer improvement in cash generation and balance sheet strength before becoming attractive.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Key Strengths (NCLH)

Claude
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $811.5M provides near-term operational sustainability
  • + Modest revenue growth of 3.7% YoY and operating margin of 10% demonstrate pricing power in cruise industry
  • + Exceptional interest coverage ratio of 57.6x indicates current debt service capacity despite high leverage
ChatGPT
  • + Positive revenue growth with 15.9% operating margin
  • + Strong operating cash flow ($2.09B) supporting interest coverage
  • + Interest coverage of 56.5x indicates manageable near-term debt service

NCLH Stock Risks: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critically dangerous current ratio of 0.21x and quick ratio of 0.18x signal imminent liquidity crisis and potential inability to meet short-term obligations
  • ! Negative free cash flow of $625M despite positive operating cash flow indicates capital expenditure ($1.4B) unsustainable relative to cash generation
  • ! Extreme leverage at 5.75x debt-to-equity with $14B long-term debt against only $185M cash creates refinancing and restructuring risk
  • ! Sharply declining EPS (-51.3% YoY) despite revenue growth indicates deteriorating profitability per share and heavy dilution
  • ! Very low ROE (4.3%) and ROA (0.4%) demonstrate inefficient asset utilization and poor returns on shareholder capital
ChatGPT
  • ! Very weak liquidity (current ratio 0.21x; quick 0.18x)
  • ! High leverage (Debt/Equity 6.21x; $13.73B LT debt)
  • ! Negative free cash flow (-$1.17B) amid heavy capex and earnings compression

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Current and quick ratios - any further deterioration signals imminent solvency crisis
  • * Free cash flow trend - must turn positive to reduce debt dependence
  • * Debt refinancing schedule and rates - critical given liquidity constraints and leverage levels
  • * Operating cash flow stability - primary lifeline given capital intensity of cruise operations
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow and FCF margin
  • * Current ratio and short-term liquidity

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$2.3B
Net Income
$104.7M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.23
Free Cash Flow
$-625.2M
Total Assets
$23.8B
Cash Position
$185.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NCLH Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 10.0%
Net Margin 4.5%
ROE 4.3%
ROA 0.4%
FCF Margin -26.8%

NCLH vs Transportation Sector: How Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Compares

How Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. compares to Transportation sector averages

Net Margin
NCLH 4.5%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
NCLH Sector
ROE
NCLH 4.3%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
NCLH Sector
Current Ratio
NCLH 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
NCLH Sector
Debt/Equity
NCLH 5.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.0x
NCLH Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Stock Overvalued? NCLH Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Transportation sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.3%
Sector avg: 18%
Net Profit Margin
4.5%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
5.75x
Sector avg: 1x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Balance Sheet: NCLH Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.21x
Quick Ratio
0.18x
Debt/Equity
5.75x
Debt/Assets
89.8%
Interest Coverage
57.59x
Long-term Debt
$14.0B

NCLH Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NCLH 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.5B, Net Income $930.2M, EPS $4.30. Year 2022: Revenue $4.8B, Net Income -$4.0B, EPS $-15.75. Year 2023: Revenue $8.5B, Net Income -$4.5B, EPS $-12.33. Year 2024: Revenue $9.5B, Net Income -$2.3B, EPS $-5.41. Year 2025: Revenue $9.8B, Net Income $166.2M, EPS $0.39.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s revenue has grown significantly by 52% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.39 reflects profitable operations.

NCLH Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-26.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NCLH Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $2.1B -$40.3M $-0.09
Q3 2025 $2.8B $409.0M $0.86
Q2 2025 $2.4B -$10.3M $-0.02
Q1 2025 $2.1B $17.4M $0.04
Q3 2024 $2.5B $272.7M $0.62
Q2 2024 $2.2B -$73.2M $-0.17
Q1 2024 $1.8B $17.4M $0.04
Q3 2023 $1.6B $272.7M $0.62

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$811.5M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$349.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.4B
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

NCLH SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (CIK: 0001513761)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2615646-1_4seq1.xml View →
May 21, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2615246-1_4seq1.xml View →
May 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2614978-1_4seq1.xml View →
May 12, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2614390-1_4seq1.xml View →
May 11, 2026 4 xslF345X06/tm2614293-1_4seq1.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NCLH

What is the AI rating for NCLH?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (D) and ChatGPT (C) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NCLH's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating cash flow of $811.5M provides near-term operational sustainability. Modest revenue growth of 3.7% YoY and operating margin of 10% demonstrate pricing power in cruise industry. ChatGPT: Positive revenue growth with 15.9% operating margin. Strong operating cash flow ($2.09B) supporting interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in NCLH?

Claude: Critically dangerous current ratio of 0.21x and quick ratio of 0.18x signal imminent liquidity crisis and potential inability to meet short-term obligations. Negative free cash flow of $625M despite positive operating cash flow indicates capital expenditure ($1.4B) unsustainable relative to cash generation. ChatGPT: Very weak liquidity (current ratio 0.21x; quick 0.18x). High leverage (Debt/Equity 6.21x; $13.73B LT debt).

What is NCLH's revenue and growth?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. reported revenue of $2.3B.

Does NCLH pay dividends?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find NCLH SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (CIK: 0001513761) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NCLH's EPS?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. has a diluted EPS of $0.23.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is NCLH's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. has a C grade with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is NCLH stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NCLH: ROE of 4.3% (sector avg: 18%), net margin of 4.5% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is NCLH's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NCLH's free cash flow?

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd.'s operating cash flow is $811.5M, with capital expenditures of $1.4B. FCF margin is -26.8%.

How does NCLH compare to other Transportation stocks?

Vs Transportation sector averages: Net margin 4.5% (avg: 10%), ROE 4.3% (avg: 18%), current ratio 0.21 (avg: 1).

Is Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. carrying too much debt?

NCLH has a debt-to-equity ratio of 5.75x, which is above the Transportation sector average of 1x. Combined with a current ratio below 1, this warrants careful monitoring of the balance sheet.

Top Rated Stocks
AAPL 92% MSFT 92% FAST 92% ANET 88% RDDT 88% KNSL 88% MGRE 88% FIZZ 88% DECK 87% NVDA 87%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 6, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI