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NBHC Stock Analysis 2026 - National Bank Holdings Corp AI Rating

NBHC NYSE National Commercial Banks DE CIK: 0001475841
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 13, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 NBHC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $47.1M
Net Margin: 232.6%
Free Cash Flow: $160.5M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.04x
EPS: $2.85
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence

Is NBHC a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

NBHC demonstrates strong financial stability with excellent cash generation ($160.5M FCF) and a fortress balance sheet (0.04x debt/equity), but faces headwinds from flat revenue growth and declining EPS (-7.5% YoY) that suggest operational challenges. The 7.9% ROE is weak for banking sector standards, indicating the company is not efficiently deploying capital despite solid profitability and liquidity.

Why Buy NBHC? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $160.5M with minimal capex requirements
  • + Conservative capital structure with minimal leverage (Debt/Equity 0.04x) and $417.1M cash position
  • + Maintained profitability and slight net income growth (+0.8% YoY) despite flat revenue environment
  • + Solid operating margins (283.7%) reflecting stable core banking operations

NBHC Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue stagnation at $47.1M with essentially flat YoY change indicates lack of growth momentum
  • ! Diluted EPS declining 7.5% YoY despite positive net income growth suggests share dilution or margin compression
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 2.8x is below-average for banking sector, indicating limited debt service cushion
  • ! ROE of 7.9% is weak relative to industry standards, suggesting inefficient capital deployment
  • ! Moderate insider activity (16 Form 4 filings) provides limited conviction signal on management confidence

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net Interest Margin (NIM) trends to assess pricing power and loan growth
  • * Loan growth rates and credit quality metrics (non-performing loan ratios)
  • * ROE trajectory - target minimum 10-12% for banking sector competitiveness
  • * EPS growth acceleration to confirm stabilization after recent decline

NBHC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$47.1M
Net Income
$109.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$2.85
Free Cash Flow
$160.5M
Total Assets
$9.9B
Cash Position
$417.1M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 340.8% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NBHC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 283.7%
Net Margin 232.6%
ROE 7.9%
ROA 1.1%
FCF Margin 340.8%

NBHC vs Finance Sector

How National Bank Holdings Corp compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
NBHC 232.6%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
NBHC Sector
ROE
NBHC 7.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NBHC Sector
Current Ratio
NBHC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
NBHC Sector
Debt/Equity
NBHC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
NBHC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is NBHC Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, National Bank Holdings Corp appears fundamentally strong relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
7.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
232.6%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.04x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

NBHC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.04x
Debt/Assets
86.0%
Interest Coverage
2.80x
Long-term Debt
$54.5M

NBHC 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

NBHC 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $37.7M, Net Income $88.6M, EPS $2.85. Year 2023: Revenue $46.9M, Net Income $93.6M, EPS $3.01. Year 2024: Revenue $46.9M, Net Income $71.3M, EPS $2.18. Year 2025: Revenue $47.2M, Net Income $142.0M, EPS $3.72.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: National Bank Holdings Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 25% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $3.72 reflects profitable operations.

NBHC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
340.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NBHC Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for National Bank Holdings Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $11.3M $33.1M $0.86
Q2 2025 $11.1M $26.1M $0.68
Q1 2025 $10.8M $24.2M $0.63
Q3 2024 $12.1M $33.1M $0.86
Q2 2024 $11.7M $26.1M $0.68
Q1 2024 $10.1M $31.4M $0.82
Q3 2023 $9.5M $15.8M $0.50
Q2 2023 $8.5M $20.4M $0.67

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

NBHC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$162.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$15.2M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$46.1M
Returned to shareholders

NBHC SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for National Bank Holdings Corp (CIK: 0001475841)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 3, 2026 DEF 14A nbhc-20260507xdef14a.htm View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_090309.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_080348.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_080322.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_080316.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NBHC

What is the AI rating for NBHC?

National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC) has an AI rating of HOLD with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NBHC's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation of $160.5M with minimal capex requirements. Conservative capital structure with minimal leverage (Debt/Equity 0.04x) and $417.1M cash position.

What are the risks of investing in NBHC?

Claude: Revenue stagnation at $47.1M with essentially flat YoY change indicates lack of growth momentum. Diluted EPS declining 7.5% YoY despite positive net income growth suggests share dilution or margin compression.

What is NBHC's revenue and growth?

National Bank Holdings Corp reported revenue of $47.1M.

Does NBHC pay dividends?

National Bank Holdings Corp pays dividends, with $46.1M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NBHC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for National Bank Holdings Corp (CIK: 0001475841) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NBHC's EPS?

National Bank Holdings Corp has a diluted EPS of $2.85.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is NBHC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, National Bank Holdings Corp has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is NBHC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NBHC: ROE of 7.9% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 232.6% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy NBHC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives National Bank Holdings Corp a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NBHC's free cash flow?

National Bank Holdings Corp's operating cash flow is $162.4M, with capital expenditures of $1.9M. FCF margin is 340.8%.

How does NBHC compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 232.6% (avg: 25%), ROE 7.9% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 13, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI