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National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

NBHC NYSE National Commercial Banks DE CIK: 0001475841
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
68% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
72% Conf
B
63% Conf

📊 NBHC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $11.3M
Net Margin: 183.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-58.7M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.12x
EPS: $0.46
AI Grade: C with 72% confidence
National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC) receives a C fundamental grade with 68% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $11.3M, net profit margin of 183.3%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.2%, National Bank Holdings Corp demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Finance sector. Below is our complete NBHC stock analysis for 2026.

Is National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC) a Good Investment?

Claude

National Bank Holdings exhibits critical operational stress with negative operating cash flow of -$56.8M and an interest coverage ratio of only 0.5x, indicating the company cannot service its debt from operations. Combined with anemic returns (ROE 1.2%, ROA 0.2%), declining EPS despite modest net income growth, and persistently negative free cash flow, the company faces structural profitability challenges that threaten financial stability.

ChatGPT

NBHC demonstrates stable profitability for a bank with ROA around 1% and modest net income growth, supported by strong capital levels and minimal long‑term debt. However, revenue is flat and EPS declined, signaling limited per‑share growth and potential pressure from funding costs. Fundamentals look resilient but not clearly accelerating, warranting a neutral stance.

National Bank Holdings Corp Key Strengths (NBHC)

Claude
  • + Conservative capital structure with low debt/equity ratio of 0.12x
  • + Adequate liquidity position with $472.8M in cash and equivalents
  • + Positive net income of $20.8M with slight year-over-year growth of 0.8%
ChatGPT
  • + Solid ROA (~1.1%) with stable net income growth
  • + Strong capital and low structural leverage (D/E ~0.04x) with healthy cash
  • + Robust operating cash flow and low capex supporting FCF

NBHC Stock Risks: National Bank Holdings Corp Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Critical: Unable to cover interest expenses from operations (0.5x interest coverage)
  • ! Severe negative cash flow: Operating cash flow -$56.8M, free cash flow -$58.7M
  • ! Weak profitability returns: ROE 1.2% and ROA 0.2% well below sector norms; diluted EPS declining 7.5% YoY
  • ! Revenue base of $11.3M appears anomalously small relative to $12.6B asset base, suggesting data quality issues or limited revenue recognition
ChatGPT
  • ! EPS decline (-7.5% YoY) indicating dilution or margin pressure
  • ! Funding cost and rate sensitivity potentially compressing NIM
  • ! Credit normalization risk increasing charge‑offs and provisions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trend and path to positive cash generation
  • * Interest coverage ratio progression toward sustainable levels (>2.5x)
  • * Return on equity and return on assets improvement toward competitive benchmarks
  • * Diluted EPS trajectory reversal and reconciliation with net income growth
ChatGPT
  • * Net interest margin (NIM) and deposit costs
  • * Credit quality: NPL ratio, charge‑offs, and reserve coverage

National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$11.3M
Net Income
$20.8M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.46
Free Cash Flow
$-58.7M
Total Assets
$12.6B
Cash Position
$472.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

NBHC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 228.7%
Net Margin 183.3%
ROE 1.2%
ROA 0.2%
FCF Margin -517.7%

NBHC vs Finance Sector: How National Bank Holdings Corp Compares

How National Bank Holdings Corp compares to Finance sector averages

Net Margin
NBHC 183.3%
vs
Sector Avg 25.0%
NBHC Sector
ROE
NBHC 1.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
NBHC Sector
Current Ratio
NBHC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.2x
NBHC Sector
Debt/Equity
NBHC 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 2.0x
NBHC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is National Bank Holdings Corp Stock Overvalued? NBHC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, National Bank Holdings Corp has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Finance sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Net Profit Margin
183.3%
Sector avg: 25%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.12x
Sector avg: 2x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

National Bank Holdings Corp Balance Sheet: NBHC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.12x
Debt/Assets
86.8%
Interest Coverage
0.54x
Long-term Debt
$202.1M

NBHC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

NBHC 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $37.7M, Net Income $88.6M, EPS $2.85. Year 2023: Revenue $46.9M, Net Income $93.6M, EPS $3.01. Year 2024: Revenue $46.9M, Net Income $71.3M, EPS $2.18. Year 2025: Revenue $47.2M, Net Income $142.0M, EPS $3.72.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: National Bank Holdings Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 25% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $3.72 reflects profitable operations.

NBHC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-517.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

NBHC Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for National Bank Holdings Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $10.8M $20.8M $0.46
Q3 2025 $11.3M $33.1M $0.86
Q2 2025 $11.1M $26.1M $0.68
Q1 2025 $10.8M $24.2M $0.63
Q3 2024 $12.1M $33.1M $0.86
Q2 2024 $11.7M $26.1M $0.68
Q1 2024 $10.1M $31.4M $0.82
Q3 2023 $9.5M $15.8M $0.50

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

National Bank Holdings Corp Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$56.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$16.1M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$14.7M
Returned to shareholders

NBHC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for National Bank Holdings Corp (CIK: 0001475841)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 21, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-05212026_080556.xml View →
May 12, 2026 8-K nbhc-20260507x8k.htm View →
May 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-05082026_080536.xml View →
May 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-05082026_080509.xml View →
May 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-05082026_080512.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about NBHC

What is the AI rating for NBHC?

National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 68% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are NBHC's key strengths?

Claude: Conservative capital structure with low debt/equity ratio of 0.12x. Adequate liquidity position with $472.8M in cash and equivalents. ChatGPT: Solid ROA (~1.1%) with stable net income growth. Strong capital and low structural leverage (D/E ~0.04x) with healthy cash.

What are the risks of investing in NBHC?

Claude: Critical: Unable to cover interest expenses from operations (0.5x interest coverage). Severe negative cash flow: Operating cash flow -$56.8M, free cash flow -$58.7M. ChatGPT: EPS decline (-7.5% YoY) indicating dilution or margin pressure. Funding cost and rate sensitivity potentially compressing NIM.

What is NBHC's revenue and growth?

National Bank Holdings Corp reported revenue of $11.3M.

Does NBHC pay dividends?

National Bank Holdings Corp pays dividends, with $14.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find NBHC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for National Bank Holdings Corp (CIK: 0001475841) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is NBHC's EPS?

National Bank Holdings Corp has a diluted EPS of $0.46.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is NBHC's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, National Bank Holdings Corp has a C grade with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is NBHC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for NBHC: ROE of 1.2% (sector avg: 12%), net margin of 183.3% (sector avg: 25%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is NBHC's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives National Bank Holdings Corp a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is NBHC's free cash flow?

National Bank Holdings Corp's operating cash flow is $-56.8M, with capital expenditures of $1.9M. FCF margin is -517.7%.

How does NBHC compare to other Finance stocks?

Vs Finance sector averages: Net margin 183.3% (avg: 25%), ROE 1.2% (avg: 12%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.2).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI