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MWA Stock Analysis 2026 - Mueller Water Products, Inc. AI Rating

MWA NYSE Miscellaneous Fabricated Metal Products DE CIK: 0001350593
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
72% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MWA Key Takeaways

Revenue: $318.2M
Net Margin: 13.6%
Free Cash Flow: $44.0M
Current Ratio: 4.02x
Debt/Equity: 0.44x
EPS: $0.27
AI Rating: HOLD with 72% confidence

Is MWA a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Mueller Water Products demonstrates solid operational profitability with healthy operating margins (17.8%) and strong liquidity (4.02x current ratio), supported by consistent free cash flow generation. However, the company exhibits concerning capital inefficiency with ROE of only 4.2% and ROA of 2.3%, suggesting poor returns on its substantial asset base despite adequate profitability, coupled with modest interest coverage (2.8x) that limits debt capacity.

Why Buy MWA? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 4.02x current ratio and 459.6M cash balance
  • + Healthy operating margins (17.8%) and net margins (13.6%) indicate operational efficiency
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of 44.0M (13.8% FCF margin) provides financial flexibility
  • + Conservative leverage with 0.44x debt-to-equity ratio limiting financial risk

MWA Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Very low return metrics (ROE 4.2%, ROA 2.3%) indicate significant capital inefficiency despite profitability
  • ! Extremely high YoY revenue growth (21,762%) suggests inorganic acquisition activity with uncertain integration success
  • ! Interest coverage ratio of 2.8x is relatively modest, limiting ability to service additional debt or absorb operational deterioration
  • ! Misalignment between operating performance (strong margins) and return metrics suggests asset base may not be productively deployed

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Return on Equity and Return on Assets trends - critical to understand if capital efficiency is improving post-acquisition
  • * Interest coverage ratio - monitor to ensure adequate debt servicing capacity and room for growth investments
  • * Organic revenue growth rate separate from acquisitions - essential to assess underlying business momentum

MWA Financial Metrics

Revenue
$318.2M
Net Income
$43.2M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.27
Free Cash Flow
$44.0M
Total Assets
$1.8B
Cash Position
$459.6M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 4.02x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

MWA Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 37.6%
Operating Margin 17.8%
Net Margin 13.6%
ROE 4.2%
ROA 2.3%
FCF Margin 13.8%

MWA vs Default Sector

How Mueller Water Products, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MWA 13.6%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MWA Sector
ROE
MWA 4.2%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MWA Sector
Current Ratio
MWA 4.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MWA Sector
Debt/Equity
MWA 0.4x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MWA Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MWA Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Mueller Water Products, Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.2%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
13.6%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.44x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MWA Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
4.02x
Quick Ratio
2.55x
Debt/Equity
0.44x
Debt/Assets
44.9%
Interest Coverage
2.84x
Long-term Debt
$450.9M

MWA 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MWA 5-year financial data: Year 2020: Revenue $968.0M, Net Income $105.6M, EPS $-0.13. Year 2021: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income $63.8M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $72.0M, EPS $0.44. Year 2024: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $76.6M, EPS $0.48. Year 2025: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $85.5M, EPS $0.55.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Mueller Water Products, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 48% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.55 reflects profitable operations.

MWA Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
13.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MWA Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Mueller Water Products, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $304.3M $35.3M $0.22
Q3 2025 $356.7M $14.3M $0.30
Q2 2025 $353.4M $14.3M $0.28
Q1 2025 $256.4M $14.3M $0.09
Q3 2024 $326.6M $14.3M $0.16
Q2 2024 $332.9M $14.3M $0.14
Q1 2024 $256.4M $14.3M $0.09
Q3 2023 $326.6M $21.3M $0.16

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MWA Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$61.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$5.5M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$17.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$10.9M
Returned to shareholders

MWA SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Mueller Water Products, Inc. (CIK: 0001350593)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Mar 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Feb 26, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →
Feb 25, 2026 8-K mwa-20260225.htm View →
Feb 24, 2026 4 xslF345X05/doc4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MWA

What is the AI rating for MWA?

Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) has an AI rating of HOLD with 72% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MWA's key strengths?

Claude: Excellent liquidity position with 4.02x current ratio and 459.6M cash balance. Healthy operating margins (17.8%) and net margins (13.6%) indicate operational efficiency.

What are the risks of investing in MWA?

Claude: Very low return metrics (ROE 4.2%, ROA 2.3%) indicate significant capital inefficiency despite profitability. Extremely high YoY revenue growth (21,762%) suggests inorganic acquisition activity with uncertain integration success.

What is MWA's revenue and growth?

Mueller Water Products, Inc. reported revenue of $318.2M.

Does MWA pay dividends?

Mueller Water Products, Inc. pays dividends, with $10.9M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MWA SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Mueller Water Products, Inc. (CIK: 0001350593) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MWA's EPS?

Mueller Water Products, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.27.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MWA a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Mueller Water Products, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 72% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MWA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MWA: ROE of 4.2% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 13.6% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MWA stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Mueller Water Products, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MWA's free cash flow?

Mueller Water Products, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $61.2M, with capital expenditures of $17.2M. FCF margin is 13.8%.

How does MWA compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 13.6% (avg: 12%), ROE 4.2% (avg: 15%), current ratio 4.02 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI