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Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

MUR NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0000717423
Updated This Month • Analysis: May 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Grade
C
71% Confidence
AGREEMENT
C
78% Conf
B
64% Conf

📊 MUR Key Takeaways

Revenue: $733.6M
Net Margin: 7.2%
Free Cash Flow: $-385.0M
Current Ratio: 0.83x
Debt/Equity: 0.30x
EPS: $0.37
AI Grade: C with 78% confidence
Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) receives a C fundamental grade with 71% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $733.6M, net profit margin of 7.2%, and return on equity (ROE) of 1.0%, Murphy Oil Corp. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Energy sector. Below is our complete MUR stock analysis for 2026.

Is Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) a Good Investment?

Claude

Murphy Oil faces deteriorating fundamentals with net income declining 24.9% YoY and EPS plummeting 73.3% YoY, while burning cash with -$385M free cash flow due to aggressive $1.3B capex spending that exceeds operating cash generation. Critical liquidity concerns (current/quick ratios below 1.0) combined with abysmal returns on equity (1%) and assets (0.5%) indicate the company is not efficiently generating shareholder value from its $10B asset base.

ChatGPT

Murphy Oil maintains a conservative balance sheet with low leverage, strong interest coverage, and solid operating cash generation, providing flexibility through commodity cycles. However, profitability has compressed and free cash flow is negative on elevated capex, while sub-1x liquidity metrics introduce near-term risk; with only modest revenue growth, fundamentals appear balanced rather than compelling.

Murphy Oil Corp. Key Strengths (MUR)

Claude
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $959.2M demonstrates core business can generate cash from operations
  • + Manageable leverage with Debt/Equity of 0.30x and interest coverage of 6.9x ensures debt serviceability
  • + Operating margin of 18.8% shows reasonable operational profitability before financing and capital costs
ChatGPT
  • + Low leverage (0.25x debt/equity) and strong interest coverage (15x)
  • + Healthy operating cash flow (~$959M) supporting reinvestment capacity
  • + Ample equity base relative to liabilities ($5.12B equity vs. $4.60B liabilities)

MUR Stock Risks: Murphy Oil Corp. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$385M is unsustainable; capex of $1.3B exceeds operating cash generation, requiring cash depletion or additional debt financing
  • ! Severe profitability collapse with net income down 24.9% YoY and EPS down 73.3% YoY indicates fundamental operational deterioration
  • ! Liquidity crisis signals with current ratio (0.83x) and quick ratio (0.77x) below 1.0 suggest working capital stress and potential solvency concerns
ChatGPT
  • ! Sustained negative free cash flow driven by high capex (-14.2% FCF margin)
  • ! Weak liquidity (current ratio 0.77x; quick ratio 0.71x)
  • ! Profitability deterioration (EPS -73% YoY; net margin 3.8%)

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trend - must improve from -$385M or company faces unsustainable cash burn requiring capex reduction or additional financing
  • * Net income and profitability recovery - critical to stabilize the 24.9% YoY decline and restore operational performance
  • * Return on equity and assets - ROE of 1% and ROA of 0.5% must improve to demonstrate capital efficiency and shareholder value creation
ChatGPT
  • * Free cash flow (OCF - capex)
  • * Current ratio and near-term liquidity

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$733.6M
Net Income
$53.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.37
Free Cash Flow
$-385.0M
Total Assets
$10.0B
Cash Position
$378.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MUR Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 18.8%
Net Margin 7.2%
ROE 1.0%
ROA 0.5%
FCF Margin -52.5%

MUR vs Energy Sector: How Murphy Oil Corp. Compares

How Murphy Oil Corp. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
MUR 7.2%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MUR Sector
ROE
MUR 1.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
MUR Sector
Current Ratio
MUR 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
MUR Sector
Debt/Equity
MUR 0.3x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
MUR Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Murphy Oil Corp. Stock Overvalued? MUR Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Murphy Oil Corp. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
1.0%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
7.2%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.30x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Murphy Oil Corp. Balance Sheet: MUR Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.83x
Quick Ratio
0.77x
Debt/Equity
0.30x
Debt/Assets
47.9%
Interest Coverage
6.91x
Long-term Debt
$1.5B

MUR Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

MUR 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $2.8B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $6.98. Year 2022: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income -$1.1B, EPS $-7.48. Year 2023: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income -$73.7M, EPS $-0.48. Year 2024: Revenue $4.2B, Net Income $965.0M, EPS $6.13. Year 2025: Revenue $3.4B, Net Income $661.6M, EPS $4.22.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Murphy Oil Corp.'s revenue has grown significantly by 22% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.22 reflects profitable operations.

MUR Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-52.5%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MUR Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Murphy Oil Corp. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $672.7M $53.0M $0.37
Q3 2025 $721.0M -$3.0M $-0.02
Q2 2025 $683.1M $22.3M $0.16
Q1 2025 $672.7M $73.0M $0.50
Q3 2024 $753.2M $139.1M $0.93
Q2 2024 $801.0M $98.3M $0.62
Q1 2024 $794.8M $90.0M $0.59
Q3 2023 $953.8M $255.3M $1.63

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Murphy Oil Corp. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$959.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$777.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$1.3B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$50.2M
Returned to shareholders

MUR SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Murphy Oil Corp. (CIK: 0000717423)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 14, 2026 8-K mur-20260513.htm View →
May 6, 2026 10-Q mur-20260331.htm View →
May 6, 2026 8-K mur-20260506.htm View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →
Apr 1, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MUR

What is the AI rating for MUR?

Murphy Oil Corp. (MUR) has a Combined AI Grade of C from Claude (C) and ChatGPT (B) with 71% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MUR's key strengths?

Claude: Positive operating cash flow of $959.2M demonstrates core business can generate cash from operations. Manageable leverage with Debt/Equity of 0.30x and interest coverage of 6.9x ensures debt serviceability. ChatGPT: Low leverage (0.25x debt/equity) and strong interest coverage (15x). Healthy operating cash flow (~$959M) supporting reinvestment capacity.

What are the risks of investing in MUR?

Claude: Negative free cash flow of -$385M is unsustainable; capex of $1.3B exceeds operating cash generation, requiring cash depletion or additional debt financing. Severe profitability collapse with net income down 24.9% YoY and EPS down 73.3% YoY indicates fundamental operational deterioration. ChatGPT: Sustained negative free cash flow driven by high capex (-14.2% FCF margin). Weak liquidity (current ratio 0.77x; quick ratio 0.71x).

What is MUR's revenue and growth?

Murphy Oil Corp. reported revenue of $733.6M.

Does MUR pay dividends?

Murphy Oil Corp. pays dividends, with $50.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MUR SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Murphy Oil Corp. (CIK: 0000717423) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MUR's EPS?

Murphy Oil Corp. has a diluted EPS of $0.37.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is MUR's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Murphy Oil Corp. has a C grade with 71% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is MUR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MUR: ROE of 1.0% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 7.2% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is MUR's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Murphy Oil Corp. a combined C grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MUR's free cash flow?

Murphy Oil Corp.'s operating cash flow is $959.2M, with capital expenditures of $1.3B. FCF margin is -52.5%.

How does MUR compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 7.2% (avg: 12%), ROE 1.0% (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.83 (avg: 1.3).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI