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MTRX Stock Analysis 2026 - MATRIX SERVICE CO AI Rating

MTRX Nasdaq Construction - Special Trade Contractors DE CIK: 0000866273
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 2, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MTRX Key Takeaways

Revenue: $422.4M
Net Margin: -1.1%
Free Cash Flow: $-21.6M
Current Ratio: 0.91x
Debt/Equity: 0.06x
EPS: $-0.16
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence

Is MTRX a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Matrix Service is experiencing severe operational distress with negative profitability across all margins and deteriorating cash generation. The company is burning cash operationally (-$18.4M) while maintaining minimal long-term debt, indicating fundamental business model challenges rather than temporary leverage issues. Current liquidity crisis (0.91x current ratio) combined with negative ROE/ROA signals structural underperformance in its construction services business.

Why Buy MTRX? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong cash position of $199M provides runway for operational losses and strategic repositioning
  • + Low debt burden with only $8.9M long-term debt and 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio limits refinancing risk
  • + Substantial revenue base of $422.4M suggests market presence despite profitability challenges

MTRX Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Persistent negative profitability with -1.8% operating margin and -1.1% net margin indicates fundamental business deterioration
  • ! Negative operating cash flow of -$18.4M with -5.1% FCF margin demonstrates inability to generate cash from core operations
  • ! Deteriorating liquidity with current ratio below 1.0x combined with negative working capital trend suggests potential solvency concerns within 12-24 months if trends continue

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow return to positive and trajectory toward break-even operations
  • * Gross margin stabilization and path to sustainable positive operating margins above 5%
  • * Current ratio recovery above 1.2x and management's strategic initiatives to restore profitability

MTRX Financial Metrics

Revenue
$422.4M
Net Income
$-4.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.16
Free Cash Flow
$-21.6M
Total Assets
$650.2M
Cash Position
$199.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MTRX Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 6.5%
Operating Margin -1.8%
Net Margin -1.1%
ROE -3.3%
ROA -0.7%
FCF Margin -5.1%

MTRX vs Industrial Sector

How MATRIX SERVICE CO compares to Industrial sector averages

Net Margin
MTRX -1.1%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
MTRX Sector
ROE
MTRX -3.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MTRX Sector
Current Ratio
MTRX 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MTRX Sector
Debt/Equity
MTRX 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MTRX Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MTRX Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, MATRIX SERVICE CO has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Industrial sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-3.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-1.1%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.06x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MTRX Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.91x
Quick Ratio
0.89x
Debt/Equity
0.06x
Debt/Assets
78.8%
Interest Coverage
-31.34x
Long-term Debt
$8.9M

MTRX 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MTRX 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.4B, Net Income $28.0M, EPS $1.01. Year 2022: Revenue $1.1B, Net Income -$33.1M, EPS $-1.24. Year 2023: Revenue $795.0M, Net Income -$31.2M, EPS $-1.18. Year 2024: Revenue $795.0M, Net Income -$63.9M, EPS $-2.39. Year 2025: Revenue $795.0M, Net Income -$52.4M, EPS $-1.94.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: MATRIX SERVICE CO's revenue has declined by 44% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-1.94 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

MTRX Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-5.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MTRX Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for MATRIX SERVICE CO including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2026 $187.2M -$894.0K $-0.03
Q1 2026 $165.6M -$3.7M $-0.13
Q3 2025 $166.0M -$3.4M $-0.12
Q2 2025 $175.0M -$2.9M $-0.10
Q1 2025 $165.6M -$3.2M $-0.12
Q3 2024 $166.0M -$12.7M $-0.47
Q2 2024 $175.0M -$2.9M $-0.10
Q1 2024 $197.7M N/A $-0.12

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MTRX Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$18.4M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$3.2M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

MTRX SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for MATRIX SERVICE CO (CIK: 0000866273)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Feb 19, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771519395.xml View →
Feb 5, 2026 10-Q mtrx-20251231.htm View →
Feb 4, 2026 8-K mtrx-20260204.htm View →
Jan 6, 2026 8-K mtrx-20251230.htm View →
Nov 25, 2025 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1764107201.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MTRX

What is the AI rating for MTRX?

MATRIX SERVICE CO (MTRX) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MTRX's key strengths?

Claude: Strong cash position of $199M provides runway for operational losses and strategic repositioning. Low debt burden with only $8.9M long-term debt and 0.06x debt-to-equity ratio limits refinancing risk.

What are the risks of investing in MTRX?

Claude: Persistent negative profitability with -1.8% operating margin and -1.1% net margin indicates fundamental business deterioration. Negative operating cash flow of -$18.4M with -5.1% FCF margin demonstrates inability to generate cash from core operations.

What is MTRX's revenue and growth?

MATRIX SERVICE CO reported revenue of $422.4M.

Does MTRX pay dividends?

MATRIX SERVICE CO does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find MTRX SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for MATRIX SERVICE CO (CIK: 0000866273) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MTRX's EPS?

MATRIX SERVICE CO has a diluted EPS of $-0.16.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MTRX a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, MATRIX SERVICE CO has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MTRX stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MTRX: ROE of -3.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -1.1% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MTRX stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives MATRIX SERVICE CO a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MTRX's free cash flow?

MATRIX SERVICE CO's operating cash flow is $-18.4M, with capital expenditures of $3.2M. FCF margin is -5.1%.

How does MTRX compare to other Industrial stocks?

Vs Industrial sector averages: Net margin -1.1% (avg: 10%), ROE -3.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.91 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 2, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI