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MTH Stock Analysis 2026 - Meritage Homes CORP AI Rating

MTH NYSE Operative Builders MD CIK: 0000833079
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 2, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 MTH Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.7B
Net Margin: 16.8%
Free Cash Flow: $92.6M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.05x
EPS: $6.35
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is MTH a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Meritage Homes demonstrates solid operational execution with 13.6% revenue growth and strong gross margins of 30.9%, but concerning net income decline of 42.4% YoY raises red flags about cost control and profitability sustainability. The balance sheet remains healthy with low leverage (0.05x debt/equity) and substantial cash, though weak free cash flow conversion (3.4% FCF margin) and declining earnings per share suggest operational challenges that warrant caution.

Why Buy MTH? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong revenue growth of 13.6% YoY demonstrates robust market demand in residential construction
  • + Excellent gross margin of 30.9% shows effective cost management at production level
  • + Conservative balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05x and $775.2M cash provides financial flexibility
  • + Healthy operating margin of 21.7% indicates core business profitability despite income pressures

MTH Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe net income decline of 42.4% YoY despite revenue growth suggests margin compression from higher operating expenses or tax impacts
  • ! Diluted EPS declined 40.8% YoY, indicating significant earnings deterioration on a per-share basis
  • ! Weak free cash flow conversion at only 3.4% FCF margin relative to revenue raises concerns about working capital management and cash generation quality
  • ! Operating cash flow of only $118.3M relative to $453M net income suggests potential earnings quality issues or high non-cash charges

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net profit margin trend - critical to understand if 42.4% decline is cyclical or structural
  • * Operating cash flow to net income ratio - assess sustainability of reported earnings
  • * Gross margin stability - monitor for input cost inflation impacts in residential construction
  • * Debt levels and covenant compliance - ensure leverage remains manageable if earnings pressures persist

MTH Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.7B
Net Income
$453.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$6.35
Free Cash Flow
$92.6M
Total Assets
$7.6B
Cash Position
$775.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 3.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

MTH Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 30.9%
Operating Margin 21.7%
Net Margin 16.8%
ROE 8.7%
ROA 5.9%
FCF Margin 3.4%

MTH vs Default Sector

How Meritage Homes CORP compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
MTH 16.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
MTH Sector
ROE
MTH 8.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
MTH Sector
Current Ratio
MTH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
MTH Sector
Debt/Equity
MTH 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
MTH Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is MTH Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Meritage Homes CORP has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
8.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
16.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.05x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

MTH Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.05x
Debt/Assets
31.8%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$250.0M

MTH 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

MTH 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Meritage Homes CORP's revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $9.96 reflects profitable operations.

MTH Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
3.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

MTH Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Meritage Homes CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2022 $1.3B $131.8M $4.36

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

MTH Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$118.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$295.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$25.7M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$121.1M
Returned to shareholders

MTH SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Meritage Homes CORP (CIK: 0000833079)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 26, 2026 8-K mth-20260323.htm View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774470325.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774470318.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774470313.xml View →
Mar 25, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774470309.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about MTH

What is the AI rating for MTH?

Meritage Homes CORP (MTH) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are MTH's key strengths?

Claude: Strong revenue growth of 13.6% YoY demonstrates robust market demand in residential construction. Excellent gross margin of 30.9% shows effective cost management at production level.

What are the risks of investing in MTH?

Claude: Severe net income decline of 42.4% YoY despite revenue growth suggests margin compression from higher operating expenses or tax impacts. Diluted EPS declined 40.8% YoY, indicating significant earnings deterioration on a per-share basis.

What is MTH's revenue and growth?

Meritage Homes CORP reported revenue of $2.7B.

Does MTH pay dividends?

Meritage Homes CORP pays dividends, with $121.1M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find MTH SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Meritage Homes CORP (CIK: 0000833079) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is MTH's EPS?

Meritage Homes CORP has a diluted EPS of $6.35.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is MTH a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Meritage Homes CORP has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is MTH stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for MTH: ROE of 8.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 16.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy MTH stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Meritage Homes CORP a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is MTH's free cash flow?

Meritage Homes CORP's operating cash flow is $118.3M, with capital expenditures of $25.7M. FCF margin is 3.4%.

How does MTH compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 16.8% (avg: 12%), ROE 8.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 2, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI