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LITE Stock Analysis 2026 - Lumentum Holdings Inc. AI Rating

LITE Nasdaq Communications Equipment, NEC DE CIK: 0001633978
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 12, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-27
SELL
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 LITE Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: 6.9%
Free Cash Flow: $24.8M
Current Ratio: 0.61x
Debt/Equity: 0.06x
EPS: $0.99
AI Rating: SELL with 68% confidence

Is LITE a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Lumentum faces structural challenges including zero revenue and earnings growth, thin operating margins (5.9%), and concerning liquidity metrics with a current ratio of 0.61x indicating potential short-term solvency stress. While the balance sheet shows low leverage with minimal debt, the company generates minimal free cash flow ($24.8M) relative to high capital expenditures, leaving limited financial flexibility.

Why Buy LITE? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Fortress balance sheet with 0.06x Debt/Equity ratio and $657.7M cash reserves
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $184.6M demonstrates core business cash generation
  • + Reasonable gross margins at 35.2% showing some pricing power in communications equipment

LITE Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Critical liquidity warning: current ratio of 0.61x and quick ratio of 0.45x both below 1.0, indicating potential short-term working capital stress
  • ! Zero YoY growth in both revenue and net income suggests market stagnation or loss of competitive positioning
  • ! Extremely thin profitability with only 6.9% net margin and anemic returns (ROE 9.7%, ROA 1.7%)
  • ! Minimal free cash flow generation ($24.8M, 2.1% margin) insufficient to cover capital intensity ($159.8M CapEx)

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Current ratio and working capital trends to confirm liquidity normalization
  • * Revenue growth acceleration and segment performance to validate market positioning
  • * Free cash flow trajectory and CapEx efficiency to assess cash generation sustainability

LITE Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$82.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.99
Free Cash Flow
$24.8M
Total Assets
$4.8B
Cash Position
$657.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 2.1% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

LITE Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 35.2%
Operating Margin 5.9%
Net Margin 6.9%
ROE 9.7%
ROA 1.7%
FCF Margin 2.1%

LITE vs Default Sector

How Lumentum Holdings Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
LITE 6.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
LITE Sector
ROE
LITE 9.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
LITE Sector
Current Ratio
LITE 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
LITE Sector
Debt/Equity
LITE 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
LITE Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is LITE Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Lumentum Holdings Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
6.9%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.06x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

LITE Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.61x
Quick Ratio
0.45x
Debt/Equity
0.06x
Debt/Assets
82.4%
Interest Coverage
2.50x
Long-term Debt
$47.1M

LITE 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

LITE 5-year financial data: Year 2024: Revenue $1.8B, Net Income $198.9M, EPS $2.68. Year 2025: Revenue $1.8B, Net Income -$131.6M, EPS $-1.93.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $-1.93 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

LITE Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.1%
Free cash flow / Revenue

LITE Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Lumentum Holdings Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $366.5M -$44.1M $-0.64
Q2 2025 $366.8M -$60.9M $-0.88
Q1 2025 $317.6M -$67.9M $-1.02
Q3 2024 $366.5M -$400.0K $-0.57
Q2 2024 $366.8M -$400.0K $-0.46
Q1 2024 $317.6M -$400.0K $-0.01
Q3 2023 $383.4M -$400.0K $0.35
Q2 2023 $446.7M -$400.0K $-0.46

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

LITE Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$184.6M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$159.8M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

LITE SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Lumentum Holdings Inc. (CIK: 0001633978)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 8, 2026 8-K d13152d8k.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03042026_120351.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-03022026_100307.xml View →
Mar 2, 2026 8-K d41019d8k.htm View →
Feb 18, 2026 4 xslF345X05/form4-02182026_110208.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about LITE

What is the AI rating for LITE?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. (LITE) has an AI rating of SELL with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are LITE's key strengths?

Claude: Fortress balance sheet with 0.06x Debt/Equity ratio and $657.7M cash reserves. Positive operating cash flow of $184.6M demonstrates core business cash generation.

What are the risks of investing in LITE?

Claude: Critical liquidity warning: current ratio of 0.61x and quick ratio of 0.45x both below 1.0, indicating potential short-term working capital stress. Zero YoY growth in both revenue and net income suggests market stagnation or loss of competitive positioning.

What is LITE's revenue and growth?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does LITE pay dividends?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find LITE SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Lumentum Holdings Inc. (CIK: 0001633978) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is LITE's EPS?

Lumentum Holdings Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.99.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is LITE a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Lumentum Holdings Inc. has a SELL rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is LITE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for LITE: ROE of 9.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 6.9% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy LITE stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Lumentum Holdings Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is LITE's free cash flow?

Lumentum Holdings Inc.'s operating cash flow is $184.6M, with capital expenditures of $159.8M. FCF margin is 2.1%.

How does LITE compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 6.9% (avg: 12%), ROE 9.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.61 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 12, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-27 | Powered by Claude AI