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IVR-PC Stock Analysis 2026 - Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. AI Rating

IVR-PC NYSE Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0001437071
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 29, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
62% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 IVR-PC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $295.3M
Net Margin: 34.3%
Free Cash Flow: $157.1M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.93x
EPS: $1.32
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Is IVR-PC a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Invesco Mortgage Capital demonstrates solid profitability with 34.3% net margins and positive 12.7% ROE, but the business model is heavily leveraged with 0.93x debt-to-equity ratio and significant reliance on mortgage market conditions. Revenue growth of 291.5% YoY appears exceptional but may reflect market volatility in mortgage investments rather than sustainable operational expansion.

Why Buy IVR-PC? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Strong net margin of 34.3% demonstrates efficient core operations
  • + Positive free cash flow of $157.1M with 53.2% FCF margin supports distributions
  • + Diluted EPS growth of 103.1% YoY shows improved per-share profitability
  • + Reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93x for a mortgage REIT

IVR-PC Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Revenue volatility of 291.5% YoY suggests mortgage market sensitivity and potential unrealized gains recognition
  • ! Low ROA of 1.6% despite $6.5B in assets indicates capital deployment challenges
  • ! High leverage with $5.7B liabilities against $797.5M equity creates financial fragility in rising rate environments
  • ! Limited insider buying activity (1 Form 4 filing in 90 days) may signal management caution
  • ! Mortgage REIT sector exposure to interest rate and prepayment risks

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Net interest margin trends and mortgage portfolio composition
  • * Debt-to-equity trajectory and refinancing needs
  • * Operating cash flow sustainability and distribution coverage ratio
  • * Portfolio prepayment speeds and realization of gains/losses
  • * Interest rate environment impact on mortgage valuations

IVR-PC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$295.3M
Net Income
$101.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.32
Free Cash Flow
$157.1M
Total Assets
$6.5B
Cash Position
$56.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 53.2% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

IVR-PC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin N/A
Net Margin 34.3%
ROE 12.7%
ROA 1.6%
FCF Margin 53.2%

IVR-PC vs Default Sector

How Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
IVR-PC 34.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
IVR-PC Sector
ROE
IVR-PC 12.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
IVR-PC Sector
Current Ratio
IVR-PC 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
IVR-PC Sector
Debt/Equity
IVR-PC 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
IVR-PC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is IVR-PC Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
12.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
34.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.93x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

IVR-PC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.93x
Debt/Assets
87.7%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$740.0M

IVR-PC 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

IVR-PC 5-year financial data:
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 0% decline. The most recent EPS of $-0.85 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

IVR-PC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
53.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

IVR-PC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$157.1M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$8.2M
Returned to shareholders

IVR-PC SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (CIK: 0001437071)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 DEF 14A d931639ddef14a.htm View →
Mar 13, 2026 8-K ivr-20260313.htm View →
Mar 10, 2026 8-K ivr-20260306.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772550644.xml View →
Feb 24, 2026 8-K d101201d8k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about IVR-PC

What is the AI rating for IVR-PC?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR-PC) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are IVR-PC's key strengths?

Claude: Strong net margin of 34.3% demonstrates efficient core operations. Positive free cash flow of $157.1M with 53.2% FCF margin supports distributions.

What are the risks of investing in IVR-PC?

Claude: Revenue volatility of 291.5% YoY suggests mortgage market sensitivity and potential unrealized gains recognition. Low ROA of 1.6% despite $6.5B in assets indicates capital deployment challenges.

What is IVR-PC's revenue and growth?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. reported revenue of $295.3M.

Does IVR-PC pay dividends?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. pays dividends, with $8.2M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find IVR-PC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (CIK: 0001437071) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is IVR-PC's EPS?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.32.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is IVR-PC a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. has a HOLD rating with 62% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is IVR-PC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for IVR-PC: ROE of 12.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 34.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy IVR-PC stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is IVR-PC's free cash flow?

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.'s operating cash flow is $157.1M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 53.2%.

How does IVR-PC compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 34.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 12.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 29, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI