← Back to All US Stocks

REFI Stock Analysis 2026 - Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. AI Rating

REFI Nasdaq Real Estate Investment Trusts MD CIK: 0001867949
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 8, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 REFI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $55.4M
Net Margin: 65.0%
Free Cash Flow: $28.8M
Current Ratio: N/A
Debt/Equity: 0.16x
EPS: $1.68
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence

Is REFI a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

REFI demonstrates exceptional profitability with 65% net margins and conservative leverage (0.16x debt/equity), but growth stagnation is evident with flat revenue (+0.8% YoY) and declining net income (-2.8% YoY) and EPS (-10.6% YoY). Strong free cash flow generation supports current dividends, but the absence of topline growth and earnings deterioration raises concerns about capital deployment and long-term value creation.

Why Buy REFI? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional net profit margin of 65% with consistent operating income conversion
  • + Conservative capital structure with low leverage (0.16x debt/equity) and solid 5.2x interest coverage
  • + Strong free cash flow generation at $28.8M with 52% FCF margin, providing flexibility for distributions

REFI Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Minimal revenue growth trajectory at 0.8% YoY indicates business stagnation in competitive market
  • ! Declining profitability metrics: net income down 2.8% YoY and diluted EPS down 10.6% YoY suggest operational headwinds
  • ! Low absolute cash position of $14.9M relative to $424.9M asset base limits operational flexibility and reduces cushion for market disruptions

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Quarterly revenue growth rate and portfolio origination trends
  • * Diluted earnings per share trajectory and share count changes
  • * Free cash flow generation and dividend payout sustainability ratio

REFI Financial Metrics

Revenue
$55.4M
Net Income
$36.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.68
Free Cash Flow
$28.8M
Total Assets
$424.9M
Cash Position
$14.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 52.0% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

REFI Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 65.0%
Net Margin 65.0%
ROE 11.7%
ROA 8.5%
FCF Margin 52.0%

REFI vs Default Sector

How Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
REFI 65.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
REFI Sector
ROE
REFI 11.7%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
REFI Sector
Current Ratio
REFI 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
REFI Sector
Debt/Equity
REFI 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
REFI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is REFI Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. appears fundamentally strong relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
11.7%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
65.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.16x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

REFI Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.16x
Debt/Assets
27.6%
Interest Coverage
5.19x
Long-term Debt
$49.3M

REFI 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

REFI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $11.1M, Net Income $9.5M, EPS $1.47. Year 2022: Revenue $48.9M, Net Income $9.5M, EPS $1.47.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 341% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $1.88 reflects profitable operations.

REFI Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
52.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

REFI Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q2 2023 $11.4M $7.5M $0.42
Q1 2023 $9.8M $7.8M $0.44
Q3 2022 $4.1M $1.1M $0.55
Q1 2022 $9.8M $7.8M $0.44

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

REFI Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$28.8M
Cash generated from operations
Dividends Paid
$43.8M
Returned to shareholders

REFI SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (CIK: 0001867949)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 12, 2026 8-K ea0280819-8k_chicago.htm View →
Mar 12, 2026 10-K refi-20251231.htm View →
Nov 4, 2025 8-K ea0263563-8k_chicago.htm View →
Nov 4, 2025 10-Q refi-20250930.htm View →
Oct 16, 2025 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about REFI

What is the AI rating for REFI?

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (REFI) has an AI rating of HOLD with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are REFI's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional net profit margin of 65% with consistent operating income conversion. Conservative capital structure with low leverage (0.16x debt/equity) and solid 5.2x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in REFI?

Claude: Minimal revenue growth trajectory at 0.8% YoY indicates business stagnation in competitive market. Declining profitability metrics: net income down 2.8% YoY and diluted EPS down 10.6% YoY suggest operational headwinds.

What is REFI's revenue and growth?

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. reported revenue of $55.4M.

Does REFI pay dividends?

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. pays dividends, with $43.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find REFI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. (CIK: 0001867949) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is REFI's EPS?

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $1.68.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is REFI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. has a HOLD rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is REFI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for REFI: ROE of 11.7% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 65.0% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy REFI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is REFI's free cash flow?

Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $28.8M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 52.0%.

How does REFI compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 65.0% (avg: 12%), ROE 11.7% (avg: 15%), current ratio N/A (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 8, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI