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HLT Stock Analysis 2026 - Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. AI Rating

HLT NYSE Hotels & Motels DE CIK: 0001585689
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 11, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
SELL
78% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 HLT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $12.0B
Net Margin: 12.1%
Free Cash Flow: $2.0B
Current Ratio: 0.66x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $6.12
AI Rating: SELL with 78% confidence

Is HLT a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

While Hilton demonstrates strong operating margins (22.4%) and exceptional free cash flow generation ($2.0B), the company faces critical financial distress with negative stockholders equity of -$5.4B and liabilities exceeding assets by $5.3B. Zero revenue and net income growth combined with severe liquidity constraints (0.66x current ratio) and a $12.5B debt load create material refinancing risk that outweighs positive cash flow dynamics.

Why Buy HLT? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional operating margins at 22.4% and net margins at 12.1%
  • + Strong free cash flow generation of $2.0B with 16.8% FCF margin
  • + Operating cash flow of $2.1B adequately covers operations and debt service

HLT Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative stockholders equity of -$5.4B indicates technical insolvency on balance sheet basis
  • ! Severe liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.66x and quick ratio of 0.54x, unable to cover short-term obligations
  • ! Zero year-over-year revenue and net income growth signals stagnation and limited debt reduction capacity
  • ! Extreme overleveraging with $12.5B long-term debt and liabilities ($22.1B) exceeding assets ($16.8B)
  • ! Refinancing risk if rates remain elevated or operating conditions deteriorate

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Stockholders equity trend and path to positive equity restoration
  • * Quarterly revenue and net income growth acceleration
  • * Debt reduction progress and refinancing activity
  • * Operating cash flow stability and free cash flow sustainability
  • * Current ratio and liquidity improvements

HLT Financial Metrics

Revenue
$12.0B
Net Income
$1.5B
EPS (Diluted)
$6.12
Free Cash Flow
$2.0B
Total Assets
$16.8B
Cash Position
$918.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

HLT Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 22.4%
Net Margin 12.1%
ROE N/A
ROA 8.7%
FCF Margin 16.8%

HLT vs Default Sector

How Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
HLT 12.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
HLT Sector
ROE
HLT 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
HLT Sector
Current Ratio
HLT 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
HLT Sector
Debt/Equity
HLT 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
HLT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is HLT Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
12.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

HLT Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.66x
Quick Ratio
0.54x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
131.9%
Interest Coverage
4.73x
Long-term Debt
$12.5B

HLT 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

HLT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $9.5B, Net Income $881.0M, EPS $3.04. Year 2022: Revenue $8.8B, Net Income -$715.0M, EPS $-2.58. Year 2023: Revenue $10.2B, Net Income $410.0M, EPS $1.46. Year 2024: Revenue $11.2B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $4.53. Year 2025: Revenue $12.0B, Net Income $1.1B, EPS $4.33.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 27% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.33 reflects profitable operations.

HLT Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
16.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HLT Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $2.9B $344.0M $1.38
Q2 2025 $3.0B $421.0M $1.67
Q1 2025 $2.6B $265.0M $1.04
Q3 2024 $2.7B $344.0M $1.38
Q2 2024 $2.7B $411.0M $1.55
Q1 2024 $2.3B $206.0M $0.77
Q3 2023 $2.4B $347.0M $1.26
Q2 2023 $2.2B $368.0M $1.32

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

HLT Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.1B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$3.2B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$101.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$143.0M
Returned to shareholders

HLT SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (CIK: 0001585689)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 7, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775597229.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161226.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161167.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161115.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775161049.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HLT

What is the AI rating for HLT?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) has an AI rating of SELL with 78% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HLT's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional operating margins at 22.4% and net margins at 12.1%. Strong free cash flow generation of $2.0B with 16.8% FCF margin.

What are the risks of investing in HLT?

Claude: Negative stockholders equity of -$5.4B indicates technical insolvency on balance sheet basis. Severe liquidity crisis with current ratio of 0.66x and quick ratio of 0.54x, unable to cover short-term obligations.

What is HLT's revenue and growth?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. reported revenue of $12.0B.

Does HLT pay dividends?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. pays dividends, with $143.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find HLT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (CIK: 0001585689) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HLT's EPS?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. has a diluted EPS of $6.12.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HLT a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. has a SELL rating with 78% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HLT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HLT: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 12.1% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy HLT stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HLT's free cash flow?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.'s operating cash flow is $2.1B, with capital expenditures of $101.0M. FCF margin is 16.8%.

How does HLT compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 12.1% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 15%), current ratio 0.66 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 11, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI