📊 HLMN Key Takeaways
Is HLMN a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis
Hillman Solutions exhibits severe earnings quality deterioration with 2,849% YoY revenue growth but flat net income, suggesting a poorly integrated acquisition. Thin operating and net margins (7.3% and 2.6% respectively) combined with anemic returns on capital (ROE 3.3%, ROA 1.7%) indicate fundamental business weakness despite scale.
Why Buy HLMN? Key Strengths
- Positive operating cash flow of 105.2M and free cash flow of 35.1M demonstrate underlying business generates cash
- Current ratio of 2.51x provides adequate short-term liquidity for operations
- Stable hardware sector with diversified customer base and established market position
HLMN Investment Risks to Consider
- Massive revenue growth coupled with flat net income indicates dilutive acquisition and poor earnings quality; integration risk remains elevated
- Extremely thin margins (net 2.6%, operating 7.3%) limit profitability and reinvestment capacity; returns on capital (ROE 3.3%, ROA 1.7%) severely lag industry standards
- High leverage (673.8M debt) with minimal cash reserves (27.3M) and quick ratio of 0.62x creates refinancing risk and working capital stress
Key Metrics to Watch
- Organic revenue growth rate excluding acquisition impact to assess sustainable business momentum
- Gross margin recovery and operating leverage improvement as integration completes
- Debt reduction trajectory and free cash flow allocation priority
HLMN Financial Metrics
💡 AI Analyst Insight
The relatively thin 2.3% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.51x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.
HLMN Profitability Ratios
HLMN vs Default Sector
How Hillman Solutions Corp. compares to Default sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is HLMN Overvalued or Undervalued?
Based on fundamental analysis, Hillman Solutions Corp. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
HLMN Balance Sheet & Liquidity
HLMN 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis
5-Year Trend Summary: Hillman Solutions Corp.'s revenue has shown modest growth of 9% over the 5-year period. The most recent EPS of $-0.05 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.
HLMN Growth Metrics (YoY)
HLMN Quarterly Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $393.3M | -$317.0K | $0.04 |
| Q2 2025 | $379.4M | -$317.0K | $0.06 |
| Q1 2025 | $350.3M | -$317.0K | $0.00 |
| Q3 2024 | $393.3M | $470.0K | $0.00 |
| Q2 2024 | $379.4M | -$1.5M | $-0.02 |
| Q1 2024 | $349.7M | -$1.5M | $-0.01 |
| Q3 2023 | $378.5M | $470.0K | $0.00 |
| Q2 2023 | $380.0M | -$1.9M | $-0.02 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
HLMN Capital Allocation
HLMN SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Hillman Solutions Corp. (CIK: 0001822492)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about HLMN
What is the AI rating for HLMN?
Hillman Solutions Corp. (HLMN) has an AI rating of SELL with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are HLMN's key strengths?
Claude: Positive operating cash flow of 105.2M and free cash flow of 35.1M demonstrate underlying business generates cash. Current ratio of 2.51x provides adequate short-term liquidity for operations.
What are the risks of investing in HLMN?
Claude: Massive revenue growth coupled with flat net income indicates dilutive acquisition and poor earnings quality; integration risk remains elevated. Extremely thin margins (net 2.6%, operating 7.3%) limit profitability and reinvestment capacity; returns on capital (ROE 3.3%, ROA 1.7%) severely lag industry standards.
What is HLMN's revenue and growth?
Hillman Solutions Corp. reported revenue of $1.6B.
Does HLMN pay dividends?
Hillman Solutions Corp. does not currently pay dividends.
Where can I find HLMN SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for Hillman Solutions Corp. (CIK: 0001822492) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is HLMN's EPS?
Hillman Solutions Corp. has a diluted EPS of $0.20.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is HLMN a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Hillman Solutions Corp. has a SELL rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.
Is HLMN stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for HLMN: ROE of 3.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 2.6% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy HLMN stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives Hillman Solutions Corp. a combined SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is HLMN's free cash flow?
Hillman Solutions Corp.'s operating cash flow is $105.2M, with capital expenditures of $70.1M. FCF margin is 2.3%.
How does HLMN compare to other Default stocks?
Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 2.6% (avg: 12%), ROE 3.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.51 (avg: 1.8).