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HGBL Stock Analysis 2026 - Heritage Global Inc. AI Rating

HGBL Nasdaq Services-Business Services, NEC FL CIK: 0000849145
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 11, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
65% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 HGBL Key Takeaways

Revenue: $51.0M
Net Margin: 7.0%
Free Cash Flow: $-2.3M
Current Ratio: 2.16x
Debt/Equity: 0.06x
EPS: $0.10
AI Rating: HOLD with 65% confidence

Is HGBL a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Heritage Global maintains a fortress balance sheet with minimal leverage and strong liquidity, but faces concerning operational headwinds: flat net income growth despite 12.4% revenue expansion indicates margin compression, and negative free cash flow of -$2.3M despite positive operating cash flow signals capital deployment challenges. The company's low returns on capital (ROE 5.4%, ROA 4.1%) suggest current investments are not generating sufficient returns.

Why Buy HGBL? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Fortress balance sheet with minimal debt (Debt/Equity 0.06x) and zero financial distress risk
  • + Excellent liquidity position with 2.16x current ratio and $20.5M cash reserves (23% of assets)
  • + Consistent top-line revenue growth of 12.4% YoY indicating operational demand
  • + Exceptional interest coverage ratio of 380.7x with only $4.1M long-term debt

HGBL Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Negative free cash flow of -$2.3M reveals cash consumption despite positive operating cash flow, raising sustainability concerns
  • ! Net income stagnation (0% YoY growth) despite 12.4% revenue growth indicates margin compression and operational inefficiency
  • ! EPS declined 28.6% YoY while net income was flat, suggesting significant share dilution
  • ! Anemic returns on capital (ROE 5.4%, ROA 4.1%) indicate capital is not being deployed efficiently
  • ! CapEx of $8.5M exceeds operating cash flow of $6.1M, unsustainable without external funding or improved cash generation

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow trend and path to positive FCF sustainability
  • * Net income margin trajectory relative to revenue growth
  • * Return on equity and return on invested capital improvement
  • * Capital expenditure payoff measured by revenue/earnings generation
  • * Share count changes and their impact on EPS dilution

HGBL Financial Metrics

Revenue
$51.0M
Net Income
$3.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.10
Free Cash Flow
$-2.3M
Total Assets
$88.4M
Cash Position
$20.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 2.16x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

HGBL Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 11.2%
Net Margin 7.0%
ROE 5.4%
ROA 4.1%
FCF Margin -4.6%

HGBL vs Default Sector

How Heritage Global Inc. compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
HGBL 7.0%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
HGBL Sector
ROE
HGBL 5.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
HGBL Sector
Current Ratio
HGBL 2.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
HGBL Sector
Debt/Equity
HGBL 0.1x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
HGBL Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is HGBL Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Heritage Global Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
5.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
7.0%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.06x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

HGBL Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.16x
Quick Ratio
1.78x
Debt/Equity
0.06x
Debt/Assets
24.3%
Interest Coverage
380.73x
Long-term Debt
$4.1M

HGBL 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

HGBL 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $26.2M, Net Income $9.7M, EPS $0.30. Year 2022: Revenue $46.9M, Net Income $3.1M, EPS $0.08. Year 2023: Revenue $60.5M, Net Income $15.5M, EPS $0.42. Year 2024: Revenue $60.5M, Net Income $12.5M, EPS $0.33. Year 2025: Revenue $51.0M, Net Income $5.2M, EPS $0.14.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Heritage Global Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 95% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $0.14 reflects profitable operations.

HGBL Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-4.6%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HGBL Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Heritage Global Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $10.4M $585.0K $0.02
Q2 2025 $12.0M $1.1M $0.05
Q1 2025 $12.2M $1.1M $0.03
Q3 2024 $10.4M $1.1M $0.03
Q2 2024 $12.0M $1.8M $0.07
Q1 2024 $12.2M $1.8M $0.05
Q3 2023 $12.7M $645.0K $0.05
Q2 2023 $11.1M $645.0K $0.07

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

HGBL Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$6.1M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$2.6M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$8.5M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

HGBL SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Heritage Global Inc. (CIK: 0000849145)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 27, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →
Mar 26, 2026 4 xslF345X06/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HGBL

What is the AI rating for HGBL?

Heritage Global Inc. (HGBL) has an AI rating of HOLD with 65% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HGBL's key strengths?

Claude: Fortress balance sheet with minimal debt (Debt/Equity 0.06x) and zero financial distress risk. Excellent liquidity position with 2.16x current ratio and $20.5M cash reserves (23% of assets).

What are the risks of investing in HGBL?

Claude: Negative free cash flow of -$2.3M reveals cash consumption despite positive operating cash flow, raising sustainability concerns. Net income stagnation (0% YoY growth) despite 12.4% revenue growth indicates margin compression and operational inefficiency.

What is HGBL's revenue and growth?

Heritage Global Inc. reported revenue of $51.0M.

Does HGBL pay dividends?

Heritage Global Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find HGBL SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Heritage Global Inc. (CIK: 0000849145) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HGBL's EPS?

Heritage Global Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.10.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HGBL a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Heritage Global Inc. has a HOLD rating with 65% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HGBL stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HGBL: ROE of 5.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 7.0% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy HGBL stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Heritage Global Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HGBL's free cash flow?

Heritage Global Inc.'s operating cash flow is $6.1M, with capital expenditures of $8.5M. FCF margin is -4.6%.

How does HGBL compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 7.0% (avg: 12%), ROE 5.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.16 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 11, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI