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HESM Stock Analysis 2026 - Hess Midstream LP AI Rating

HESM NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0001789832
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 11, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
68% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 HESM Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.6B
Net Margin: 21.8%
Free Cash Flow: $728.2M
Current Ratio: 0.85x
Debt/Equity: N/A
EPS: $0.00
AI Rating: HOLD with 68% confidence

Is HESM a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Hess Midstream generates robust free cash flow of $728.2M with a strong 62.2% operating margin, typical of a mature midstream infrastructure business. However, the 48.5% year-over-year decline in net income combined with an extremely tight $1.9M cash position and high leverage (3.8B debt vs 4.4B assets) creates significant financial stress, requiring careful debt management and resolution of profitability headwinds.

Why Buy HESM? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation of $728.2M with 44.9% FCF margin, providing cash for debt service
  • + Strong operating margins of 62.2% demonstrate efficient core operations typical of midstream infrastructure
  • + Operating cash flow of $983.8M exceeds capital expenditure, maintaining basic operational coverage

HESM Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Net income collapsed 48.5% YoY despite flat revenue, indicating deterioration below operating line (interest expense, taxes)
  • ! Critical liquidity concern: only $1.9M cash against $3.8B long-term debt with current ratio of 0.85x suggests refinancing risk
  • ! Flat revenue growth of 0.3% combined with high leverage and minimal cash reserves limits financial flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Cash position and liquidity - critical given sub-$2M balance and current ratio below 1.0
  • * Net income drivers - understand the 48.5% decline and whether it reverses
  • * Debt refinancing schedule and covenant compliance given leverage position

HESM Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.6B
Net Income
$352.9M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.00
Free Cash Flow
$728.2M
Total Assets
$4.4B
Cash Position
$1.9M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 44.9% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments. The current ratio below 1.0x warrants monitoring of short-term liquidity.

HESM Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 62.2%
Net Margin 21.8%
ROE N/A
ROA 8.0%
FCF Margin 44.9%

HESM vs Energy Sector

How Hess Midstream LP compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
HESM 21.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
HESM Sector
ROE
HESM 0.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
HESM Sector
Current Ratio
HESM 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
HESM Sector
Debt/Equity
HESM 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
HESM Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is HESM Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Hess Midstream LP has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
21.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
N/A
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

HESM Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.85x
Quick Ratio
0.85x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
90.0%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$3.8B

HESM 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

HESM 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income $70.1M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $24.0M, EPS N/A. Year 2023: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $46.4M, EPS N/A. Year 2024: Revenue $1.5B, Net Income $83.9M, EPS N/A. Year 2025: Revenue $1.6B, Net Income $118.6M, EPS N/A.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Hess Midstream LP's revenue has grown significantly by 34% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion.

HESM Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
44.9%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HESM Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Hess Midstream LP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $377.6M $58.6M N/A
Q2 2025 $364.6M $49.5M N/A
Q1 2025 $354.7M $44.6M N/A
Q3 2024 $362.5M $35.3M N/A
Q2 2024 $323.5M $25.1M N/A
Q1 2024 $304.3M $20.7M N/A
Q3 2023 $334.2M $23.2M N/A
Q2 2023 $313.0M $22.0M N/A

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

HESM Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$983.8M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$400.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$255.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

HESM SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Hess Midstream LP (CIK: 0001789832)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →
Mar 10, 2026 4 xslF345X05/ownership.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about HESM

What is the AI rating for HESM?

Hess Midstream LP (HESM) has an AI rating of HOLD with 68% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are HESM's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation of $728.2M with 44.9% FCF margin, providing cash for debt service. Strong operating margins of 62.2% demonstrate efficient core operations typical of midstream infrastructure.

What are the risks of investing in HESM?

Claude: Net income collapsed 48.5% YoY despite flat revenue, indicating deterioration below operating line (interest expense, taxes). Critical liquidity concern: only $1.9M cash against $3.8B long-term debt with current ratio of 0.85x suggests refinancing risk.

What is HESM's revenue and growth?

Hess Midstream LP reported revenue of $1.6B.

Does HESM pay dividends?

Hess Midstream LP does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find HESM SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Hess Midstream LP (CIK: 0001789832) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is HESM's EPS?

Hess Midstream LP has a diluted EPS of $0.00.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is HESM a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Hess Midstream LP has a HOLD rating with 68% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is HESM stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for HESM: ROE of N/A (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 21.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy HESM stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Hess Midstream LP a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability above sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is HESM's free cash flow?

Hess Midstream LP's operating cash flow is $983.8M, with capital expenditures of $255.6M. FCF margin is 44.9%.

How does HESM compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 21.8% (avg: 12%), ROE N/A (avg: 14%), current ratio 0.85 (avg: 1.3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 11, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI