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HCA Stock Analysis - HCA Healthcare, Inc. AI Rating

HCA NYSE Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC CIK: 0000860730
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
72% Confidence

Investment Thesis

HCA demonstrates solid operational fundamentals with strong revenue growth (+7.1% YoY) and substantial free cash flow generation ($7.7B), but the negative stockholders' equity of -$6.0B and extremely high debt load ($44.3B) create significant financial risk. The company's ability to service debt remains adequate (4.4x interest coverage), but the capital structure raises concerns about financial flexibility and shareholder value.

HCA Strengths

  • + Strong revenue growth of 7.1% YoY demonstrates market demand and operational momentum
  • + Robust free cash flow of $7.7B (10.2% FCF margin) provides cash for debt reduction and operations
  • + Solid operating efficiency with 13.0% operating margin and 11.2% ROA showing effective asset utilization
  • + Adequate interest coverage ratio of 4.4x indicates ability to meet debt obligations
  • + Significant operating cash flow of $12.6B demonstrates underlying business quality

HCA Risks

  • ! Negative stockholders' equity of -$6.0B indicates capital structure is severely leveraged and equity-negative
  • ! Extremely high debt of $44.3B (97.5% of total assets) creates refinancing and economic cycle risk
  • ! Net income declined 12.8% YoY despite revenue growth, suggesting margin compression or cost pressures
  • ! Low current ratio of 0.97x and quick ratio of 0.86x indicate tight liquidity and working capital stress
  • ! Limited cash position of only $1.0B relative to debt obligations reduces financial flexibility

Key Metrics to Watch

HCA Financial Metrics

Revenue
$75.6B
Net Income
$6.8B
EPS (Diluted)
$28.33
Free Cash Flow
$7.7B
Total Assets
$60.7B
Cash Position
$1.0B

HCA Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 13.0%
Net Margin 9.0%
ROE N/A
ROA 11.2%
FCF Margin 10.2%

HCA Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
0.97x
Quick Ratio
0.86x
Debt/Equity
N/A
Debt/Assets
75.1%
Interest Coverage
4.37x
Long-term Debt
$44.3B

HCA 5-Year Financial Trend

HCA 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $58.8B, Net Income $3.5B, EPS $10.07. Year 2022: Revenue $60.2B, Net Income $3.8B, EPS $10.93. Year 2023: Revenue $65.0B, Net Income $7.0B, EPS $21.16. Year 2024: Revenue $70.6B, Net Income $5.6B, EPS $19.15. Year 2025: Revenue $75.6B, Net Income $5.2B, EPS $18.97.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: HCA Healthcare, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 29% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $18.97 reflects profitable operations.

HCA Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
10.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

HCA Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for HCA Healthcare, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $17.5B $1.3B $4.88
Q2 2025 $17.5B $1.5B $5.53
Q1 2025 $17.3B $1.6B $5.93
Q3 2024 $16.2B $1.1B $3.91
Q2 2024 $15.9B $1.2B $4.29
Q1 2024 $15.6B $1.4B $4.85
Q3 2023 $15.0B $1.1B $3.91
Q2 2023 $14.8B $1.2B $3.90

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

HCA Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$12.6B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$10.1B
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$4.9B
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$679.0M
Returned to shareholders

HCA SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for HCA Healthcare, Inc. (CIK: 0000860730)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI