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GRNT Stock Analysis 2026 - Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. AI Rating

GRNT NYSE Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas CIK: 0001928446
Recently Updated • Analysis: Apr 10, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
Combined AI Rating
BUY
67% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
BUY
70% Conf
BUY
64% Conf

📊 GRNT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $450.3M
Net Margin: 5.4%
Free Cash Flow: $296.4M
Current Ratio: 1.25x
Debt/Equity: 0.61x
EPS: $0.18
AI Rating: BUY with 70% confidence

Is GRNT a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Granite Ridge demonstrates exceptional free cash flow generation (65.8% FCF margin, $296.4M) and solid revenue growth (+18.5% YoY) with manageable debt service (14.7x interest coverage). However, a critically low cash position ($14.8M against $367.8M debt) and weak capital returns (4.0% ROE) create near-term execution risks despite strong operational cash conversion.

ChatGPT

Revenue is growing double digits and the company generates exceptionally strong operating cash flow with moderate leverage and ample interest coverage, indicating solid financial health. Margins and return metrics are currently modest, likely influenced by non-cash items and commodity/hedging effects, but cash generation suggests capacity to strengthen the balance sheet and fund returns. If cash conversion remains elevated while reinvestment stays disciplined, fundamentals can continue to improve.

Why Buy GRNT? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation ($296.4M) with 65.8% FCF margin demonstrates superior cash conversion
  • + Strong revenue growth momentum (+18.5% YoY) with accelerating EPS growth (+28.6%) outpacing top-line expansion
  • + Manageable leverage with 0.61x debt-to-equity ratio and robust 14.7x interest coverage ratio
ChatGPT
  • + Robust cash generation and high FCF margin
  • + Moderate leverage with strong 14.7x interest coverage
  • + Solid revenue growth (+18.5% YoY)

GRNT Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Critically low cash position ($14.8M) relative to long-term debt ($367.8M) creates liquidity vulnerability
  • ! Poor capital efficiency (4.0% ROE, 2.1% ROA) indicates significant assets are underutilized or overlevered
  • ! Thin net margins (5.4%) and commodity price exposure limit downside protection in cyclical downturn
ChatGPT
  • ! Commodity price and hedge volatility impacting earnings
  • ! Low ROE/ROA and thin net margin indicate earnings quality concerns
  • ! Potential reinvestment/reserve-replacement needs not visible due to missing capex data

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow stability and trend relative to capital expenditures
  • * Cash balance trajectory and debt reduction pace
  • * Net margin trends relative to commodity pricing environment
ChatGPT
  • * Operating cash flow vs net income (cash conversion)
  • * Production volumes and reserve replacement ratio

GRNT Financial Metrics

Revenue
$450.3M
Net Income
$24.4M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.18
Free Cash Flow
$296.4M
Total Assets
$1.2B
Cash Position
$14.8M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 65.8% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.

GRNT Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 10.3%
Net Margin 5.4%
ROE 4.0%
ROA 2.1%
FCF Margin 65.8%

GRNT vs Energy Sector

How Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
GRNT 5.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
GRNT Sector
ROE
GRNT 4.0%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
GRNT Sector
Current Ratio
GRNT 1.2x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
GRNT Sector
Debt/Equity
GRNT 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
GRNT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is GRNT Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Energy sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
4.0%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
5.4%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

GRNT Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.25x
Quick Ratio
1.25x
Debt/Equity
0.61x
Debt/Assets
48.1%
Interest Coverage
14.69x
Long-term Debt
$367.8M

GRNT 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

GRNT 5-year financial data: Year 2022: Revenue $497.4M, Net Income -$23.9M, EPS $-0.18. Year 2023: Revenue $497.4M, Net Income $108.5M, EPS $0.82. Year 2024: Revenue $497.4M, Net Income $262.3M, EPS $1.97. Year 2025: Revenue $450.3M, Net Income $81.1M, EPS $0.61.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.'s revenue has remained relatively flat over the 5-year period, with a 9% decline. The most recent EPS of $0.61 reflects profitable operations.

GRNT Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
65.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

GRNT Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $94.1M $5.1M $0.07
Q2 2025 $90.7M $5.1M $0.04
Q1 2025 $89.0M $9.8M $0.07
Q3 2024 $94.1M $9.1M $0.07
Q2 2024 $87.6M $5.1M $0.04
Q1 2024 $89.0M $16.2M $0.12
Q3 2023 $108.4M $18.0M $0.13
Q2 2023 $87.6M $8.7M $0.07

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

GRNT Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$296.4M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$16.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$57.7M
Returned to shareholders

GRNT SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (CIK: 0001928446)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Apr 8, 2026 DEF 14A grnt-20260408.htm View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1775154827.xml View →
Mar 17, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773755670.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773671540.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773671226.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about GRNT

What is the AI rating for GRNT?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) has a Combined AI Rating of BUY from Claude (BUY) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 67% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are GRNT's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional free cash flow generation ($296.4M) with 65.8% FCF margin demonstrates superior cash conversion. Strong revenue growth momentum (+18.5% YoY) with accelerating EPS growth (+28.6%) outpacing top-line expansion. ChatGPT: Robust cash generation and high FCF margin. Moderate leverage with strong 14.7x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in GRNT?

Claude: Critically low cash position ($14.8M) relative to long-term debt ($367.8M) creates liquidity vulnerability. Poor capital efficiency (4.0% ROE, 2.1% ROA) indicates significant assets are underutilized or overlevered. ChatGPT: Commodity price and hedge volatility impacting earnings. Low ROE/ROA and thin net margin indicate earnings quality concerns.

What is GRNT's revenue and growth?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. reported revenue of $450.3M.

Does GRNT pay dividends?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. pays dividends, with $57.7M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find GRNT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (CIK: 0001928446) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is GRNT's EPS?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $0.18.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is GRNT a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. has a BUY rating with 67% confidence. The AI analysis suggests favorable fundamentals based on SEC filings. This is not investment advice.

Is GRNT stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for GRNT: ROE of 4.0% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 5.4% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy GRNT stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. a combined BUY rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is GRNT's free cash flow?

Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $296.4M, with capital expenditures of N/A. FCF margin is 65.8%.

How does GRNT compare to other Energy stocks?

Vs Energy sector averages: Net margin 5.4% (avg: 12%), ROE 4.0% (avg: 14%), current ratio 1.25 (avg: 1.3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Apr 10, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI