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FTCO Stock Analysis 2026 - Fortitude Gold Corp AI Rating

FTCO OTC Gold and Silver Ores CO CIK: 0001828377
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
HOLD
45% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FTCO Key Takeaways

Revenue: $18.4M
Net Margin: 2.3%
Free Cash Flow: $-15.0M
Current Ratio: 4.26x
Debt/Equity: 0.00x
EPS: $0.02
AI Rating: HOLD with 45% confidence

Is FTCO a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Fortitude Gold shows impressive revenue growth (+6162% YoY) with strong gross margins (54.1%), but profitability is severely undermined by negative operating cash flow (-$13M) and substantial free cash flow deterioration (-$15M). The company exhibits classic startup/development-stage mining characteristics with high fixed assets relative to current earnings generation, warranting cautious observation of cash burn trajectory and path to sustainable cash flow.

Why Buy FTCO? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Exceptional revenue growth of 6162% YoY indicates substantial ramp-up from minimal baseline
  • + Healthy gross margin of 54.1% suggests pricing power or favorable commodity economics
  • + Strong liquidity position with 4.26x current ratio and minimal debt ($100K long-term debt)

FTCO Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Severe negative free cash flow of -$15M despite positive net income indicates cash burn and potential sustainability concerns
  • ! Operating cash flow of -$13M contradicts reported net income of $420K, suggesting potential working capital issues or non-cash items masking operational challenges
  • ! Minimal net margin (2.3%) and extremely low ROE (0.4%) indicate inefficient capital deployment despite revenue growth

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating cash flow trajectory and path to positive cash generation
  • * Cash burn rate relative to cash reserves ($4.7M available)
  • * Net margin expansion as production scales and fixed costs distribute across higher revenue base

FTCO Financial Metrics

Revenue
$18.4M
Net Income
$420.0K
EPS (Diluted)
$0.02
Free Cash Flow
$-15.0M
Total Assets
$136.2M
Cash Position
$4.7M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 4.26x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

FTCO Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 54.1%
Operating Margin 2.4%
Net Margin 2.3%
ROE 0.4%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin -81.3%

FTCO vs Default Sector

How Fortitude Gold Corp compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
FTCO 2.3%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FTCO Sector
ROE
FTCO 0.4%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FTCO Sector
Current Ratio
FTCO 4.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FTCO Sector
Debt/Equity
FTCO 0.0x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FTCO Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FTCO Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, Fortitude Gold Corp has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
0.4%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
2.3%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FTCO Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
4.26x
Quick Ratio
1.03x
Debt/Equity
0.00x
Debt/Assets
23.4%
Interest Coverage
7.46x
Long-term Debt
$100.0K

FTCO 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FTCO 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $82.1M, Net Income $10.2M, EPS $0.48. Year 2022: Revenue $82.1M, Net Income $17.9M, EPS $0.74. Year 2023: Revenue $74.4M, Net Income $14.7M, EPS $0.61. Year 2024: Revenue $73.1M, Net Income $17.0M, EPS $0.70. Year 2025: Revenue $37.3M, Net Income -$2.0M, EPS $-0.08.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Fortitude Gold Corp's revenue has declined by 55% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-0.08 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

FTCO Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
-81.3%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FTCO Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Fortitude Gold Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $4.7M $233.0K $0.01
Q2 2025 $4.9M -$138.0K $-0.01
Q1 2025 $6.5M -$2.0K $0.00
Q3 2024 $10.2M $806.0K $0.03
Q2 2024 $9.6M -$138.0K $-0.01
Q1 2024 $8.2M -$2.0K $0.00
Q3 2023 $16.1M $1.7M $0.07
Q2 2023 $19.2M $3.6M $0.15

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FTCO Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
-$13.0M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$1.9M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$5.8M
Returned to shareholders

FTCO SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Fortitude Gold Corp (CIK: 0001828377)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 3, 2026 8-K ftco-20260303x8k.htm View →
Mar 3, 2026 10-K ftco-20251231x10k.htm View →
Mar 2, 2026 8-K ftco-20260227x8k.htm View →
Feb 18, 2026 8-K ftco-20260217x8k.htm View →
Nov 4, 2025 8-K ftco-20251104x8k.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FTCO

What is the AI rating for FTCO?

Fortitude Gold Corp (FTCO) has an AI rating of HOLD with 45% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FTCO's key strengths?

Claude: Exceptional revenue growth of 6162% YoY indicates substantial ramp-up from minimal baseline. Healthy gross margin of 54.1% suggests pricing power or favorable commodity economics.

What are the risks of investing in FTCO?

Claude: Severe negative free cash flow of -$15M despite positive net income indicates cash burn and potential sustainability concerns. Operating cash flow of -$13M contradicts reported net income of $420K, suggesting potential working capital issues or non-cash items masking operational challenges.

What is FTCO's revenue and growth?

Fortitude Gold Corp reported revenue of $18.4M.

Does FTCO pay dividends?

Fortitude Gold Corp pays dividends, with $5.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find FTCO SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Fortitude Gold Corp (CIK: 0001828377) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FTCO's EPS?

Fortitude Gold Corp has a diluted EPS of $0.02.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FTCO a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, Fortitude Gold Corp has a HOLD rating with 45% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FTCO stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FTCO: ROE of 0.4% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 2.3% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FTCO stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Fortitude Gold Corp a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FTCO's free cash flow?

Fortitude Gold Corp's operating cash flow is $-13.0M, with capital expenditures of $1.9M. FCF margin is -81.3%.

How does FTCO compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 2.3% (avg: 12%), ROE 0.4% (avg: 15%), current ratio 4.26 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI