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FOXF Stock Analysis 2026 - FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP AI Rating

FOXF Nasdaq Motorcycles, Bicycles & Parts DE CIK: 0001424929
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 25, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-01-02
STRONG SELL
92% Conf
Pending
Analysis scheduled

📊 FOXF Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.5B
Net Margin: -37.1%
Free Cash Flow: $27.0M
Current Ratio: 2.86x
Debt/Equity: 0.78x
EPS: $-13.03
AI Rating: STRONG SELL with 92% confidence

Is FOXF a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis

Claude

Fox Factory is experiencing severe profitability deterioration with massive operating losses (-$522.9M) and negative net income (-$544.6M) despite modest 5.3% revenue growth, indicating fundamental operational challenges beyond temporary headwinds. The company is burning cash on operations relative to its revenue base with negative operating margins of -35.6% and an interest coverage ratio of -9.7x, raising critical concerns about debt sustainability. While liquidity metrics appear adequate, the combination of persistent losses, high leverage relative to equity, and minimal FCF margin of 1.8% suggests the business is in distress.

Why Buy FOXF? Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Maintained positive operating cash flow of $60.9M despite significant losses, indicating some underlying cash generation ability
  • + Current ratio of 2.86x and quick ratio of 1.37x demonstrate adequate short-term liquidity to service near-term obligations
  • + Gross margin of 30.2% remains reasonable, suggesting the core product/service maintains acceptable unit economics

FOXF Investment Risks to Consider

Claude
  • ! Operating margin of -35.6% represents severe operational distress with losses expanding faster than revenue growth
  • ! Negative interest coverage ratio of -9.7x indicates inability to cover debt service from operating earnings, creating refinancing risk
  • ! ROE of -81.3% and ROA of -32.6% show massive shareholder value destruction and inefficient asset deployment
  • ! Long-term debt of $523.5M against equity of only $670.2M creates significant leverage risk given unprofitable operations
  • ! Dramatic dilution evident in EPS decline of -8243.8% YoY suggests significant equity issuance to fund losses

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Operating income trajectory - critical to return to profitability to avoid covenant violations
  • * Quarterly cash burn rate and path to positive operating margins
  • * Debt refinancing needs and covenant compliance status
  • * Gross margin sustainability amid operational challenges

FOXF Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.5B
Net Income
$-544.6M
EPS (Diluted)
$-13.03
Free Cash Flow
$27.0M
Total Assets
$1.7B
Cash Position
$58.0M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.8% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.86x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

FOXF Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 30.2%
Operating Margin -35.6%
Net Margin -37.1%
ROE -81.3%
ROA -32.6%
FCF Margin 1.8%

FOXF vs Default Sector

How FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
FOXF -37.1%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
FOXF Sector
ROE
FOXF -81.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
FOXF Sector
Current Ratio
FOXF 2.9x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
FOXF Sector
Debt/Equity
FOXF 0.8x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
FOXF Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is FOXF Overvalued or Undervalued?

Based on fundamental analysis, FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
-81.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
-37.1%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.78x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

FOXF Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.86x
Quick Ratio
1.37x
Debt/Equity
0.78x
Debt/Assets
59.9%
Interest Coverage
-9.74x
Long-term Debt
$523.5M

FOXF 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis

FOXF 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.3B, Net Income $93.0M, EPS $2.38. Year 2022: Revenue $1.6B, Net Income $90.7M, EPS $2.22. Year 2023: Revenue $1.6B, Net Income $163.8M, EPS $3.87. Year 2024: Revenue $1.6B, Net Income $205.3M, EPS $4.84. Year 2025: Revenue $1.5B, Net Income $120.8M, EPS $2.85.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP's revenue has grown significantly by 13% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $2.85 reflects profitable operations.

FOXF Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

FOXF Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $359.1M -$634.0K $-0.02
Q2 2025 $348.5M $1.9M $0.05
Q1 2025 $333.5M -$3.5M $-0.08
Q3 2024 $331.1M -$3.5M $0.11
Q2 2024 $348.5M $1.9M $0.05
Q1 2024 $333.5M -$3.5M $-0.08
Q3 2023 $331.1M $35.3M $0.83
Q2 2023 $400.7M $39.7M $0.94

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

FOXF Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$60.9M
Cash generated from operations
Capital Expenditures
$34.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

FOXF SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP (CIK: 0001424929)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 20, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1774037167.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773259615.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773259609.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773259600.xml View →
Mar 11, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773259576.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about FOXF

What is the AI rating for FOXF?

FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP (FOXF) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are FOXF's key strengths?

Claude: Maintained positive operating cash flow of $60.9M despite significant losses, indicating some underlying cash generation ability. Current ratio of 2.86x and quick ratio of 1.37x demonstrate adequate short-term liquidity to service near-term obligations.

What are the risks of investing in FOXF?

Claude: Operating margin of -35.6% represents severe operational distress with losses expanding faster than revenue growth. Negative interest coverage ratio of -9.7x indicates inability to cover debt service from operating earnings, creating refinancing risk.

What is FOXF's revenue and growth?

FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP reported revenue of $1.5B.

Does FOXF pay dividends?

FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find FOXF SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP (CIK: 0001424929) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is FOXF's EPS?

FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP has a diluted EPS of $-13.03.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is FOXF a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in March 2026, FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is FOXF stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for FOXF: ROE of -81.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -37.1% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy FOXF stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is FOXF's free cash flow?

FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP's operating cash flow is $60.9M, with capital expenditures of $34.0M. FCF margin is 1.8%.

How does FOXF compare to other Default stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -37.1% (avg: 12%), ROE -81.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 2.86 (avg: 1.8).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 25, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-01-02 | Powered by Claude AI