📊 LVWR-WT Key Takeaways
Is LVWR-WT a Good Investment? Thesis Analysis
LiveWire Group exhibits severe fundamental deterioration with massive operating losses (-75.5M on 25.7M revenue), negative free cash flow of -57.4M, and unsustainable cash burn despite 82.8M in liquid reserves. The company is pre-revenue in profitability and burning cash at an alarming rate that will deplete reserves within 1-2 years without significant operational improvements or capital raises.
Why Buy LVWR-WT? Key Strengths
- Strong liquidity position with 82.8M cash and 4.63x current ratio providing near-term runway
- Revenue stabilization showing only -3.6% YoY decline, suggesting potential market stabilization
- Relatively low absolute revenue base may indicate early-stage motorcycle/EV company with expansion potential
LVWR-WT Investment Risks to Consider
- Catastrophic cash burn of -57.4M in free cash flow annually is unsustainable and threatens viability
- Operating margin of -294% and net margin of -292.6% indicate business model is fundamentally broken at current scale
- Long-term debt of 74.2M represents 81% of equity and compounds cash burn with interest obligations, creating a debt spiral risk
- Negative operating cash flow of -53.5M indicates core business operations are destroying value, not just showing accounting losses
- 7 Form 4 insider filings in 90 days suggests elevated insider activity that may indicate distress or uncertainty about company direction
Key Metrics to Watch
- Operating cash flow trend - must turn positive within 2-3 quarters or bankruptcy risk escalates
- Monthly/quarterly cash burn rate relative to 82.8M reserve to model runway remaining
- Revenue growth rate - needs to inflect significantly positive to achieve scale economics
- Gross margin realization - currently N/A; must demonstrate positive gross margin to validate unit economics
- Capital structure changes including debt restructuring or equity dilution events
LVWR-WT Financial Metrics
💡 AI Analyst Insight
Strong liquidity with a 4.63x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.
LVWR-WT Profitability Ratios
LVWR-WT vs Default Sector
How LiveWire Group, Inc. compares to Default sector averages
Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.
Is LVWR-WT Overvalued or Undervalued?
Based on fundamental analysis, LiveWire Group, Inc. shows some fundamental concerns relative to the Default sector in 2026.
Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.
LVWR-WT Balance Sheet & Liquidity
LVWR-WT 5-Year Financial Trend & Growth Analysis
5-Year Trend Summary: LiveWire Group, Inc.'s revenue has declined by 19% over the 5-year period, indicating business contraction. The most recent EPS of $-0.54 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.
LVWR-WT Growth Metrics (YoY)
LVWR-WT Quarterly Performance
| Quarter | Revenue | Net Income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 2025 | $4.4M | -$18.8M | $-0.10 |
| Q2 2025 | $5.9M | -$18.8M | $-0.09 |
| Q1 2025 | $2.7M | -$19.3M | $-0.09 |
| Q3 2024 | $4.4M | -$14.6M | $-0.07 |
| Q2 2024 | $6.4M | -$21.1M | $-0.12 |
| Q1 2024 | $5.0M | -$21.1M | $-0.10 |
| Q3 2023 | $8.1M | -$14.6M | $-0.07 |
| Q2 2023 | $7.0M | -$16.0M | $-0.12 |
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.
LVWR-WT Capital Allocation
LVWR-WT SEC 10-K & 10-Q Filing Analysis
Access official SEC EDGAR filings for LiveWire Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001898795)
📋 Recent SEC Filings
| Date | Form | Document | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771901453.xml | View → |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771901433.xml | View → |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771901414.xml | View → |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771901388.xml | View → |
| Feb 23, 2026 | 4 | xslF345X05/wk-form4_1771901365.xml | View → |
❓ Frequently Asked Questions about LVWR-WT
What is the AI rating for LVWR-WT?
LiveWire Group, Inc. (LVWR-WT) has an AI rating of STRONG SELL with 92% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.
What are LVWR-WT's key strengths?
Claude: Strong liquidity position with 82.8M cash and 4.63x current ratio providing near-term runway. Revenue stabilization showing only -3.6% YoY decline, suggesting potential market stabilization.
What are the risks of investing in LVWR-WT?
Claude: Catastrophic cash burn of -57.4M in free cash flow annually is unsustainable and threatens viability. Operating margin of -294% and net margin of -292.6% indicate business model is fundamentally broken at current scale.
What is LVWR-WT's revenue and growth?
LiveWire Group, Inc. reported revenue of $25.7M.
Does LVWR-WT pay dividends?
LiveWire Group, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.
Where can I find LVWR-WT SEC filings?
Official SEC filings for LiveWire Group, Inc. (CIK: 0001898795) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.
What is LVWR-WT's EPS?
LiveWire Group, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.37.
How is the AI analysis conducted?
Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.
Is LVWR-WT a good stock to buy right now?
Based on our AI fundamental analysis in April 2026, LiveWire Group, Inc. has a STRONG SELL rating with 92% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.
Is LVWR-WT stock overvalued or undervalued?
Valuation metrics for LVWR-WT: ROE of -163.2% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of -292.6% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.
Should I buy LVWR-WT stock in 2026?
Our dual AI analysis gives LiveWire Group, Inc. a combined STRONG SELL rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.
What is LVWR-WT's free cash flow?
LiveWire Group, Inc.'s operating cash flow is $-53.5M, with capital expenditures of $3.8M. FCF margin is -223.4%.
How does LVWR-WT compare to other Default stocks?
Vs Default sector averages: Net margin -292.6% (avg: 12%), ROE -163.2% (avg: 15%), current ratio 4.63 (avg: 1.8).