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CNC Stock Analysis - CENTENE CORP AI Rating

CNC NYSE Hospital & Medical Service Plans DE CIK: 0001071739
Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
SELL
85% Confidence

Investment Thesis

Centene faces severe profitability challenges with negative operating and net income despite strong revenue growth of 11.6%, indicating fundamental operational distress. While positive free cash flow of 4.3B provides near-term liquidity buffer, the company's negative ROE of -33.4% and operating margin of -3.9% signal structural issues in margin management that require immediate operational restructuring.

CNC Strengths

  • + Strong revenue growth of 11.6% YoY demonstrating market demand and scale expansion
  • + Solid free cash flow of 4.3B providing operational flexibility despite negative earnings
  • + Adequate liquidity with current ratio of 1.10x and cash position of 17.9B covering near-term obligations

CNC Risks

  • ! Significant operating losses of 7.6B with negative operating margin of -3.9% indicating severe cost control issues
  • ! Negative profitability with net margin of -3.4% and net income loss of 6.7B creating shareholder value destruction
  • ! Deteriorating returns with ROE of -33.4% and ROA of -8.7% suggesting inefficient capital deployment and operational mismanagement
  • ! Negative interest coverage of -42.8x indicating inability to service debt from operations, creating refinancing risk

Key Metrics to Watch

CNC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$194.8B
Net Income
$-6.7B
EPS (Diluted)
$-13.53
Free Cash Flow
$4.3B
Total Assets
$76.7B
Cash Position
$17.9B

CNC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 7.3%
Operating Margin -3.9%
Net Margin -3.4%
ROE -33.4%
ROA -8.7%
FCF Margin 2.2%

CNC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.10x
Quick Ratio
1.10x
Debt/Equity
0.88x
Debt/Assets
73.9%
Interest Coverage
-42.83x
Long-term Debt
$17.5B

CNC 5-Year Financial Trend

CNC 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $118.0B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $3.14. Year 2022: Revenue $135.5B, Net Income $1.8B, EPS $3.12. Year 2023: Revenue $140.1B, Net Income $1.3B, EPS $2.28. Year 2024: Revenue $145.5B, Net Income $1.2B, EPS $2.07. Year 2025: Revenue $174.6B, Net Income $2.7B, EPS $4.95.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: CENTENE CORP's revenue has grown significantly by 48% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $4.95 reflects profitable operations.

CNC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
2.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CNC Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for CENTENE CORP including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $36.9B $713.0M $1.36
Q2 2025 $36.0B -$253.0M $-0.51
Q1 2025 $36.3B $1.2B $2.16
Q3 2024 $35.0B $469.0M $0.87
Q2 2024 $34.8B $1.1B $1.92
Q1 2024 $35.0B $1.1B $2.04
Q3 2023 $33.7B $469.0M $0.87
Q2 2023 $34.0B -$172.0M $-0.29

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CNC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$5.1B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$475.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$767.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CNC SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for CENTENE CORP (CIK: 0001071739)

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 19, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI