← Back to All US Stocks

Cummins Inc. (CMI) Stock Fundamental Analysis & AI Rating 2026

CMI NYSE Engines & Turbines IN CIK: 0000026172
Recently Updated • Analysis: May 7, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-03-31
Combined AI Rating
HOLD
74% Confidence
NEUTRAL
SELL
72% Conf
BUY
76% Conf

📊 CMI Key Takeaways

Revenue: $8.4B
Net Margin: 7.8%
Free Cash Flow: $120.0M
Current Ratio: 1.71x
Debt/Equity: 0.62x
EPS: $4.71
AI Rating: SELL with 72% confidence
Cummins Inc. (CMI) receives a HOLD rating with 74% confidence from our AI fundamental analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $8.4B, net profit margin of 7.8%, and return on equity (ROE) of 5.3%, Cummins Inc. demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Market sector. Below is our complete CMI stock analysis for 2026.

Is Cummins Inc. (CMI) a Good Investment?

Claude

Cummins exhibits concerning fundamental deterioration with revenue declining 1.3% YoY and net income falling 3.9%, while EPS dropped 27.7%, indicating margin compression and operational challenges. The company's abysmal ROE of 5.3% and ROA of 1.9% reflect poor capital efficiency in a capital-intensive industry facing structural headwinds from electrification. Weak free cash flow conversion of 1.4% signals operational stress.

ChatGPT

Cummins shows strong core fundamentals, with solid margins, high returns on equity and assets, and healthy free cash flow generation despite a modest year-over-year decline in revenue and net income. The balance sheet remains sound, with good liquidity, manageable leverage, and strong interest coverage, which supports resilience through industrial cycles. Growth quality is mixed near term, but the company still appears fundamentally strong enough to merit a positive view.

Why Buy Cummins Inc. Stock? CMI Key Strengths

Claude
  • + Established market position with $8.4B revenue base and 11.3% operating margin demonstrating scale and operational efficiency
  • + Strong liquidity with 1.71x current ratio and $2.6B cash providing near-term financial flexibility
  • + Manageable leverage with 0.62x debt-to-equity ratio creating financial runway for strategic adjustments
ChatGPT
  • + Solid profitability with 25.3% gross margin, 12.0% operating margin, and 8.4% net margin
  • + Healthy financial position supported by 1.76x current ratio, 0.61x debt/equity, and 12.2x interest coverage
  • + Consistent cash generation with $3.62B operating cash flow and $2.39B free cash flow

CMI Stock Risks: Cummins Inc. Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Declining revenues with accelerating net income erosion (3.9% YoY) and 27.7% EPS decline indicating severe margin compression
  • ! Extremely poor capital returns with ROE of 5.3% and ROA of 1.9% reflecting inefficient asset utilization and operational strain
  • ! Weak free cash flow generation at 1.4% margin insufficient to support debt obligations and investments amid industry electrification transition
ChatGPT
  • ! Revenue and net income are both declining year over year, indicating softer near-term demand or margin pressure
  • ! Diluted EPS fell much faster than net income, which may point to dilution or non-operating headwinds
  • ! Industrial and engine markets are cyclical, which can pressure earnings quality during downturns

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Free cash flow conversion rate and operating cash flow trends as primary indicators of business fundamentals
  • * Return on equity trajectory from severely depressed 5.3% level indicating capital efficiency recovery
  • * Revenue stabilization and gross margin defense amid electrification and competitive pressures
ChatGPT
  • * Revenue growth and operating margin trend
  • * Free cash flow generation and EPS trend

Cummins Inc. (CMI) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$8.4B
Net Income
$654.0M
EPS (Diluted)
$4.71
Free Cash Flow
$120.0M
Total Assets
$34.4B
Cash Position
$2.6B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 1.4% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility.

CMI Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 26.7%
Operating Margin 11.3%
Net Margin 7.8%
ROE 5.3%
ROA 1.9%
FCF Margin 1.4%

CMI vs Market Sector: How Cummins Inc. Compares

How Cummins Inc. compares to Market sector averages

Net Margin
CMI 7.8%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CMI Sector
ROE
CMI 5.3%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CMI Sector
Current Ratio
CMI 1.7x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
CMI Sector
Debt/Equity
CMI 0.6x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CMI Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is Cummins Inc. Stock Overvalued? CMI Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, Cummins Inc. has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Market sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
5.3%
Sector avg: 15%
Net Profit Margin
7.8%
Sector avg: 12%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.62x
Sector avg: 0.7x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

Cummins Inc. Balance Sheet: CMI Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.71x
Quick Ratio
1.11x
Debt/Equity
0.62x
Debt/Assets
61.2%
Interest Coverage
2.88x
Long-term Debt
$7.7B

CMI Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CMI 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $24.0B, Net Income $2.3B, EPS $14.48. Year 2022: Revenue $28.1B, Net Income $1.8B, EPS $12.01. Year 2023: Revenue $34.1B, Net Income $2.2B, EPS $14.61. Year 2024: Revenue $34.1B, Net Income $2.2B, EPS $15.12. Year 2025: Revenue $34.1B, Net Income $840.0M, EPS $5.15.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Cummins Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 42% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $5.15 reflects profitable operations.

CMI Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
1.4%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CMI Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Cummins Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $8.2B $680.0M $4.71

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

Cummins Inc. Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$309.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$243.0M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$189.0M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$276.0M
Returned to shareholders

CMI SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Cummins Inc. (CIK: 0000026172)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
May 8, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
May 5, 2026 10-Q cmi-20260331.htm View →
May 5, 2026 8-K cmi-20260505.htm View →
Apr 2, 2026 4 xslF345X06/doc4.xml View →
Apr 2, 2026 DEF 14A tm261336-2_def14a.htm View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CMI

What is the AI rating for CMI?

Cummins Inc. (CMI) has a Combined AI Rating of HOLD from Claude (SELL) and ChatGPT (BUY) with 74% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CMI's key strengths?

Claude: Established market position with $8.4B revenue base and 11.3% operating margin demonstrating scale and operational efficiency. Strong liquidity with 1.71x current ratio and $2.6B cash providing near-term financial flexibility. ChatGPT: Solid profitability with 25.3% gross margin, 12.0% operating margin, and 8.4% net margin. Healthy financial position supported by 1.76x current ratio, 0.61x debt/equity, and 12.2x interest coverage.

What are the risks of investing in CMI?

Claude: Declining revenues with accelerating net income erosion (3.9% YoY) and 27.7% EPS decline indicating severe margin compression. Extremely poor capital returns with ROE of 5.3% and ROA of 1.9% reflecting inefficient asset utilization and operational strain. ChatGPT: Revenue and net income are both declining year over year, indicating softer near-term demand or margin pressure. Diluted EPS fell much faster than net income, which may point to dilution or non-operating headwinds.

What is CMI's revenue and growth?

Cummins Inc. reported revenue of $8.4B.

Does CMI pay dividends?

Cummins Inc. pays dividends, with $276.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CMI SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Cummins Inc. (CIK: 0000026172) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CMI's EPS?

Cummins Inc. has a diluted EPS of $4.71.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined rating reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

Is CMI a good stock to buy right now?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in May 2026, Cummins Inc. has a HOLD rating with 74% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above before making a decision. This is not investment advice.

Is CMI stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CMI: ROE of 5.3% (sector avg: 15%), net margin of 7.8% (sector avg: 12%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

Should I buy CMI stock in 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives Cummins Inc. a combined HOLD rating for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CMI's free cash flow?

Cummins Inc.'s operating cash flow is $309.0M, with capital expenditures of $189.0M. FCF margin is 1.4%.

How does CMI compare to other Market stocks?

Vs Default sector averages: Net margin 7.8% (avg: 12%), ROE 5.3% (avg: 15%), current ratio 1.71 (avg: 1.8).

Top Rated Stocks
AAPL 92% MSFT 92% FAST 92% DT 92% DECK 92% DAVEW 92% CTAS 92% CRUS 92% CRMD 92% CRDO 92%
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: May 7, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-03-31 | Powered by Claude AI