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CMC Stock Analysis - COMMERCIAL METALS Co AI Rating

CMC NYSE Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) DE CIK: 0000022444
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-11-30
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

📊 CMC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $2.1B
Net Margin: 8.4%
Free Cash Flow: $78.8M
Current Ratio: 4.47x
Debt/Equity: 0.74x
EPS: $1.58
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Investment Thesis

Commercial Metals demonstrates solid financial stability with strong liquidity (4.47x current ratio) and a healthy debt position (0.74x D/E), but faces significant profitability headwinds evidenced by an 82.6% YoY decline in net income and weak margins (8.4% net margin). The company's low ROE (4.1%) and ROA (1.9%) indicate inefficient capital deployment despite substantial asset base of $9.2B.

CMC Strengths

  • + Exceptional liquidity position with $3.0B cash and 4.47x current ratio providing financial flexibility
  • + Conservative leverage at 0.74x debt-to-equity with strong 7.4x interest coverage ratio
  • + Positive operating cash flow of $204.2M and free cash flow of $78.8M supporting sustainability
  • + Robust balance sheet with $4.3B stockholders' equity providing buffer against downturns

CMC Risks

  • ! Severe profitability compression with net income declining 82.6% YoY and EPS down 82.1% indicating cyclical downturn or structural challenges
  • ! Weak operational efficiency with net margin of 8.4% and ROE of only 4.1%, suggesting poor capital returns
  • ! Revenue decline of 1.6% YoY combined with gross margin of only 12.4% indicates pricing pressure in competitive steel industry
  • ! Modest free cash flow margin of 3.7% limits reinvestment and shareholder return capacity relative to asset size

Key Metrics to Watch

CMC Financial Metrics

Revenue
$2.1B
Net Income
$177.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$1.58
Free Cash Flow
$78.8M
Total Assets
$9.2B
Cash Position
$3.0B

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 3.7% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 4.47x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

CMC Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 12.4%
Operating Margin 8.6%
Net Margin 8.4%
ROE 4.1%
ROA 1.9%
FCF Margin 3.7%

CMC vs Default Sector

How COMMERCIAL METALS Co compares to Default sector averages

Net Margin
CMC 8.4%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CMC Sector
ROE
CMC 4.1%
vs
Sector Avg 15.0%
CMC Sector
Current Ratio
CMC 4.5x
vs
Sector Avg 1.8x
CMC Sector
Debt/Equity
CMC 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.7x
CMC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

CMC Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
4.47x
Quick Ratio
3.70x
Debt/Equity
0.74x
Debt/Assets
53.3%
Interest Coverage
7.36x
Long-term Debt
$3.2B

CMC 5-Year Financial Trend

CMC 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.7B, Net Income $198.1M, EPS $1.66. Year 2022: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $279.5M, EPS $2.32. Year 2023: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $412.9M, EPS $3.38. Year 2024: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $1.2B, EPS $9.95. Year 2025: Revenue $8.8B, Net Income $859.8M, EPS $7.25.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: COMMERCIAL METALS Co's revenue has grown significantly by 31% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $7.25 reflects profitable operations.

CMC Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
3.7%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CMC Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for COMMERCIAL METALS Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q1 2026 $1.9B -$175.7M $-1.54
Q3 2025 $2.0B -$67.1M $-0.59
Q2 2025 $1.8B $25.5M $0.22
Q1 2025 $1.9B -$175.7M $1.49
Q3 2024 $2.1B $119.4M $1.02
Q2 2024 $1.8B $85.8M $0.73
Q1 2024 $2.0B $176.3M $1.49
Q3 2023 $2.3B $234.0M $1.98

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CMC Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$204.2M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$38.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$125.4M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$20.0M
Returned to shareholders

CMC SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CIK: 0000022444)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Feb 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1770233943.xml View →
Feb 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1770233878.xml View →
Feb 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1770233857.xml View →
Feb 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1770233839.xml View →
Feb 4, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1770233825.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CMC

What is the AI rating for CMC?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CMC) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CMC's key strengths?

Exceptional liquidity position with $3.0B cash and 4.47x current ratio providing financial flexibility. Conservative leverage at 0.74x debt-to-equity with strong 7.4x interest coverage ratio.

What are the risks of investing in CMC?

Severe profitability compression with net income declining 82.6% YoY and EPS down 82.1% indicating cyclical downturn or structural challenges. Weak operational efficiency with net margin of 8.4% and ROE of only 4.1%, suggesting poor capital returns.

What is CMC's revenue and growth?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co reported revenue of $2.1B.

Does CMC pay dividends?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co pays dividends, with $20.0M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CMC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CIK: 0000022444) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CMC's EPS?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co has a diluted EPS of $1.58.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-11-30 | Powered by Claude AI