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COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CMC) Fundamental Analysis & AI Grade 2026

CMC NYSE Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) DE CIK: 0000022444
Recently Updated • Analysis: Jul 31, 2026 • SEC Data: 2026-05-31
Combined AI Grade
B
76% Confidence
STRONG AGREEMENT
B
68% Conf
B
84% Conf

📊 CMC Key Takeaways

Revenue: $6.7B
Net Margin: 6.6%
Free Cash Flow: $198.8M
Current Ratio: 2.33x
Debt/Equity: 0.71x
EPS: $3.96
AI Grade: B with 68% confidence
COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CMC) receives a B fundamental grade with 76% confidence from our AI analysis based on SEC 10-K filings. With revenue of $6.7B, net profit margin of 6.6%, and return on equity (ROE) of 9.8%, COMMERCIAL METALS Co demonstrates mixed fundamentals in the Materials sector. Below is our complete CMC stock analysis for 2026.

Is COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CMC) a Good Investment?

Claude

CMC maintains a financially sound balance sheet with strong liquidity (2.33x current ratio) and excellent interest coverage (32.3x), generating $198.8M in free cash flow. However, net income collapsed 82.6% YoY with razor-thin 3.9% gross margins, indicating severe cyclical headwinds in commodity steel pricing that have compressed profitability despite stable revenue.

ChatGPT

Commercial Metals shows solid underlying financial health, with strong liquidity, positive free cash flow, and a balance sheet that can support cyclical volatility. However, the steep decline in net income, EPS, and weak returns on equity and assets point to materially softer earnings quality and profitability momentum, which limits conviction despite the company’s resilience.

COMMERCIAL METALS Co Key Strengths (CMC)

Claude
  • + Strong balance sheet: $4.5B equity, Debt/Equity of 0.71x provides financial flexibility
  • + Excellent liquidity: 2.33x current ratio and 1.54x quick ratio enable operational resilience
  • + Robust cash generation: $603M operating cash flow and $198.8M free cash flow despite profitability decline
  • + Outstanding debt serviceability: 32.3x interest coverage ratio indicates negligible default risk
  • + Insider activity: 9 Form 4 filings in last 90 days suggest management confidence
ChatGPT
  • + Very strong liquidity with 4.47x current ratio, 3.70x quick ratio, and $3.03B in cash
  • + Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow indicate the business is still generating cash through the cycle
  • + Moderate leverage and 7.4x interest coverage suggest debt is currently manageable

CMC Stock Risks: COMMERCIAL METALS Co Investment Risks

Claude
  • ! Severe profitability deterioration: 82.6% YoY decline in net income signals significant cyclical stress
  • ! Commodity margin compression: 3.9% gross margin reflects brutal pricing pressure in steel industry
  • ! Revenue contraction: -1.6% YoY decline indicates weakening demand environment
  • ! Thin free cash flow margin: 3.0% FCF margin leaves limited buffer for continued headwinds
  • ! Cyclical vulnerability: Steel sector exposure to macroeconomic slowdown and commodity price volatility
ChatGPT
  • ! Net income and diluted EPS collapsed more than 80% year over year, signaling major earnings pressure
  • ! Margins are still positive but relatively modest for a cyclical downturn, leaving limited buffer if pricing weakens further
  • ! ROE of 4.1% and ROA of 1.9% indicate weak capital efficiency and subdued profit generation

Key Metrics to Watch

Claude
  • * Gross margin trend - critical indicator of commodity pricing environment recovery
  • * Free cash flow sustainability - must remain positive if profitability cycle extends
  • * Revenue growth acceleration - reversal of -1.6% YoY decline signals demand improvement
  • * Debt/Equity ratio - monitor for covenant compliance if cycle persists
  • * Operating cash flow conversion - watch for deterioration below current $603M levels
ChatGPT
  • * Net income and operating margin trend over the next few quarters
  • * Free cash flow conversion after capital expenditures

COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CMC) Financial Metrics & Key Ratios

Revenue
$6.7B
Net Income
$443.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$3.96
Free Cash Flow
$198.8M
Total Assets
$9.8B
Cash Position
$563.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The relatively thin 3.0% FCF margin may limit capital allocation flexibility. Strong liquidity with a 2.33x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

CMC Profit Margin, ROE & Profitability Analysis

Gross Margin 3.9%
Operating Margin 7.1%
Net Margin 6.6%
ROE 9.8%
ROA 4.5%
FCF Margin 3.0%

CMC vs Materials Sector: How COMMERCIAL METALS Co Compares

How COMMERCIAL METALS Co compares to Materials sector averages

Net Margin
CMC 6.6%
vs
Sector Avg 10.0%
CMC Sector
ROE
CMC 9.8%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
CMC Sector
Current Ratio
CMC 2.3x
vs
Sector Avg 1.6x
CMC Sector
Debt/Equity
CMC 0.7x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
CMC Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

Is COMMERCIAL METALS Co Stock Overvalued? CMC Valuation Analysis 2026

Based on fundamental analysis, COMMERCIAL METALS Co has mixed fundamental signals relative to the Materials sector in 2026.

Return on Equity
9.8%
Sector avg: 14%
Net Profit Margin
6.6%
Sector avg: 10%
Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Debt/Equity
0.71x
Sector avg: 0.6x

Note: This is a fundamental analysis based on SEC filings. For P/E ratio, price targets, and market-based valuation, consult financial data providers. This is not investment advice.

COMMERCIAL METALS Co Balance Sheet: CMC Debt, Cash & Liquidity

Current Ratio
2.33x
Quick Ratio
1.54x
Debt/Equity
0.71x
Debt/Assets
53.7%
Interest Coverage
32.32x
Long-term Debt
$3.2B

CMC Revenue & Earnings Growth: 5-Year Financial Trend

CMC 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $6.7B, Net Income $198.1M, EPS $1.66. Year 2022: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $279.5M, EPS $2.32. Year 2023: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $412.9M, EPS $3.38. Year 2024: Revenue $8.9B, Net Income $1.2B, EPS $9.95. Year 2025: Revenue $8.8B, Net Income $859.8M, EPS $7.25.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: COMMERCIAL METALS Co's revenue has grown significantly by 31% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $7.25 reflects profitable operations.

CMC Revenue Growth, EPS Growth & YoY Performance

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
3.0%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CMC Quarterly Earnings & Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for COMMERCIAL METALS Co including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2026 $2.0B -$67.1M $-0.59
Q2 2026 $1.8B $25.5M $0.22
Q1 2026 $1.9B -$175.7M $-1.54
Q3 2025 $2.0B -$67.1M $-0.59
Q2 2025 $1.8B $25.5M $0.22
Q1 2025 $1.9B -$175.7M $1.49
Q3 2024 $2.1B $119.4M $1.02
Q2 2024 $1.8B $85.8M $0.73

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

COMMERCIAL METALS Co Dividends, Buybacks & Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$603.0M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$76.1M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$404.3M
Investment in assets
Dividends Paid
$62.1M
Returned to shareholders

CMC SEC Filings: Latest 10-K & 10-Q Analysis

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CIK: 0000022444)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Jul 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1784295599.xml View →
Jul 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1784295543.xml View →
Jul 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1784295482.xml View →
Jul 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1784295408.xml View →
Jul 17, 2026 4 xslF345X06/wk-form4_1784295323.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CMC

What is the AI rating for CMC?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CMC) has a Combined AI Grade of B from Claude (B) and ChatGPT (B) with 76% combined confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CMC's key strengths?

Claude: Strong balance sheet: $4.5B equity, Debt/Equity of 0.71x provides financial flexibility. Excellent liquidity: 2.33x current ratio and 1.54x quick ratio enable operational resilience. ChatGPT: Very strong liquidity with 4.47x current ratio, 3.70x quick ratio, and $3.03B in cash. Positive operating cash flow and free cash flow indicate the business is still generating cash through the cycle.

What are the risks of investing in CMC?

Claude: Severe profitability deterioration: 82.6% YoY decline in net income signals significant cyclical stress. Commodity margin compression: 3.9% gross margin reflects brutal pricing pressure in steel industry. ChatGPT: Net income and diluted EPS collapsed more than 80% year over year, signaling major earnings pressure. Margins are still positive but relatively modest for a cyclical downturn, leaving limited buffer if pricing weakens further.

What is CMC's revenue and growth?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co reported revenue of $6.7B.

Does CMC pay dividends?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co pays dividends, with $62.1M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CMC SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for COMMERCIAL METALS Co (CIK: 0000022444) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CMC's EPS?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co has a diluted EPS of $3.96.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Two independent AI systems — Claude (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) — analyze SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports. Each AI evaluates financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics. The combined grade reflects both perspectives for balanced insights.

What is CMC's fundamental grade?

Based on our AI fundamental analysis in August 2026, COMMERCIAL METALS Co has a B grade with 76% confidence. Review the strengths and risks sections above for full context. This is not investment advice.

Is CMC stock overvalued or undervalued?

Valuation metrics for CMC: ROE of 9.8% (sector avg: 14%), net margin of 6.6% (sector avg: 10%). Compare these metrics with sector averages to assess valuation.

What is CMC's AI grade for 2026?

Our dual AI analysis gives COMMERCIAL METALS Co a combined B grade for 2026. Revenue is data pending, with profitability at or below sector average. Always conduct your own research.

What is CMC's free cash flow?

COMMERCIAL METALS Co's operating cash flow is $603.0M, with capital expenditures of $404.3M. FCF margin is 3.0%.

How does CMC compare to other Materials stocks?

Vs Materials sector averages: Net margin 6.6% (avg: 10%), ROE 9.8% (avg: 14%), current ratio 2.33 (avg: 1.6).

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Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI (Anthropic) and ChatGPT (OpenAI) based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Jul 31, 2026 | Data as of: 2026-05-31 | Powered by Claude AI