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CHRD Stock Analysis - Chord Energy Corp AI Rating

CHRD Nasdaq Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas DE CIK: 0001486159
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

📊 CHRD Key Takeaways

Revenue: $4.9B
Net Margin: 0.9%
Free Cash Flow: $2.0B
Current Ratio: 1.06x
Debt/Equity: 0.18x
EPS: $0.74
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Investment Thesis

Chord Energy demonstrates solid operational cash generation with a 41.8% FCF margin and strong interest coverage of 26x, indicating financial stability in the energy sector. However, deteriorating profitability metrics—including a 95.4% EPS decline YoY, razor-thin 0.9% net margin, and low ROE/ROA of 0.6%/0.3%—signal operational challenges amid declining revenue (-7.1% YoY). The company's high insider activity (20 Form 4 filings) and adequate leverage ratios provide some confidence, but fundamental weakness in earnings generation requires monitoring.

CHRD Strengths

  • + Exceptional free cash flow generation at $2.0B with 41.8% FCF margin, demonstrating strong cash conversion despite revenue headwinds
  • + Conservative capital structure with 0.18x debt-to-equity ratio and 26x interest coverage, providing financial flexibility and low bankruptcy risk
  • + Solid liquidity position with $189.5M cash and 1.06x current ratio maintaining operational flexibility

CHRD Risks

  • ! Severe profitability collapse with 95.4% EPS decline YoY, net margin contracted to 0.9%, and near-zero returns on equity (0.6%) and assets (0.3%)
  • ! Revenue decline of 7.1% YoY indicates secular or cyclical pressures in crude oil/natural gas market affecting top-line growth
  • ! Minimal cash reserves ($189.5M) relative to $13.1B asset base and high leverage potential if operational cash flow deteriorates further

Key Metrics to Watch

CHRD Financial Metrics

Revenue
$4.9B
Net Income
$44.5M
EPS (Diluted)
$0.74
Free Cash Flow
$2.0B
Total Assets
$13.1B
Cash Position
$189.5M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

The 41.8% free cash flow margin provides substantial flexibility for dividends, buybacks, and strategic investments.

CHRD Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 4.0%
Net Margin 0.9%
ROE 0.6%
ROA 0.3%
FCF Margin 41.8%

CHRD vs Energy Sector

How Chord Energy Corp compares to Energy sector averages

Net Margin
CHRD 0.9%
vs
Sector Avg 12.0%
CHRD Sector
ROE
CHRD 0.6%
vs
Sector Avg 14.0%
CHRD Sector
Current Ratio
CHRD 1.1x
vs
Sector Avg 1.3x
CHRD Sector
Debt/Equity
CHRD 0.2x
vs
Sector Avg 0.6x
CHRD Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

CHRD Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
1.06x
Quick Ratio
0.98x
Debt/Equity
0.18x
Debt/Assets
38.2%
Interest Coverage
26.00x
Long-term Debt
$1.5B

CHRD 5-Year Financial Trend

CHRD 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $1.9B, Net Income -$128.2M, EPS $-0.41. Year 2022: Revenue $3.6B, Net Income -$3.6B, EPS $-11.46. Year 2023: Revenue $3.9B, Net Income $319.6M, EPS $15.48. Year 2024: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $1.9B, EPS $57.55. Year 2025: Revenue $5.3B, Net Income $1.0B, EPS $23.51.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Chord Energy Corp's revenue has grown significantly by 172% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $23.51 reflects profitable operations.

CHRD Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
41.8%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CHRD Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Chord Energy Corp including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $1.3B -$40.0M $-0.72
Q2 2025 $1.2B -$170.1M $-2.93
Q1 2025 $1.1B $199.4M $3.66
Q3 2024 $1.1B $209.1M $3.59
Q2 2024 $912.1M $213.4M $4.25
Q1 2024 $896.5M $199.4M $4.65
Q3 2023 $1.1B $209.1M $4.77
Q2 2023 $789.4M $130.8M $4.96

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CHRD Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$2.0B
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$364.9M
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Dividends Paid
$317.8M
Returned to shareholders

CHRD SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Chord Energy Corp (CIK: 0001486159)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 19, 2026 DEF 14A chrd-20260318.htm View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773697963.xml View →
Mar 16, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773697860.xml View →
Mar 9, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1773092048.xml View →
Mar 5, 2026 4 xslF345X05/wk-form4_1772748892.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CHRD

What is the AI rating for CHRD?

Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CHRD's key strengths?

Exceptional free cash flow generation at $2.0B with 41.8% FCF margin, demonstrating strong cash conversion despite revenue headwinds. Conservative capital structure with 0.18x debt-to-equity ratio and 26x interest coverage, providing financial flexibility and low bankruptcy risk.

What are the risks of investing in CHRD?

Severe profitability collapse with 95.4% EPS decline YoY, net margin contracted to 0.9%, and near-zero returns on equity (0.6%) and assets (0.3%). Revenue decline of 7.1% YoY indicates secular or cyclical pressures in crude oil/natural gas market affecting top-line growth.

What is CHRD's revenue and growth?

Chord Energy Corp reported revenue of $4.9B.

Does CHRD pay dividends?

Chord Energy Corp pays dividends, with $317.8M distributed to shareholders in the trailing twelve months.

Where can I find CHRD SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Chord Energy Corp (CIK: 0001486159) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CHRD's EPS?

Chord Energy Corp has a diluted EPS of $0.74.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI