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CFLT Stock Analysis - Confluent, Inc. AI Rating

CFLT Nasdaq Services-Prepackaged Software DE CIK: 0001699838
Recently Updated • Analysis: Mar 22, 2026 • SEC Data: 2025-12-31
AI Rating
HOLD
62% Confidence

📊 CFLT Key Takeaways

Revenue: $1.2B
Net Margin: -25.3%
Free Cash Flow: $60.7M
Current Ratio: 3.83x
Debt/Equity: 0.94x
EPS: $-0.86
AI Rating: HOLD with 62% confidence

Investment Thesis

Confluent demonstrates strong revenue growth (21.1% YoY) and exceptional gross margins (74.3%), indicating solid product-market fit and pricing power. However, the company remains unprofitable with significant operating losses (-32.6% margin) and negative net income, though losses are improving year-over-year. Positive free cash flow generation ($60.7M) and strong liquidity provide a financial cushion, but profitability achievement remains critical for long-term sustainability.

CFLT Strengths

  • + Strong revenue growth of 21.1% YoY demonstrating market demand
  • + Excellent gross margin of 74.3% indicating pricing power and operational leverage
  • + Positive free cash flow of $60.7M despite net losses, showing underlying business health
  • + Solid liquidity position with current ratio of 3.83x and $347.2M in cash
  • + Improving profitability trend with net income loss narrowing (+14.4% YoY improvement)
  • + Reasonable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.94x providing financial flexibility

CFLT Risks

  • ! Company remains unprofitable with -$295.3M net loss and -32.6% operating margin
  • ! High operating expenses relative to revenue suggesting burn rate concerns
  • ! Negative ROE (-25.3%) and ROA (-9.9%) indicating value destruction
  • ! Significant long-term debt of $1.1B that must be serviced or refinanced
  • ! High insider activity (24 Form 4 filings) may signal insider concerns or volatility
  • ! Unproven path to sustainable profitability despite revenue scale

Key Metrics to Watch

CFLT Financial Metrics

Revenue
$1.2B
Net Income
$-295.3M
EPS (Diluted)
$-0.86
Free Cash Flow
$60.7M
Total Assets
$3.0B
Cash Position
$347.2M

💡 AI Analyst Insight

Strong liquidity with a 3.83x current ratio provides a solid financial cushion.

CFLT Profitability Ratios

Gross Margin 74.3%
Operating Margin -32.6%
Net Margin -25.3%
ROE -25.3%
ROA -9.9%
FCF Margin 5.2%

CFLT vs Technology Sector

How Confluent, Inc. compares to Technology sector averages

Net Margin
CFLT -25.3%
vs
Sector Avg 18.0%
CFLT Sector
ROE
CFLT -25.3%
vs
Sector Avg 22.0%
CFLT Sector
Current Ratio
CFLT 3.8x
vs
Sector Avg 2.5x
CFLT Sector
Debt/Equity
CFLT 0.9x
vs
Sector Avg 0.5x
CFLT Sector

Sector benchmarks are approximate industry averages. Actual sector performance may vary.

CFLT Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Current Ratio
3.83x
Quick Ratio
3.83x
Debt/Equity
0.94x
Debt/Assets
60.8%
Interest Coverage
N/A
Long-term Debt
$1.1B

CFLT 5-Year Financial Trend

CFLT 5-year financial data: Year 2021: Revenue $387.9M, Net Income -$95.0M, EPS N/A. Year 2022: Revenue $585.9M, Net Income -$229.8M, EPS $-2.21. Year 2023: Revenue $777.0M, Net Income -$342.8M, EPS $-1.82. Year 2024: Revenue $963.6M, Net Income -$452.6M, EPS $-1.62. Year 2025: Revenue $1.2B, Net Income -$442.7M, EPS $-1.47.
Revenue
Net Income
EPS (right axis)

5-Year Trend Summary: Confluent, Inc.'s revenue has grown significantly by 201% over the 5-year period, indicating strong business expansion. The most recent EPS of $-1.47 indicates the company is currently unprofitable.

CFLT Growth Metrics (YoY)

Revenue Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
Net Income Growth
N/A
Year-over-year
EPS Growth
N/A
Earnings per share
FCF Margin
5.2%
Free cash flow / Revenue

CFLT Quarterly Performance

Quarterly financial performance data for Confluent, Inc. including revenue, net income, and earnings per share.
Quarter Revenue Net Income EPS
Q3 2025 $250.2M -$66.5M $-0.19
Q2 2025 $235.0M -$82.0M $-0.24
Q1 2025 $217.2M -$67.6M $-0.20
Q3 2024 $200.2M -$74.1M $-0.23
Q2 2024 $189.3M -$89.9M $-0.28
Q1 2024 $174.3M -$93.0M $-0.30
Q3 2023 $151.7M -$92.7M $-0.30
Q2 2023 $139.4M -$103.4M $-0.35

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR 10-Q quarterly filings. Figures may represent quarterly or cumulative values.

CFLT Capital Allocation

Operating Cash Flow
$64.3M
Cash generated from operations
Stock Buybacks
$255.0K
Shares repurchased (TTM)
Capital Expenditures
$3.6M
Investment in assets
Dividends
None
No dividend program

CFLT SEC Filings

Access official SEC EDGAR filings for Confluent, Inc. (CIK: 0001699838)

📋 Recent SEC Filings

Date Form Document Action
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_060320.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_060318.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_060316.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_060314.xml View →
Mar 19, 2026 4 xslF345X06/form4-03192026_060312.xml View →

Frequently Asked Questions about CFLT

What is the AI rating for CFLT?

Confluent, Inc. (CFLT) has an AI rating of HOLD with 62% confidence, based on fundamental analysis of SEC EDGAR filings.

What are CFLT's key strengths?

Strong revenue growth of 21.1% YoY demonstrating market demand. Excellent gross margin of 74.3% indicating pricing power and operational leverage.

What are the risks of investing in CFLT?

Company remains unprofitable with -$295.3M net loss and -32.6% operating margin. High operating expenses relative to revenue suggesting burn rate concerns.

What is CFLT's revenue and growth?

Confluent, Inc. reported revenue of $1.2B.

Does CFLT pay dividends?

Confluent, Inc. does not currently pay dividends.

Where can I find CFLT SEC filings?

Official SEC filings for Confluent, Inc. (CIK: 0001699838) including 10-K, 10-Q, and 8-K reports are available on SEC EDGAR.

What is CFLT's EPS?

Confluent, Inc. has a diluted EPS of $-0.86.

How is the AI analysis conducted?

Our AI (Claude) analyzes publicly available SEC EDGAR filings including 10-K annual reports and 10-Q quarterly reports to evaluate financial health, profitability ratios, balance sheet strength, and growth metrics.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated by Claude AI based on publicly available SEC EDGAR filings. It does not include stock price data and should not be considered financial advice. All fundamental data is sourced from SEC public domain filings. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Data Source: SEC EDGAR | Analysis Date: Mar 22, 2026 | Data as of: 2025-12-31 | Powered by Claude AI